Lecce vs AC Milan prediction
🔥 Our Hot tip

Lecce or draw

AC Milan haven't won any of their last four matches.

Lecce will take on AC Milan on Saturday, 8 December in a match between two of Serie A's most out-of-form teams.

Lecce come into the match in the thick of a relegation battle and are currently just three points clear of Empoli in 18th position.

AC Milan, meanwhile, are having a torrid time and currently sit in ninth position in the league table. A push for Europe is now perhaps beyond them.

As part of this week's round of Serie A betting tips, check out our Lecce vs AC Milan prediction below.

Lecce vs AC Milan prediction: Spoils to be shared?

Key Stats

  • AC Milan have lost their last three away matches in all competitions.
  • Lecce have won or drawn three of their last five Serie A matches.
  • Both teams have scored in each of AC Milan's last four matches.

Correct score prediction: Lecce 1-1 AC Milan

Neither side comes into this one in brilliant form but the home side do at least have something to show for their work recently with five points from their last five games compared to AC Milan's three from the same time frame. The visitors also have the issue of motivation, or lack of, with very little now to play for.

Pre-game odds and win probability: AC Milan are odds-on favourites

  • HOME: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
  • DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
  • AWAY: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Lecce vs AC Milan odds are quite surprising in that AC Milan have been priced as if they are a team you can trust to win on the road in Serie A. Ladbrokes have made them the odds-on favourites, giving them a 57.1% chance of winning the match while Lecce have been given a 22.2% chance of coming out on top.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage AC Milan

AC Milan's status as the favourites is a little more understandable when you look at their recent record in this fixture. They are unbeaten in 13 previous meetings with Lecce and the Rossoneri won 3-0 when the teams last faced off in September 2024. Lecce's last win over AC Milan came all the way back in April 2006.

Italy Serie A 27/09/24

AC Milan

AC Milan

3
Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 06/04/24

AC Milan

AC Milan

3
Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 11/11/23

Lecce

Lecce

2
AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Italy Serie A 23/04/23

AC Milan

AC Milan

2
Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 14/01/23

Lecce

Lecce

2
AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Lecce preview: Looking to cling on again

Lecce have had another difficult season in Serie A and the January sale of Patrick Dorgu to Manchester United hasn't helped them. They have finished 14th and 16th twice since their return to the top flight three years ago and they would gladly take a similar position this time around with just 11 games to go.

Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Guilbert, Baschirotto, Jean, Gallo, Coulibaly, Pierret, Pierotti, Helgason, Morente, Krstovic

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Juventus

Juventus

2

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 06/04/25

D

Venezia

Venezia

1

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 29/03/25

L

Roma

Roma

1

Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 14/03/25

L

Genoa

Genoa

2

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 08/03/25

L

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Lecce

Lecce

2

AC Milan preview: Conceicao under pressure

Sergio Conceicao was only appointed as the AC Milan boss in December but rumours are already swirling that he could be replaced in the summer. His side's form since crashing out of the Champions League has been alarming, to say the least, and another defeat on Saturday would only ramp up the pressure more on the Portuguese manager.

Predicted lineup: Sportiello (GK), Walker, Tomori, Gabbia, Hernandez, Reijnders, Fofana, Pulisic, Felix, Leao, Gimenez

Italy Serie A 11/04/25

W

Udinese

Udinese

0

AC Milan

AC Milan

4

Italy Serie A 05/04/25

D

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Coppa Italia 02/04/25

D

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 30/03/25

L

Napoli

Napoli

2

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 15/03/25

W

Como

Como

1

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Player to watch: Rafael Leao

rafael leao
Photo by Imago

Rafael Leao has not had a good season by his usual standard with just six goals and six assists to his name in Serie A so far this season. His body language at times has been that of a player who has checked out and what happens in the summer with him is something to keep an eye on. For the remainder of the season, he could do with rediscovering what makes him such a tricky customer.

italy serie a prediction today

Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.