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Relegation battling Lecce will welcome Genoa to the Stadio Via del Mare on Sunday for a final-day clash in Serie A.
This encounter is an important moment for the hosts, who are fighting a desperate battle for top-flight survival, while the visitors have already secured their status.
With only one point keeping the home side above the dreaded relegation zone, this match is a classic final-day drama where one mistake could decide the future of an entire club.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.
Lecce vs. Genoa key stats
- Genoa have drawn two of their last four Serie A games.
- Lecce have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six Serie A home games.
- Genoa have only scored five goals in their last six Serie A games
Lecce vs. Genoa preview: Hosts' desperate fight for Serie A survival
Lecce vs. Genoa — Tale of the Tape
| Lecce | vs | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | Position | 14th |
| 35 | Points | 41 |
| 27 | Goals For | 41 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 17th | Home / Away Rank | 14th |
Lecce’s Serie A survival fight will go right down to the final day, knowing their fate remains firmly in their own hands.
Heading into the decisive round, Lecce are aiming to secure a fifth straight season in the top flight.
Simply matching Cremonese’s result will be enough to guarantee safety, although defeat combined with a Cremonese draw could still force a relegation play-off.
The clearest path to staying in the Serie A is straightforward, as they need to win and avoid relying on results elsewhere.
However, recent performances at the Stadio Via del Mare suggest that the task may not be easy.
Lecce have managed only two victories across their previous ten home league matches, with inconsistency continuing to haunt them during the run-in.
Genoa, meanwhile, arrive with little left to play for after securing safety weeks ago thanks to a good spell during March and April.
Their season has faded badly since then, though, with a four-match winless streak leaving a disappointing final impression.
Despite that downturn, Genoa could still feel confident about this trip, as they will play without any pressure.
They have generally performed well away from home against fellow bottom-half sides this season, losing only once in eight.
Lecce vs. Genoa form guide & betting tips
| Lecce | vs | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
DDWLW |
Form | WLDDL |
| 8 | Points | 5 |
| 4th | Form Table | 18th |
| 6 | Goals For | 3 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 5 |
DDWLW |
Form (All Comps) | WLDDL |
Whispers predicts: Lecce 1-1 Genoa
The home side will be desperate and motivated for this clash, as they would not want to be relegated on the last day of the season.
While Genoa are already safe, they will also want to end the season on a high, which makes this encounter a tight one
The bookmakers have given the home team victory at 1.66, reflecting Lecce's immense motivation and home advantage in this crucial fixture.
A draw is currently valued at 3.40, which would be a tense result that leaves Lecce relying on other scores to survive.
An away win for the safe visitors is considered the underdog result at 5.50, given their poor away form.
The odds for under 2.5 goals are set at 1.61, which is good value, while both teams to score is also a strong proposition at 2.20 odds.
Another option to also look at for bigger odds for this clash is the first-half draw, which is given at 2.10 odds.
> Full-time draw at 3.40 | Likelihood: Probable
> Both teams to score at 2.20 | Likelihood: Possible
> Under 2.5 goals at 1.61 | Likelihood: Possible
> First-half draw at 2.10 | Likelihood: Probable