Lecce vs Monza prediction, odds & betting tips – 27/04/2024

Lecce
27/04/24 - 14:00

Finished

1

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1

Monza

Lecce - Monza

Italy Serie A - Via del Mare

Lecce vs Monza prediction
Recent meetings between Lecce and Monza have been low-scoring affairs – Photo by Icon Sport

Lecce and Monza are separated by just two places in the Serie A standings ahead of their tussles at the Stadio Ettore Giardiniero – Via del Mare on Saturday, 27 April. Check out our Serie A betting tips for the contest below.

Lecce vs Monza prediction: Tight game anticipated

Lecce vs Monza Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Under 2.5 Goals

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Lecce 1-0 Monza

⚽ Team to score first 

Lecce

Key Stats

  • Four of Monza’s last five away games in Serie A have featured under 2.5 goals.
  • Lecce have lost only one of their last five fixtures in Serie A.
  • Under 2.5 goals landed in six of the last seven meetings between these clubs.
  • Each of the last two tussles between these teams were level at half time.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Monza priced as underdogs

  • HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Lecce eased to a 3-0 win at Sassuolo last time out and that was their third triumph in five Serie A fixtures. The bookies have given the hosts a 48.8% chance of securing another victory on Saturday at Monza’s expense, though our top betting tips expect margins to be thin at the Stadio Ettore Giardiniero – Via del Mare.

Monza’s 2-1 reverse at home to Atalanta in their last test was their third defeat in four league assignments and they seem to be limping towards the finish line. Monza also failed to score in each of their last two league fixtures.

Last five H2Hs: History of tight games

Italy Serie A 17/09/23

Monza

Monza

1
Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 28/05/23

Monza

Monza

0
Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 11/09/22

Lecce

Lecce

1
Monza

Monza

1

Italy Serie B 27/02/22

Monza

Monza

0
Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie B 01/10/21

Lecce

Lecce

3
Monza

Monza

0

Lecce and Monza drew 1-1 when they last met near the start of the current campaign and that was the fourth encounter in a row between the teams where under 2.5 goals landed.

Lecce preview: Hosts could be unchanged

Ylber Ramadani, Lameck Banda, Mohamed Kaba and Kastriot Dermaku are all sidelined for Lecce. The hosts could stick with the same XI that cruised to a 3-0 win over Sassuolo last time out.

Predicted lineup: Falcone – Gendrey, Baschirotto, Pongracic, Gallo – Oudin, Blin, Rafia, Dorgu – Krstovic, Piccoli

Italy Serie A 31/08/24

W

Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 24/08/24

L

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 19/08/24

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

4

Lecce

Lecce

0

Club Friendly List 13/08/24

D

Monopoli

Monopoli

0

Lecce

Lecce

0

Coppa Italia 12/08/24

W

Mantova

Mantova

1

Lecce

Lecce

2

Monza preview: Mota still receiving treatment

Dany Mota is in the treatment room for Monza while Papu Gomez remains a long-term absentee due to suspension. Monza are still in 11th spot despite their recent downturn and a top-half finish remains the target.

Predicted lineup: Di Gregorio – Birindelli, Izzo, Mari, Kyriakoploulos – Gagliardini, Bondo, Colpani, Pessina, Zerbin – Duric

Italy Serie A 01/09/24

D

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Monza

Monza

2

Italy Serie A 24/08/24

L

Genoa

Genoa

1

Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 17/08/24

D

Empoli

Empoli

0

Monza

Monza

0

Elite Club Friendlies 13/08/24

L

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Monza

Monza

1

Coppa Italia 09/08/24

W

Sudtirol

Sudtirol

0 (8)

Monza

Monza

0 (9)

Lecce vs Monza prediction
Antonino Gallo has been impressing at left back for Lecce – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Antonio Gallo

Both Lecce fullbacks played a big part in the team’s 3-0 win at Sassuolo last weekend, though 24-year-old Antonio Gallo put in a particularly eye-catching shift at left back. Gallo provided an assist and made a game-high equalling four tackles in Lecce’s triumph.

Gallo to provide thrust from deep again?

Gallo lodged his third assist of the Serie A campaign in Lecce’s win against Sassuolo last week and the defender, who has been averaging 1.40 key passes and 1.1 crosses per game in the Italian top tier this term will be determined to be just as effective against Monza on Saturday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.