Lazio will host title contenders Napoli in the Italian Serie A on Sunday at the Stadio Olimpico, with both teams looking to kickstart the new year with a win.
Lazio were held to a dramatic 1-1 draw by Udinese last weekend, conceding a stoppage-time equaliser. This marked their sixth draw in the last 12 league games, a run that has seen the Biancocelesti slip behind in the top-six battle.
Despite this, Maurizio Sarri’s side still boasts one of Serie A’s toughest defensive units, having kept nine clean sheets so far, the most in the league.
Lazio have been particularly solid at home, recording four clean sheets in their last five home league matches, including a notable 1-0 win over Juventus that highlighted their defensive resilience.
Napoli, meanwhile, secured a 2-0 win over Cremonese last Sunday thanks to a Rasmus Højlund brace, marking their third straight victory by the same scoreline.
The previous two included Supercoppa Italiana success, and with four wins in their last five league matches, Antonio Conte’s side remains very much in the Scudetto race.
With only two points separating the top three at the start of this round, dropping points is not an option, particularly with a pivotal clash against Inter Milan coming up later this month.
However, Napoli’s recent away form has been concerning, suffering seven defeats in their last ten competitive away matches, highlighting vulnerabilities on the road.
Read our Lazio vs Napoli predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Lazio vs Napoli prediction: Narrow win for the Biancocelesti
Key statistics
- The Biancocelesti are unbeaten in their last five games in all competitions.
- Lazio have won three of their last five meetings against Napoli.
- BTTS has been played in three of their last five meetings.
Correct score prediction: Lazio 2-1 Napoli
Looking at how both teams have performed recently, we expect a very tight game in this encounter. However, we believe that the host can nick a win and shock the title contenders in this game.
Both teams are in good form, with Lazio unbeaten in their last five and Napoli on a three-game winning streak. Despite this, the Biancocelesti have a slight edge based on their home form.
They have not lost at home in their last five games and will be looking to maintain their unbeaten streak. So for this game, we are predicting a narrow 2-1 victory for the home team.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Away side slight favourites
- Home: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- Draw: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- Away: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The bookmakers marginally favour the away side, with odds of 2.38 implying a 42.1% chance of victory. The home team are priced at 3.30 (30.3%), indicating they are seen as outsiders but still capable of competing, while the draw at 3.00 (33.3%) reflects expectations of a tight and evenly balanced contest where neither side is guaranteed to dominate.
Most recent head-to-head: Lazio edge past meetings
Looking at their previous records, in their last five competitive meetings, Lazio have had the upper hand, with three wins and Napoli have failed to get a win, with two draws separating them.
However, the Biancocelesti have only won once at home in their last five meetings, with the Partenopei winning two. Their last encounter saw Lazio claim a 1-0 away win in 2024 and a 2-2 draw was played in the return in 2025.
Italy Serie A 15/02/25
Lazio
Napoli
Italy Serie A 08/12/24
Napoli
Lazio
Coppa Italia 05/12/24
Lazio
Napoli
Italy Serie A 28/01/24
Lazio
Napoli
Italy Serie A 02/09/23
Napoli
Lazio
After reviewing our key Lazio vs Napoli predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Lazio preview: Midfield returns amid key absences
Sarri can welcome back Matteo Guendouzi and Toma Basic following their suspensions last week, providing a boost to an already stretched squad.
However, Lazio remain short in several areas. Nicolo Rovella and Samuel Gigot are sidelined through injury, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru and Boulaye Dia are away at the Africa Cup of Nations, and last season’s top scorer, Taty Castellanos, is reportedly set to join West Ham United.
Predicted lineup: Provedel (GK), Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini, Guendouzi, Cataldi, Basic, Isaksen, Noslin & Zaccagni
Last five fixtures
- 27.12.25 – Udinese 1 – 1 Lazio
- 20.12.25 – Lazio 0 – 0 Cremonese
- 13.12.25 – Parma 0 – 1 Lazio
- 07.12.25 – Lazio 1 – 1 Bologna
- 04.12.25 – Lazio 1 – 0 AC Milan
Napoli preview: Injury setback and other key absences
Napoli are without Romelu Lukaku, who suffered a setback shortly after returning from a long-term layoff. The squad is also missing Kevin De Bruyne, Frank Anguissa, Billy Gilmour, and goalkeeper Alex Meret.
Defensive options could be further limited, as the fitness of Sam Beukema and Mathias Olivera is in doubt, potentially restricting Antonio Conte’s tactical choices.
Predicted lineup: Milinkovic-Savic (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Buongiorno, Politano, Lobotka, McTominay, Spinazzola, Neres, Elmas & Hojlund
Last five fixtures
- 28.12.25 – Cremonese 0 – 2 Napoli
- 22.12.25 – Napoli 2 – 0 Bologna
- 18.12.25 – Napoli 2 – 0 AC Milan
- 14.12.25 – Udinese 1 – 0 Napoli
- 10.12.25 – Benfica 2 – 0 Napoli
Player to watch: Rasmus Hojlund
Rasmus Hojlund has been in good form this season for Napoli in their race to defend the Serie A title. The striker has scored six goals and provided two assists in the league and has the most goal contributions in the team.
He scored a brace in his last game against Cremonese and will be a big threat in attack for the Partenopei. He will be looking to get his name on the scoresheet and help his team push forward in their title charge.