Parma vs Lecce prediction
Can Parma secure a pivotal victory over relegation rivals Lecce? (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

BTTS - Yes

Both teams have scored in 91% of Parma’s home games in Serie A this season.

Parma lock horns with fellow relegation candidates Lecce at the Stadio Ennio Tardini in Italy’s Serie A on Friday, 31 January. View our Serie A betting tips for the contest below.

Parma vs Lecce prediction: Goals at both ends possible

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in 91% of Parma’s home games in Serie A this season.
  • Parma and Lecce drew 2-2 when they last met in September.
  • Parma conceded one goal in three of their last four home assignments.
  • Lecce have lost three of their last four away games in the league.

Correct score prediction: Parma 2-1 Lecce

Lecce were beaten in three of their last four away games, conceding ten goals combined in that series of defeats and their poor form on the road could be their undoing again when they visit Parma.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Parma favoured in the markets

  • HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • AWAY: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Parma conceded two last-gasp goals in a 3-2 loss at AC Milan last time out, though they have lost just one of their last four tests at home and the hosts have a 46.5% chance of bouncing back with a win on Friday.

Lecce lost each of their last two fixtures, conceding four goals in each defeat and it’s no surprise to see them priced as underdogs at 5/2 here. Visit our latest football tips page for more free predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Results have been mixed

Lecce and Parma drew 2-2 in the reverse fixture between the clubs in September. Five of the clubs’ last six meetings have featured over 2.5 goals.

Italy Serie A 21/09/24

Lecce

Lecce

2
Parma

Parma

2

Coppa Italia 01/11/23

Lecce

Lecce

2
Parma

Parma

4

Europe Friendlies 29/07/22

Parma

Parma

1
Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie B 19/03/22

Parma

Parma

0
Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie B 07/11/21

Lecce

Lecce

4
Parma

Parma

0

Parma preview: Nine could be out

Ange-Yoan Bonny, Botond Balogh, Adrian Bernabe, Gianluca Di Chiara, Adrian Bendyczak, Yordan Osorio, Gabriel Charpentier, Mateusz Kowalski and Alessandro Circati are listed as possible absentees for Parma ahead of the weekend.

Predicted lineup: Suzuki (GK), Delprato, Vogliacco, Valenti, Valeri, Hernani, Sohm, Cancellieri, Man, Mihaila, Duric

Italy Serie A 10/05/25

L

Empoli

Empoli

2

Parma

Parma

1

Italy Serie A 03/05/25

L

Como

Como

1

Parma

Parma

0

Italy Serie A 28/04/25

D

Lazio

Lazio

2

Parma

Parma

2

Italy Serie A 23/04/25

W

Juventus

Juventus

0

Parma

Parma

1

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

Parma

Parma

0

Lecce preview: Rebic returns from suspension

Filip Marchwinski, Kialonda Gaspar, Lameck Banda and Joan Gonzalez are expected to sit out Friday's game, though Medon Berisha and Jeppe Corfitzen could return. Ante Rebic is back from suspension meanwhile and could be drafted back into the starting XI.

Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Guilbert, Baschirotto, Jean, Gallo, Helgason, Coulibaly, Pierreet, Pierotti, Morente, Krstovic

Italy Serie A 11/05/25

D

Verona

Verona

1

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 03/05/25

L

Napoli

Napoli

1

Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

D

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

L

Como

Como

3

Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Juventus

Juventus

2

Lecce

Lecce

1

Player to watch – Matteo Cancellieri

Italian U21 international Matteo Cancellieri showcased his potential against Milan last weekend when he notched one of Parma’s goals in their 3-2 loss at San Siro and the 22—year-old has the talent to make a similar impact on Friday.

Parma vs Lecce prediction
Matteo Cancellieri could provide a threat from out wide for Parma. (Photo by Imago)

Cancellieri showing potential

Cancellieri, who is on loan at Parma from Lazio for the duration of the campaign, has scored three times in 13 appearances for his temporary employers and the youngster has also been averaging a healthy 1.20 dribbles per game. Cancellieri’s skillset could make him a nuisance against Lecce.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.