Lecce will host struggling Cremonese in Serie A at the Stadio Ettore Giardiniero – Via del Mare on Sunday in a relegation battle that could decide the survival hopes of both clubs.
The home team start this game week inside the relegation zone, having struggled to cope with that pressure, winning just two of their last 12 league games played.
Their most recent outing ended in a 3-1 defeat away to Como, where they took an early lead but conceded three goals before half time. Home form has also been disappointing, with Lecce scoring in only two of their last six matches at the Stadio Via del Mare.
Meanwhile, Cremonese travel to Lecce, hoping to end a difficult run that has seen them collect just three points and score only three goals in Serie A this calendar year.
The visitors are currently on a 13-game winless streak in the league, which began shortly after their 2-0 victory over Lecce in early December. Since then, the Grigiorossi have slipped to 17th place and enter this round outside the relegation zone only on goal difference.
Their away record has been particularly poor, as they have not won on the road since December and have scored in just one of their last seven away league matches.
Read our Lecce vs Cremonese predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Lecce vs Cremonese prediction: Home team to claim victory
Key statistics
- Lecce and Cremonese have played BTTS and more than three goals have been recorded in three of their last five meetings when Lecce were at home.
- Leece are unbeaten in their last seven home meetings against Cremonese.
- Over 1.5 goals have been scored in the first half in four of their last five meetings at Lecce’s home ground.
Correct score prediction: Lecce 2-1 Cremonese
We expect a very tense game when these two struggling sides meet at the Via del Mare, but we tip Lecce to come out with a narrow victory. We predict a 2-1 win for the home team based on their record at home against Cremonese.
The Giallorossi have shown a tendency to play more expansively at home, but their defensive frailties were exposed during the recent loss to Como.
Cremonese, despite their poor scoring record, have remained competitive in many of their away matches and often rely on a compact defensive shape to frustrate opponents.
We anticipate that both teams will manage to find the net once, but the fear of losing such a critical game will likely lead to a cautious approach; nevertheless, we expect Lecce to finally get the win.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Lecce slight favourites at home
- Home: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
- Draw: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
- Away: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Lecce are priced at 2.15 odds, giving them a 46.5% implied chance of claiming victory on home soil. Cremonese are outsiders at 3.90 odds, which translates to a 25.6% probability of securing an away win. The draw stands at 2.90 odds, suggesting a 34.5% chance that the teams could share the points in what could be a competitive encounter.
Most recent head-to-head: Lecce hold the edge at home
Looking at the recent history between these two sides, the record suggests that neither team has had the edge over the other. They have both shared two wins each and one draw between them in their last five meetings. However, at the Stadio Ettore Giardiniero, the home team have dominated their last seven games, winning five and drawing two.
The most recent encounter took place in 2025, where Cremonese secured a comfortable 2-0 victory. Before that, during the 2022-2023 season, Lecce managed a 2-0 win on the road, following a 1-1 stalemate in the reverse fixture.
However, Lecce’s home form against Cremonese has been solid in their last five games. They have not lost to the visitors, having won three and drawn two, which gives them an edge heading into this tie. This history indicates that while home advantage is helpful, the visitors are more than capable of producing a clinical performance against the Salentini.
Italy Serie A 07/12/25
Cremonese
Lecce
Italy Serie A 04/02/23
Cremonese
Lecce
Italy Serie A 02/10/22
Lecce
Cremonese
Italy Serie B 23/01/22
Lecce
Cremonese
Italy Serie B 22/08/21
Cremonese
Lecce
After reviewing our key Lecce vs Cremonese predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Lecce preview: Injury concerns for the hosts
Lecce will be without Kialonda Gaspar, Medon Berisha, and Francesco Camarda, all currently sidelined by injury. Their absence limits the hosts’ options in defence and attack heading into this game.
Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Siebert, Gabriel, Ndaba, Veiga, Gandelman, Ramadani, Coulibaly, Gallo, Banda & Cheddira
Last five fixtures
- 28.02.26 – Como 3–1 Lecce (Serie A)
- 21.02.26 – Lecce 0–2 Inter (Serie A)
- 16.02.26 – Cagliari 0–2 Lecce (Serie A)
- 08.02.26 – Lecce 2–1 Udinese (Serie A)
- 01.02.26 – Torino 1–0 Lecce (Serie A)
Cremonese preview: Multiple absentees to manage
Cremonese also have several players unavailable for this clash. Martin Payero, Faris Moumbagna, Federico Baschirotto and Michele Collocolo are all ruled out due to injury, while Filippo Terracciano must serve a suspension after his recent disciplinary setback.
Predicted lineup: Audero (GK), Bianchetti, Folino, Luperto, Zerbin, Thorsby, Vandeputte, Maleh, Pezzella, Bonazzoli & Vardy
Last five fixtures
- 01.03.26 – Cremonese 0–2 AC Milan (Serie A)
- 22.02.26 – AS Roma 3–0 Cremonese (Serie A)
- 15.02.26 – Cremonese 0–0 Genoa (Serie A)
- 09.02.26 – Atalanta 2–1 Cremonese (Serie A)
- 01.02.26 – Cremonese 0–2 Inter (Serie A)
Player to watch: Lameck Banda
Lameck Banda has emerged as Lecce's most creative and dangerous player, and he will be the primary threat to the Cremonese defence.
He has managed to record one assist and one goal in his last five games, often providing the spark that the home side needs when they are struggling to break teams down.
His pace makes him a difficult player to contain for 90 minutes. We expect him to play an important role in ensuring that the home side stays competitive in this relegation battle.