Leeds United will take on Sunderland on Tuesday, 3 March, as the Premier League relegation battle enters the final stretch.
With ten games to go, Leeds sit six points above the relegation zone and may only need a couple more wins to secure their place in the top flight for another season.
Sunderland, meanwhile, have exceeded all expectations this season and still have an outside chance of finishing in the European places.
As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Leeds vs Sunderland prediction below.
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Leeds vs Sunderland prediction: Whites to reign supreme
Key stats
- Leeds have lost just one of their last five matches in all competitions.
- Sunderland have only won one of their last six Premier League matches.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in five of the last six Premier League matches involving either of these two teams.
Correct score prediction: Leeds 1-0 Sunderland
Sunderland's wheels haven't exactly fallen off, but they are stumbling over the finish line after a blistering start. Leeds' home form should be enough to see them stay up, and they were unlucky to take nothing from the game against Man City on Saturday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Leeds start as favourites
- HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Leeds vs Sunderland odds are a little surprising in that they place the team sat in 16th as the favourites over the team just three points away from the European places. Ladbrokes have given Leeds a 52.4% chance of winning the match, while Sunderland have been given just a 25% chance of victory.
We have more free betting tips for today to help you out with the best possible selections.
Most recent H2Hs: Value in the draw
The draw price of 12/5 suddenly looks very tempting when you consider the recent H2H record between Leeds and Sunderland. Three of the last four clashes have finished all square and none of the last six have been settled by a margin of two goals or more.
England Premier League 28/12/25
Sunderland
Leeds
England Championship 17/02/25
Leeds
Sunderland
England Championship 17/11/24
Leeds
Sunderland
England Championship 04/10/24
Sunderland
Leeds
England Championship 09/04/24
Leeds
Sunderland
Leeds preview: No reason to change
There is no real reason for Daniel Farke to change anything on Tuesday night, as Leeds played well against Manchester City on Saturday and arguably deserved a point. Noah Okafor remains out with a hamstring injury, but aside from that, Farke has a full squad to pick from.
Predicted lineup: Darlow (GK), Justin, Rodon, Struijk, Bogle, Stach, Gruev, Ampadu, Gudmundsson, Aaronson, Calvert-Lewin
Last five matches
- 28/02/26: Leeds 1-1 Man City (Premier League)
- 21/02/26: Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds (Premier League)
- 15/02/26: Birmingham 1-1 Leeds (p) (FA Cup)
- 10/02/26: Chelsea 2-2 Leeds (Premier League)
- 06/02/26: Leeds 3-1 Nottingham Forest (Premier League)
Sunderland preview: More issues than their opponents
Regis le Bris has more problems to deal with than his opposite number, in terms of both form and injuries. The Black Cats are set to be without six first-team players for the trip to Elland Road – Dennis Cirkin, Brian Brobbey, Reinildo Mandava, Romaine Mundle, Nordi Mukiele and Jocelin Ta Bi.
Predicted lineup: Roefs (GK), Geertruida, Ballard, Alderete, Hume, Sadiki, Xhaka, Talbi, Diarra, Le Fee, Mayenda
Last five matches
- 28/02/26: Bournemouth 1-1 Sunderland (Premier League)
- 22/02/26: Sunderland 1-3 Fulham (Premier League)
- 15/02/26: Oxford United 0-1 Sunderland (FA Cup)
- 11/02/26: Sunderland 0-1 Liverpool (Premier League)
- 07/02/26: Arsenal 3-0 Sunderland (Premier League)
Player to watch: Anton Stach
Anton Stach is the flavour of the month at Leeds United, and you can hardly deny him his moment in the sun after THAT free-kick against Aston Villa a couple of weeks ago. The 27-year-old will be key from here on out, and his physicality in the middle of the park could provide the Whites with the robustness they need to beat the drop.