Lecce welcome Parma to the Stadio Ettore Giardiniero, Via del Mare, on Sunday as Serie A action continues in the new year, with both sides aiming to get back to winning ways after a disappointing performance last weekend.
Lecce’s recent 2-0 home loss to Roma marked the second consecutive league defeat at Stadio Via del Mare this season. Both losses came without scoring, highlighting the Giallorossi’s struggle in front of goal, having managed just 12 league goals so far.
Eusebio Di Francesco’s side start this round four points clear of the relegation zone, making this fixture crucial, especially with upcoming games against Inter and AC Milan. That said, Lecce have shown resilience against bottom-six sides this season, remaining unbeaten without conceding a goal.
Parma come into this clash after a 2-0 midweek win over league leaders Inter, putting them just one point above their hosts. While their 12-goal tally mirrors last season’s early form, manager Carlos Cuesta will be aware of the need for more attacking output.
The Crusaders have been solid on the road recently, losing only one of their last six away league matches and collecting seven of the last nine possible points away from home, which could give them confidence in this tough trip to Lecce.
Read our Lecce vs Parma predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Lecce vs Parma prediction: Visitors to nick narrow win
Key statistics
- Both teams have scored over 3.5 goals in three of their last five meetings.
- Parma have won three of their last five trips to Lecce.
- BTTS have been played in three of their last five encounters.
Correct score prediction: Lecce 2-3 Parma
We are looking forward to a very tight affair in this game, but we expect a lot of goals to be scored at the final whistle. We predict a 3-2 win for Parma based on their away record against Lecce.
Both teams have shown a tendency to score a lot of goals in their previous encounters. Furthermore, the last meeting between these two clubs at this venue ended with over 3.5 goals scored in the game.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Lecce are slight favourites
- Home: 13/8 (2.63) – 37.9%
- Draw: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- Away: 9/5 (2.80) – 28.6%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The bookmakers see Lecce as slight favourites at 2.63, giving them a 37.9% chance of winning at home. Parma are priced at 2.80 (28.6%) to claim an upset, while the draw is offered at 3.00 (33.3%). The odds reflect Lecce’s home advantage, but also suggest a tight contest with Parma capable of challenging for points.
Most recent head-to-head: Competitive history
A look at recent history highlights just how evenly matched these two sides have been, with the last five competitive meetings across all competitions producing a perfect balance. Lecce and Parma have each claimed two victories, while one encounter ended level.
The most recent league clash, played in 2025, saw Lecce edge out a narrow 1-0 win away at the Stadio Ennio Tardini. That followed an entertaining 3-1 win in the return leg the same year. However, the visitors have won in three of their last trips to Lecce.
Italy Serie A 04/10/25
Parma
Lecce
Italy Serie A 31/01/25
Parma
Lecce
Italy Serie A 21/09/24
Lecce
Parma
Coppa Italia 01/11/23
Lecce
Parma
Europe Friendlies 29/07/22
Parma
Lecce
After reviewing our key Lecce vs Parma predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Lecce preview: Multiple injuries in the team
Lecce have a lot to worry about following the injuries to their squad. They will be without Lassana Coulibaly due to international duty, while Tete Morente, Christian Fruchtl, Balthazar Pierret and Medon Berisha are all unavailable through injury.
Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Veiga, Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Gallo, Ramadani, Kaba, Maleh, Banda, Camarda & Sottil
Last five fixtures
- 06.01.26 – Lecce 0–2 Roma
- 03.01.26 – Juventus 1–1 Lecce
- 27.12.25 – Lecce 0–3 Como
- 12.12.25 – Lecce 1–0 Pisa
- 07.12.25 – Cremonese 2–0 Lecce
Parma preview: Key players sidelined
Parma will be missing Zion Suzuki, Abdoulaye N'Diaye, and Matija Frigan through injury. Their absences limit Cuesta’s options, especially in defence and attack, as the team looks to find their feet.
Predicted lineup: Corvi (GK), Britschgi, Del Prato, Circati, Valeri, Bernabe, Keita, Sorensen, Oristanio, Pellegrino & Ondrejka
Last five fixtures
- 07.01.26 – Parma 0–2 Inter
- 03.01.26 – Sassuolo 1–1 Parma
- 27.12.25 – Parma 1–0 Fiorentina
- 13.12.25 – Parma 0–1 Lazio
- 08.12.25 – Pisa 0–1 Parma
Player to watch: Mateo Pellegrino
Mateo Pellegrino stands out as Parma’s main attacking weapon heading into this encounter, having established himself as the club’s top scorer this season. The forward has contributed five goals and an assist and he is the most reliable source of threat in the attacking third.
Blessed with strength, sharp movement and a composed touch in front of the goal, Pellegrino poses a constant challenge for opposing defences. In what is likely to be a closely contested game, Parma will look to their leading marksman to make the difference.