juventus vs genoa prediction
Juventus are still in the hunt for Champions League footbal - Image from Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Juventus to win & under 2.5 goals

Despite an upturn under Igor Tudor, Juventus have still only scored two in two games under the Croatian, and have averaged just 1.5 goals-per-game this season, but they should have enough to get over the line.

Juventus will look to keep their top-four hopes alive when they welcome Lecce to the Allianz Stadium in Serie A on Saturday night. Read on to see how we think this must-win fixture for the hosts will pan out.

Juventus vs Lecce prediction: Cagey home win on the cards

Key Stats

  • Juventus have only lost one of their 18 home matches in Serie A against Lecce – back in 2004, going down 4-3.
  • Lecce have taken just one point from 11 games away to clubs currently above the bottom five.
  • The Old Lady have won five of their last six home games in Serie A, keeping a clean sheet in four or those.
  • Lecce have scored the fewest goals overall (22), the fewest goals away from home (10) and lost more times on the road (10) than any other Serie A side this season.

Correct score prediction: Juventus 2-0 Lecce

Juventus are showing instant signs of improvement under Tudor, while Cagliari are scrapping near the bottom, and have been in woeful form, with no wins in their last eight.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Lecce not given a hope

  • HOME: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.3%
  • DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
  • AWAY: 17/2 (9.5) – 10.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Given the form of the visitors, and the fact they have only ever beaten Juve away from home once in their history, it is no surprise to see them such hefty outsiders for this one.

Juve are unbeaten in 19 matches against clubs outside the top eight this season, and should seal a comfortable three points in this one.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Bianconeri utterly dominant

While Juve’s home form against Lecce is near-perfect, even across all venues it is superb, with just four defeats in 37 head-to-heads.

Lecce have failed to score in 18 of those previous meetings, with Inter Milan the only club they have drawn a blank against more often in Serie A.

Italy Serie A 01/12/24

Lecce

Lecce

1
Juventus

Juventus

1

Italy Serie A 21/01/24

Lecce

Lecce

0
Juventus

Juventus

3

Italy Serie A 26/09/23

Juventus

Juventus

1
Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 03/05/23

Juventus

Juventus

2
Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 29/10/22

Lecce

Lecce

0
Juventus

Juventus

1

Juventus preview: Top four hopes still alive

While it has been perceived by many as a disastrous season, Juve are still favourites to finish in the top four, sitting just one point behind Bologna, and the only home defeat they have suffered this season was the 4-0 thrashing at the hands of Atalanta shortly before Thiago Motta’s sacking.

While Andrea Cambiaso and Douglas Luiz returned to the squad last weekend, Bremer, Federico Gatti, Juan Cabal and Arkadiusz Milik remain sidelined.

Predicted lineup: Di Gregorio (GK), Kalulu, Renato Veiga, Kelly, Weah, Locatelli, Thuram, McKennie, Gonzalez, Vlahovic & Yıldız

Italy Serie A 10/05/25

D

Lazio

Lazio

1

Juventus

Juventus

1

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

D

Bologna

Bologna

1

Juventus

Juventus

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Monza

Monza

0

Juventus

Juventus

2

Italy Serie A 23/04/25

L

Parma

Parma

1

Juventus

Juventus

0

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

W

Lecce

Lecce

1

Juventus

Juventus

2

Lecce preview: Winless in eight matches

Marco Giampaolo’s side are just one place above the drop zone, two points clear of Empoli, but an eight-game winless run is hugely concerning.

Joan Gonzalez and Filip Marchwinski remain on the long-term injury list for the visitors, but Giampaolo should have a strong complement of players to choose from.

Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Guilbert, Baschirotto, Gaspar, Gallo, Ramadani, Coulibaly, Helgason, Tete Morente, Krstovic & Pierotti

Italy Serie A 11/05/25

D

Verona

Verona

1

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 03/05/25

L

Napoli

Napoli

1

Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

D

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

L

Como

Como

3

Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Juventus

Juventus

2

Lecce

Lecce

1

Player to watch: Kenan Yildiz

Only Dusan Vlahovic has more league goals than Yildiz for Juve this season, and there are high hopes for the young Turk as a potential heir to the throne of Paulo Dybala.

Kenan Yildiz
Photo by Imago

Yildiz netted the only goal in their recent home win over Genoa, and much of the onus will be on the Juventus number 10 to provide the spark that can win them three points here.


Andrew graduated with a First Class Honours degree in Sports Journalism from UCFB in Manchester in 2022, and continues to live his dream of writing and reporting on sport. As well as football, Andrew closely follows Golf, Tennis and Athletics, and believes the Olympics is the world's greatest event.