Fiorentina vs Parma predictions
Photo by IMAGO
🔥 Our Hot tip

BTTS - No

Lecce have not scored in four of their last five games

In this article, we have given our Fiorentina vs Lecce prediction, odds & betting tips ahead of their Serie A clash on Friday night. At the time of writing, the hosts are in sixth place on 42 points from 26 games played, while the visitors are in 16th spot on 25 points from the same number of matches.

Fiorentina vs Lecce prediction: La Viola to claim victory?

Key stats

  • Fiorentina have lost their last three games.
  • Lecce have won one of their previous five matches.
  • Fiorentina won the reverse fixture 6-0 earlier this season.

Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 2-0 Lecce

Fiorentina must bounce back after losing three successive matches, which has seen them slip further away from the UEFA Champions League (UCL) qualification spots. Lecce are not in great form themselves, picking up just one win in their last five, and that was the only match they scored in which suggests they may not cause La Viola too many problems.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fiorentina firm favourites

  • HOME: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • AWAY: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Fiorentina are overwhelming favourites to win at home despite losing their previous three matches. A draw is the next fancied result according to the implied probabilities, slightly ahead of an unlikely Lecce away victory.

Do not forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you have dissected our Fiorentina vs Lecce prediction.

Most recent H2Hs: Goals galore

The last five H2Hs have seen a total of 18 goals scored, at an average of 3.6 goals per game. However, given the lack of form in both sides, we expect a slightly cagier affair, with Fiorentina edging it based on their recent H2H record (W2, D2, L1).

Italy Serie A 20/10/24

Lecce

Lecce

0
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

6

Italy Serie A 02/02/24

Lecce

Lecce

3
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 27/08/23

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2
Lecce

Lecce

2

Italy Serie A 19/03/23

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1
Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 17/10/22

Lecce

Lecce

1
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

Fiorentina preview: La Viola under pressure

Fiorentina are in a bad moment, but this is a nice fixture on paper to help them get back on track. They won 6-0 at Lecce earlier this season, so certainly know how to get at their opponents.

Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Dodo, Comuzzo, Ranieri, Gosens, Cataldi, Mandragora, Zaniolo, Fagioli, Folorunsho & Beltran

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Parma

Parma

0

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

UEFA Conference League 10/04/25

W

NK Celje

NK Celje

1

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 05/04/25

D

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 30/03/25

W

Atalanta

Atalanta

0

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

Italy Serie A 16/03/25

W

Juventus

Juventus

0

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

3

Lecce preview: Toothless attack could come back to bite visitors

Lecce are the lowest scorers in the division (18), and have failed to find the net in four of their previous five matches. Despite Fiorentina's poor form, it is hard to see the visitors troubling them, and a loss could hurt with them just four points above the relegation zone.

Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Guilbert, Baschirotto, Jean, Gallo, Pierret, Coulibaly, Pierotti, Rafia, Morente & Krstovic

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Juventus

Juventus

2

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 06/04/25

D

Venezia

Venezia

1

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 29/03/25

L

Roma

Roma

1

Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 14/03/25

L

Genoa

Genoa

2

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 08/03/25

L

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Lecce

Lecce

2

Player to watch – Danilo Cataldi

Fiorentina's Danilo Cataldi scored a brace in the 6-0 thrashing of Lecce earlier this season. Fabrizio Corradetti/LaPresse – Photo by Icon Sport

Danilo Cataldi was highly influential for Fiorentina in their 6-0 thumping of Lecce earlier in the season, scoring two goals. This time around, the hosts will look for his calming influence in midfield, as La Viola aim to control the tempo and eventually push on for victory.

serie a predictions

Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.