Leeds United vs Manchester City prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/02/2026
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Leeds or draw

Leeds have lost just one of their last eight matches in all competitions.

Leeds United will take on Manchester City at Elland Road on Saturday, 28 February, in a match that will have an impact on both ends of the Premier League table.

The hosts come into the match six points clear of the relegation zone, but with West Ham in good form, the Whites won't consider themselves out of trouble quite yet.

The visitors, meanwhile, trail Arsenal by five points but know that if they win out from here, they will be crowned champions in May.

As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Leeds vs Man City prediction below.

Leeds vs Man City prediction: Hosts to walk away with something

Key stats

  • Manchester City needed a stoppage-time goal from Phil Foden to defeat Leeds in the reverse fixture.
  • Manchester City have failed to win seven of their 13 Premier League away matches this season.
  • Both teams have scored in four of Leeds' last five Premier League matches.

Correct score prediction: Leeds 1-1 Man City

Leeds have become a team that are difficult to beat in recent times, and although Manchester City currently have their tails up, their sketchy away form is enough to lean towards the hosts at least picking up a point on Saturday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Man City odds-on favourites

  • HOME: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8% 
  • DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8% 
  • AWAY: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Leeds vs Man City odds are unsurprisingly weighted in favour of the visitors, which only adds more value to our prediction of a Leeds win or draw. Ladbrokes have given Leeds a 20.8% chance of winning the match, while Man City have been given a 61.9% chance of victory.

We have more free betting tips for today to help you out with the best possible selections.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage City

Manchester City have a strong recent record against Leeds United, winning each of their last five clashes with the Whites. Leeds' last win over City came in April 2021, back when Marcelo Bielsa was in charge.

England Premier League 29/11/25

Man City

Man City

3
Leeds

Leeds

2

England Premier League 06/05/23

Man City

Man City

2
Leeds

Leeds

1

England Premier League 28/12/22

Leeds

Leeds

1
Man City

Man City

3

England Premier League 30/04/22

Leeds

Leeds

0
Man City

Man City

4

England Premier League 14/12/21

Man City

Man City

7
Leeds

Leeds

0

Leeds United preview: If it's not broke, don't fix it

Daniel Farke is expected to continue with the five-at-the-back system that has served his team well in recent weeks. The only major injury absentee for Farke is Noah Okafor due to a hamstring issue, while Gabriel Gudmundsson will be assessed before kick-off.

Predicted lineup: Darlow (GK), Justin, Rodon, Struijk, Bogle, Ampadu, Gruev, Gudmundsson, Aaronson, Stach, Calvert-Lewin

Last five matches

  • 21/02/26: Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds (Premier League)
  • 15/02/26: Birmingham 1-1 Leeds (p) (FA Cup)
  • 10/02/26: Chelsea 2-2 Leeds (Premier League)
  • 06/02/26: Leeds 3-1 Nottingham Forest (Premier League)
  • 31/01/26: Leeds 0-4 Arsenal (Premier League)

Manchester City preview: Jeremy Doku doubt

Pep Guardiola will travel to Elland Road without Josko Gvardio and Mateo Kovacic, but, as things stand, he has no fresh concerns. Guardiola could also welcome Jeremy Doku back to the matchday squad, with the final call on his availability to be made on Friday.

Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Nunes, Dias, Guehi, Ait-Nouri, O'Reilly, Rodri, Bernardo, Foden, Semenyo, Haaland

Last five matches

  • 21/02/26: Man City 2-1 Newcastle (Premier League)
  • 14/02/26: Man City 2-0 Salford City (FA Cup)
  • 11/02/26: Man City 3-0 Fulham (Premier League)
  • 08/02/26: Liverpool 1-2 Man City (Premier League)
  • 04/02/26: Man City 3-1 Newcastle (Carabao Cup)

Player to watch: Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Birmingham City v Leeds United – Emirates FA Cup Fourth Round
Calvert-Lewin hoping for his 11th goal of the season – Photo by IMAGO / APL

With England’s final pre-World Cup squad set to be announced next month, Dominic Calvert-Lewin will be doing all he can to prove to Thomas Tuchel that he is the perfect understudy for Harry Kane. The former Everton striker has scored ten league goals this season and needs just six more to match his previous best.


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.