On Saturday, 15 February, Lazio will take on Napoli at the Stadio Olimpico in one of the biggest games of the season so far.
Lazio come into the match looking to solidify their position in the top four as they chase a position in next season's Champions League.
Napoli, meanwhile, will be aware that anything other than a win in the capital on Saturday could see them drop down to second position if Inter Milan can beat Juventus on Sunday.
As part of this week's round of Serie A betting tips, check out our Lazio vs Napoli prediction below.
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Lazio vs Napoli prediction: The visitors to be held again
Key Stats
- Napoli have drawn their last two Serie A matches.
- Lazio have lost just two games at home all season.
- Both teams have scored in each of Napoli's last four Serie A matches.
Correct score prediction: Lazio 1-1 Napoli
There are signs that things are perhaps starting to turn a little sour in Naples and that is starting to show on the pitch. They have slumped to back-to-back draws in the league so Lazio away is not what they need right now. The hosts will feel they get a win here but their recent home defeat to Fiorentina has stopped us short of backing them outright.
Pre-game odds and win probability: The bookies are on the fence
- HOME: 17/10 (2.70) – 37%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- AWAY: 17/10 (2.70) – 37%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Lazio vs Napoli odds are the perfect illustration of just how close this match is expected to be with Ladbrokes considering both teams as equals in the betting stakes. An implied probability of 31.3% of a draw does feel like a slight underestimation, particularly as it wouldn't necessarily be a bad result for either side.
Visit our latest football tips page for more free Italian football predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Lazio dominance
Lazio's price of 17/10 to win the match looks like incredible value when you look at how they have performed against Napoli in recent seasons. They are unbeaten in their last five matches against Napoli (four wins and one draw) so will be full of confidence ahead of kick-off on Saturday. Earlier this season, Lazio won 1-0 in Naples.
Italy Serie A 08/12/24

Napoli

Lazio
Coppa Italia 05/12/24

Lazio

Napoli
Italy Serie A 28/01/24

Lazio

Napoli
Italy Serie A 02/09/23

Napoli

Lazio
Italy Serie A 03/03/23

Napoli

Lazio
Lazio preview: On the verge of a brilliant season
Over the next three months, Lazio could end up finishing inside the top four in Serie A and winning the Europa League and neither of those outcomes are long shots anymore. They qualified for the Europa League Round of 16 as the league phase winners and are in the box seat for finishing fourth. A win on Saturday would only increase their belief.
Predicted lineup: Provedel (GK), Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Tavares, Rovella, Guendouzi, Isaksen, Pedro, Zaccagni, Castellanos
Italy Serie A 10/05/25
D

Juventus
1

Lazio
1
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W

Empoli
0

Lazio
1
Italy Serie A 28/04/25
D

Parma
2

Lazio
2
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
W

Genoa
0

Lazio
2
UEFA Europa League 17/04/25
W

Bodo/Glimt
1

Lazio
3
Napoli preview: Revenge on their minds
Napoli will want to show their opponents who the real boss is when they head to the Stadio Olimpico on Saturday. Antonio Conte's side will stay at the top of Serie A with victory, although they know full well how difficult the task is ahead after losing to Lazio at home earlier in the season.
Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Buongiorno, Jesus, Lobotka, Anguissa, McTominay, Politano, Lukaku, Raspadori
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
D

Genoa
2

Napoli
2
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
W

Lecce
0

Napoli
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W

Torino
0

Napoli
2
Italy Serie A 19/04/25
W

Monza
0

Napoli
1
Italy Serie A 14/04/25
W

Empoli
0

Napoli
3
Player to watch: Scott McTominay

Scott McTominay is already a cult hero in Naples and that's thanks in large to the number of goals he has scored in big matches for Napoli since signing for the club in the summer. The Scotland international has scored goals against Atlanta, Fiorentina and Inter Milan so far this season and if he can find another this week, then his status among Napoli fans will only go up further.