Lazio vs Cremonese prediction, odds & betting tips – 20/12/2025
Lazio players celebrating || Credit IMAGO / Action Plus
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Over 4.5 goals

Lazio at home have seen over 4.5 goals scored by both teams in three of their last five meetings.

A mid-table Serie A clash between Lazio and Cremonese is scheduled for Saturday at the Stadio Olimpico, with both teams desperate to secure points for European contention.

The Biancocelesti have been in decent form in their last five games, having won three, drawn one and lost one. Following their draw against Bologna last time out, they returned to winning ways after a narrow 1-0 victory against Parma, where they finished with nine men. 

The Grigiorossi, meanwhile, have not been convincing in their last five games, with just two wins and three losses. Their two-game winning run came to an end last weekend following a 1-0 defeat by Torino away from home.

Read our Lazio vs Cremonese predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other Serie A predictions.

Lazio vs Cremonese prediction: Home team to claim a comfortable win 

Key statistics

  • BTTS has been played in three of their last five clashes.
  • Lazio have won four of their last five encounters with Cremonese.
  • Three of Lazio’s last five home meetings have seen both teams score over 4.5 total goals.

Correct score prediction: Lazio 4-1 Cremonese

Given Lazio’s determination to build on their recent consistency, the home team should get a convincing win in this tie. Lazio have been strong at home against Cremonese in previous meetings and are also unbeaten at home in their last five games. 

The Biancocelesti’s attacking talent should prove decisive against a side that rarely keeps clean sheets against top opposition. As a result, a comfortable 4–1 victory for the home team is on the cards in this game.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Lazio are clear favourites

  • Home: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
  • Draw: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
  • Away: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

The market strongly favours Lazio, with odds of 1.62 implying a near 62% chance of a home victory. Cremonese are significant outsiders at 5.50 (18.2%), while the draw is priced at 3.80 (26.3%). Despite Lazio’s recent inconsistency, the bookmakers expect the host to get the win.

Most recent head-to-head: The recent history shows dominance for Lazio

Looking at their previous competitive records, the last five encounters between Lazio and Cremonese have resulted in complete dominance for the Roman club. Lazio have won four competitive meetings with Cremonese, who have just one win. The last results ended in a 3-2 victory for Lazio in 2023 and a commanding 4-0 victory for Lazio in 2022.

Italy Serie A 28/05/23

Lazio

Lazio

3
Cremonese

Cremonese

2

Italy Serie A 18/09/22

Cremonese

Cremonese

0
Lazio

Lazio

4

After reviewing our key Lazio vs Cremonese predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Lazio preview: Suspension crisis forces Sarri’s hand

Maurizio Sarri has even joked about fielding just 10 players this weekend following the transfer embargo placed on the club. The situation is further complicated by suspensions, with Patric Basic set to serve a two-match ban and captain Mattia Zaccagni also ruled out.

AFCON commitments will additionally deprive Lazio of Fisayo Dele-Bashiru and Boulaye Dia, limiting Sarri’s attacking and midfield options. Injury problems persist, too, as Gustav Isaksen, Samuel Gigot and Nicolo Rovella remain unavailable. 

There is some relief, however, with Patric and Matteo Cancellieri recently returning to first-team action, while Spanish centre-back Mario Gila is available again after missing the trip to Parma

Predicted lineup: Provedel (GK), Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini, Guendouzi, Cataldi, Vecino, Cancellieri, Castellanos & Noslin

Last five fixtures

  • 13.12.25 – Parma 0–1 Lazio
  • 07.12.25 – Lazio 1–1 Bologna
  • 04.12.25 – Lazio 1–0 AC Milan
  • 29.11.25 – AC Milan 1–0 Lazio
  • 23.11.25 – Lazio 2–0 Lecce

Cremonese preview: Absence adds to selection issues

Cremonese will also be forced into changes, with midfielder Martin Payero suspended after accumulating too many bookings, leaving the visitors short of options in the centre of the pitch.

Jeremy Sarmiento, Alberto Grassi and Michele Collocolo all remain sidelined as they continue their recovery from injury. There is some positive news for Davide Ballardini’s side, however, as defensive pair Matteo Bianchetti and Mikayil Faye are both expected to return to contention, boosting the visitors’ options at the back.

Predicted lineup: Audero (GK), Terracciano, Baschirotto, Bianchetti, Barbieri, Zerbin, Bondo, Vandeputte, Pezzella, Bonazzoli & Vardy

Last five fixtures

  • 13.12.25 – Torino 1–0 Cremonese
  • 07.12.25 – Cremonese 2–0 Lecce
  • 01.12.25 – Bologna 1–3 Cremonese
  • 23.11.25 – Cremonese 1–3 AS Roma
  • 07.11.25 – Pisa 1–0 Cremonese

Player to watch: Valentin Castellanos

Valentin Castellanos || Credit - IMAGO / Gribaudi/ImagePhoto
Valentin Castellanos || Credit – IMAGO / Gribaudi/ImagePhoto

Valentin Castellanos stands out as the key player to watch and the main attacking threat for the favoured Lazio side. The Argentine forward has enjoyed a productive campaign so far, scoring two league goals and supplying three assists for a total of five goal contributions. 

His knack for both finishing chances and creating opportunities for teammates will be vital if Lazio are to convert their dominance into a crucial home victory in this encounter.

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