Empoli vs Lecce predictions
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Six of the last eight meetings between these teams featured goals at both ends

Sparks will fly as Empoli welcome Lecce to Carlo Castellani Stadium for their Serie A clash on Saturday, 11 January. View our free Empoli vs Lecce predictions below.

Empoli vs Lecce predictions: Spoils to be shared

Key stats

  • Empoli and Lecce have no wins in their last three respective games.
  • Five of the last eight encounters between these teams ended in stalemates.
  • Both teams were on the scoresheet in six of the last eight skirmishes between Empoli and Lecce.
  • Each of the last five meetings between these sides produced less than three goals.

Correct score prediction: Empoli 1-1 Lecce

The spoils were shared in five of the last seven encounters between these teams, and three of their last five meetings ended with the same 1-1 scoreline.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Empoli are clear favourites

  • HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Empoli snapped their three-game losing streak with a 1-1 draw at Venezia last weekend. They have struggled to find their best form in recent weeks, winning only one of their last eight league matches.

Similarly, Lecce have been going through a rough patch, winning just once in their last six games.

As it stands, Empoli are 13th in the Serie A while Lecce are four places behind them.

With that in mind, Empoli are the expected winners at 21/20 (2.05). Teams with these odds generally have a 48.8% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Empoli vs Lecce predictions.

We have also established that five consecutive encounters between these outfits went below the 2.5-goal threshold. Given that fewer than three goals were scored in eight of Lecce's last 11 matches, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 11/20 (1.55). That one has a 64.5% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: An even contest

Recent clashes between Empoli and Lecce have not been one-sided. In their last nine encounters, both teams have two wins apiece with five draws between them.

Italy Serie A 08/11/24

Lecce

Lecce

1
Empoli

Empoli

1

Italy Serie A 13/04/24

Lecce

Lecce

1
Empoli

Empoli

0

Italy Serie A 11/12/23

Empoli

Empoli

1
Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 03/04/23

Empoli

Empoli

1
Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 28/08/22

Lecce

Lecce

1
Empoli

Empoli

1

Empoli preview: A fair few absentees

Szymon Zurkowski and Tyronne Ebuehi are close to full recovery from their injuries, while Federico Brancolini, Pietro Pellegri, Ola Solbakken and Nicolas Haas are all expected to miss this clash due to injuries.

Predicted lineup: Vasquez (GK), Viti, Ismajli, Goglichidze, Grassi, Pezzella, Maleh, Anjorin, Gyasi, Colombo & Esposito.

Italy Serie A 10/05/25

W

Parma

Parma

1

Empoli

Empoli

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

L

Lazio

Lazio

1

Empoli

Empoli

0

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

L

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Empoli

Empoli

1

Coppa Italia 24/04/25

L

Bologna

Bologna

2

Empoli

Empoli

1

Italy Serie A 20/04/25

D

Venezia

Venezia

2

Empoli

Empoli

2

Lecce preview: Hoping to halt their winless run

As for Lecce, Jeppe Corfitzen and Joan Gonzalez could return for this game, but Kialonda Gaspar, Medon Berisha and Lameck Banda are ruled out due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Guilbert, Baschirotto, Jean, Gallo, Rafia, Coulibaly, Pierret, Dorgu, Krstovic & Morente.

Italy Serie A 11/05/25

D

Verona

Verona

1

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 03/05/25

L

Napoli

Napoli

1

Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

D

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

L

Como

Como

3

Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Juventus

Juventus

2

Lecce

Lecce

1

Player to watch: Sebastiano Esposito

Empoli vs Lecce predictions
Photo by IMAGO

Sebastiano Esposito has been one of the most in-form players in the Italian top flight in recent weeks. The former Anderlecht player has found the net in three consecutive matches, with six goals scored in his last six appearances across all competitions. Esposito will look to extend his scoring streak to four games this weekend.

series a prediction

Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives