Following the turn of a new year, Lazio will take on Fiorentina in the Serie A at the Stadio Olimpico on Wednesday, with the home side looking to get their first win in 2026.
Lazio suffered a 2-0 defeat to reigning champions Napoli on Sunday, finishing the match with just nine men. Despite the setback, Maurizio Sarri’s side remains ninth in the Serie A table, six points off the European spots.
However, the team’s recent form has been concerning, having managed only one league win since the start of December and they are currently on a three-match winless run. Home performances have been particularly disappointing, with three games without a victory, including two matches without scoring a goal.
Fiorentina, on the other hand, finally registered their second league win of the season, snatching a dramatic 92nd-minute victory over Cremonese on Sunday.
That result lifted La Viola off the bottom of the table, leaving them just three points from safety, though still 20 points behind where they were at the same stage last season.
Away form continues to be a major issue, as Fiorentina are yet to win on the road this term and have a run of four consecutive defeats away from home in all competitions.
Read our Lazio vs Fiorentina predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Lazio vs Fiorentina prediction: Host to secure a win
Key statistics
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in three of Lazio’s last five home meetings.
- Lazio are unbeaten in their last five home games this season.
- The Biancocelesti are unbeaten in their last four Serie A games.
Correct score prediction: Lazio 1-0 Fiorentina
We are looking forward to a very tight affair in Rome, but we expect the home team to nick a win. We predict a 1-0 victory for Lazio based on their previous meetings and their incredible defensive record at the Stadio Olimpico this season.
The Biancocelesti have become a defensively solid unit that prioritises clean sheets, which makes it difficult for struggling sides like the visitors to find a breakthrough. They have managed to keep a clean sheet in nine matches this season, putting them in an advantageous position for this clash.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Lazio slight favourites
- Home: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
- Draw: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- Away: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Lazio head into this fixture as slight favourites, with odds of 2.15 implying a 46.5% chance of a home victory at the Stadio Olimpico. Fiorentina are priced at 3.40, giving them a 29.4% probability of taking all three points, while the draw sits at 3.25, reflecting a 30.8% likelihood.
The odds suggest a tight game is expected, with Lazio holding a slight edge due to home advantage, though Fiorentina remain well placed to make this a competitive encounter if they can reproduce their best attacking form.
Most recent head-to-head: Lazio hold home record
The last five competitive meetings between these two clubs show that Lazio have generally had the upper hand at home. They have won three encounters, while Fiorentina have managed one victory, with one draw separating them.
However, the trend has shifted recently, with the Viola managing to win the previous three matches against the Biancocelesti. Their last meeting in 2025 ended in a 2-1 home victory for Fiorentina.
Italy Serie A 26/01/25
Lazio
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 22/09/24
Fiorentina
Lazio
Italy Serie A 26/02/24
Fiorentina
Lazio
Italy Serie A 30/10/23
Lazio
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 29/01/23
Lazio
Fiorentina
After reviewing our key Lazio vs Fiorentina predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Lazio preview: Several absences in the team
Lazio have several players unavailable for this fixture, including Boulaye Dia and Fisayo Dele-Bashiru on international duty, Matias Vecino, Patric and Samuel Gigot through injury, as well as Adam Marusic and Tijjani Noslin serving suspensions.
Predicted lineup: Provedel (GK), Tavares, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini, Guendouzi, Cataldi, Basic, Cancellieri, Pedro & Zaccagni
Last five fixtures
- 04.01.26 – Lazio 0–2 Napoli
- 27.12.25 – Udinese 1–1 Lazio
- 20.12.25 – Lazio 0–0 Cremonese
- 13.12.25 – Parma 0–1 Lazio
- 07.12.25 – Lazio 1–1 Bologna
Fiorentina preview: Key players sidelined
Torbjorn Heggem is returning from suspension, but Italiano still has a few selection issues to contend with. Bologna are only missing goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski and winger Federico Bernardeschi for this fixture.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Dodo, Comuzzo, Pongracic, Ranieri, Mandragora, Fagioli, Ndour, Parisi, Piccoli & Gudmundsson
Last five fixtures
- 04.01.26 – Fiorentina 1–0 Cremonese
- 27.12.25 – Parma 1–0 Fiorentina
- 21.12.25 – Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese
- 18.12.25 – Lausanne 1–0 Fiorentina
- 14.12.25 – Fiorentina 1–2 Verona
Player to watch: Mattia Zaccagni
Mattia Zaccagni remains the key attacking player for the home side and comes into this fixture as one of the most important players in the squad. With three goals to his name this season, the winger has been central to most of the positive moments for the team.
His work rate makes him a constant threat to defenders and much of the attacking play is shaped around his creativity. Should the hosts hope to secure all three points, they will once again be relying heavily on Zaccagni to deliver a decisive performance.