Three valuable points will be at stake as Lazio host Lecce in the last round of the Serie A at Stadio Olimpico on Sunday, 25 May 2025.
View our free Lazio vs Lecce predictions below.
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Lazio vs Lecce predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Six of Lazio's last eight league games went below the 2.5-goal threshold.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in each of Lecce's last four matches.
- Lazio have opened the scoring in seven consecutive clashes with Lecce.
Correct score prediction: Lazio 2-0 Lecce
Lazio have strung together a seven-match unbeaten run across all competitions and are up against a Lecce team that failed to win any of their last six away games.
Keeping in mind that Lazio were the victors in the last two clashes between these teams, we are backing the hosts to claim all the spoils.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lazio are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – %
- AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
With only one game left to play, this is a must-win for both teams.
While 17th-placed Lecce will ensure their safety with a victory, any other result could be catastrophic.
Should they lose, Lecce will be relegated if 18th-placed Empoli or 19th-placed Venezia win their last game of the season.
The visitors can also avoid relegation with a draw, provided Empoli fail to beat Hellas Verona on Sunday.
On the other hand, Lazio could secure a UEFA Champions League spot with a victory if Juventus lose to Venezia and Roma fail to beat Torino.
A win might also be enough to claim a Europa League spot if either Juventus or Roma drop points this weekend.
Interestingly, while Lazio currently occupy the Conference League spot, they could drop from that spot entirely if they lose this match and Fiorentina beat Udinese on the road.
Ahead of this high-stakes clash, Lazio are the expected winners at 11/20 (1.55). Teams with these odds usually have a 64.5% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Lazio vs Lecce predictions.
Moreover, five of Lazio's last six home games featured more goals in the second half. On that note, the second-highest-scoring half has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Lazio's dominance set to continue?
Lecce have not beaten Lazio at this stadium since January 2011, although, to be fair, these teams have clashed only four times at Stadio Olimpico since then.
Lazio have won back-to-back encounters between these sides and will look to extend that run this weekend.
Italy Serie A 14/01/24
Lazio
Lecce
Italy Serie A 20/08/23
Lecce
Lazio
Italy Serie A 12/05/23
Lazio
Lecce
Italy Serie A 04/01/23
Lecce
Lazio
Italy Serie A 07/07/20
Lecce
Lazio
Lazio preview: A few absentees
Coach Marco Baroni will not be able to call upon the services of Manuel Lazzari and Patric for this game, as both players are currently nursing injuries, while Nuno Tavares remains questionable.
Predicted lineup: Mandas (GK), Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Tavares, Guendouzi, Rovella, Isaksen, Vecino, Zaccagni & Castellanos.
Italy Serie A 10/05/25
D
Juventus
1
Lazio
1
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W
Empoli
0
Lazio
1
Italy Serie A 28/04/25
D
Parma
2
Lazio
2
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
W
Genoa
0
Lazio
2
UEFA Europa League 17/04/25
W
Bodo/Glimt
1
Lazio
3
Lecce preview: Hoping to salvage their campaign
Filip Marchwinski, Gaby Jean and Balthazar Pierret are ruled out of this clash due to injuries. Ante Rebic is also an injury doubt, while Tete Morente misses out because of a yellow-card suspension.
Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Guilbert, Gaspar, Baschirotto, Gallo, Coulibaly, Ramadani, Helgason, Pierotti, N’Dri & Krstovic.
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
D
Verona
1
Lecce
1
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
L
Napoli
1
Lecce
0
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
D
Atalanta
1
Lecce
1
Italy Serie A 19/04/25
L
Como
3
Lecce
0
Italy Serie A 12/04/25
L
Juventus
2
Lecce
1
Player to watch: Pedro
Pedro has scored four goals in his last four appearances, although he didn't start any of those games. The former Barcelona and Chelsea player is Lazio's joint-top scorer with 10 goals this season. He will fancy his chances against Lecce.
