Seeking to extend an impressive unbeaten home run in 2026, Le Havre welcome Toulouse to Stade Oceane on Sunday afternoon knowing another positive result could further ease lingering relegation concerns.
While the hosts arrive boosted by a morale-lifting 2-1 victory over Strasbourg last weekend that restored breathing space above the drop zone, the visitors make the trip north looking to quickly bounce back after seeing their strong away run brought to an abrupt half following a 1-0 defeat at Angers.
After reading our Le Havre vs Toulouse prediction, remember to check out other Ligue 1 predictions.
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Le Havre vs Toulouse prediction: Le Havre draw no bet
Key statistics
- Le Havre are unbeaten in four of their last five Ligue 1 matches (W2, D2, L1).
- The Normandy side have avoided defeat in all home league games played in 2026 so far.
- Toulouse saw a six-game unbeaten away streak ended last time out against Angers.
- All of Le Havre’s last five league fixtures have been decided by a single goal or finished level.
- Toulouse have won just once away at Le Havre across all competitions since the mid-1990s.
Correct score prediction: Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse
With Le Havre growing increasingly comfortable in tight, tactical contests at home, this could once again be decided by fine margins. Toulouse’s recent attacking injuries may blunt their threat just enough for the hosts to edge a narrow victory.
Pre-game odds and probabilities: Slight edge for Toulouse by the bookies
- Le Havre: 21/10 – 3.10 (32.3%)
- Draw: 11/5 – 3.20 (31.3%)
- Toulouse: 13/10 – 2.30 (43.5%)
Odds subject to change
Despite Toulouse being marginal favourites, Le Havre’s strong home form suggests this matchup is far more balanced than the market implies.
Recent Head-to-head history: Toulouse hold recent edge
Recent meetings have leaned Toulouse’s way, with the visitors unbeaten in the last three clashes (W2, D1). However, trips to Normandy have historically proven awkward, with Le Havre rarely beaten on home soil in this fixture over the past three decades.
France Ligue 1 02/11/25
Toulouse
Le Havre
France Ligue 1 23/02/25
Le Havre
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 15/09/24
Toulouse
Le Havre
France Ligue 1 10/03/24
Le Havre
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 05/11/23
Toulouse
Le Havre
Le Havre preview: Turning resilience into results
Le Havre’s season has been built on staying competitive even when wins have been hard to come by. After three matches without victory, last weekend’s 2-1 success over Strasbourg offered timely reassurance that their approach is beginning to pay off.
However, the hosts could be missing some players with Youte Kinkoue doubtful following a head injury, while Ayumu Seko, Abdoulaye Toure and Reda Khadra are all fitness concerns.
Predicted lineup: Diaw; Doucoure, Lloris, Sangante; Nego, Gourna-Douath, Kechta, Koffi; Ndiaye; Soumare, Boufal
Le Havre's last five results
- 08/02/26: Le Havre 2-1 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
- 30/01/26: Lens 1-0 Le Havre (Ligue 1)
- 24/01/26: Le Havre 0-0 Monaco (Ligue 1)
- 18/01/26: Rennes 1-1 Le Havre (Ligue 1)
- 04/01/26: Le Havre 2-1 Angers (Ligue 1)
Toulouse preview: Road form tested again
Before last weekend’s defeat, Toulouse had quietly built one of the more reliable away records in French football, picking up points consistently while staying difficult to break down.
Their narrow loss at Angers may prove just a temporary blip, but injuries are beginning to stretch the squad at a delicate moment in the campaign.
With several regulars unavailable or short of full fitness, Toulouse may need to rely on structure rather than fluency once again.
The visitors could miss up to three players with Abu Francis sidelined, while Frank Magri and Dayann Methalie are doubtful.
Predicted lineup: Restes; Sidibe, Cresswell, Nicolaisen; Messali, Casseres, Vossah, Donnum; Emersonn, Gboho; Hidalgo
Toulouse's last five results
- 08/02/26: Angers 1-0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- 04/02/26: Toulouse 1-0 Amiens (Coupe de France)
- 01/02/26: Toulouse 0-0 Auxerre (Ligue 1)
- 25/01/26: Brest 0-2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- 17/01/26: Toulouse 5-1 Nice (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Issa Soumare
After finally ending his scoring drought last weekend, Soumare looks primed to become Le Havre’s main attacking reference point during the run-in. His physical presence and timing in the box caused Toulouse problems in previous meetings, and with confidence restored, he could again prove decisive in another closely fought contest.
