Lazio vs Porto prediction, odds & betting tips – 07/11/2024
Can in-form Lazio maintain their surge at Porto's expense in Italy? (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 total goals

Over 2.5 goals have been notched in 12 of Lazio’s 14 matches in all competitions this term.

Lazio take on Porto at the Stadio Olimpico in the Europa League Group Stage clash on Thursday, 7 November. Read our Europa League predictions for the continental fixture below.

Lazio vs Porto prediction: Goals anticipated in Italy

Key Stats

  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 12 of Lazio’s 14 matches in all competitions this season.
  • Pedro has notched in each of his last two Europa League appearances for Lazio.
  • Lazio have won eight of their last nine fixtures in all competitions.
  • Porto conceded three goals in two of their first three UEL group matches.

Correct score prediction: Lazio 3-1 Porto

Lazio have won an outstanding eight of their last nine games in all competitions and all three of their group matches in the Europa League. They’ve been averaging 3.00 goals per game on the continent and could put Porto to the sword.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Lazio have the edge in the markets

  • HOME: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • AWAY: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Lazio’s 2-1 win over Cagliari last time out was their eighth victory in nine games in all competitions and the Biancocelesti have a 40% chance of maintaining their surge on Thursday evening.

Porto have won six games on the trot since their 3-3 draw with Manchester United, though they remain 15/8 underdogs ahead of their visit to Italy this week. Visit our latest football tips page for more expert Europa League predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Teams reacquainted

Lazio and Porto met at the Round of 16 stages of the Europa League during the 2021/22 campaign. Porto emerged from that tie on the right end of a 4-3 aggregate score.

UEFA Europa League 24/02/22

Lazio

Lazio

2
FC Porto

FC Porto

2

UEFA Europa League 17/02/22

FC Porto

FC Porto

2
Lazio

Lazio

1

Lazio preview: Hosts at full strength

Lazio have a clean bill of health at present and have reported no fresh injuries ahead of Thursday's game. Pedro was rested against Cagliari at the weekend, as was Mattia Zaccagni, and both players could be restored to the XI this week.

Predicted lineup: Provedel (GK), Lazzari, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini, Guendouzi, Rovella, Pedro, Dia, Zaccagni, Castellanos

Italy Serie A 10/05/25

D

Juventus

Juventus

1

Lazio

Lazio

1

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

W

Empoli

Empoli

0

Lazio

Lazio

1

Italy Serie A 28/04/25

D

Parma

Parma

2

Lazio

Lazio

2

Italy Serie A 23/04/25

W

Genoa

Genoa

0

Lazio

Lazio

2

UEFA Europa League 17/04/25

W

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt

1

Lazio

Lazio

3

Porto preview: Trio missing for visitors

Zaidu Sanusi and Ivan Marcano are both sidelined with ACL injuries while Wendell has a muscle issue and is also sidelined. Porto cruised to a 4-0 win over Estoril in the Primeira Liga at the weekend, so won't be short on confidence in Italy.

Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Fernandes, Perez, Djalo, Moura, Varela, Gonzalez, Vieira, Namaso, Pepe, Omorodion

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25

W

Boavista

Boavista

1

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 02/05/25

W

Moreirense

Moreirense

1

FC Porto

FC Porto

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/25

L

Estrela

Estrela

2

FC Porto

FC Porto

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25

W

Famalicao

Famalicao

1

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25

W

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

FC Porto

FC Porto

1

Player to watch – Valentín Castellanos

Valentín Castellanos has completed just 137 minutes in the Europa League this season, though the Argentinean attacker still managed to score two goals in his limited appearances on the continent.

Lazio vs Porto prediction
Valentin Castellanos has made a major impact in fleeting appearances in the Europa League this term. (Photo by Imago)

Castellanos is a sharp finisher

Castellanos failed to score against Cagliari at the weekend, though he bagged a brace in his last runout for Lazio against Como before that and the 26-year-old has the talent to take another chance if one falls his way against Porto.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.