Lazio and Atalanta are set to battle it out at the historic Stadio Olimpico this Saturday in a fixture that carries significant weight for the European qualification spots in Serie A.
The host have little time to recover after booking their place in the Coppa Italia semi-finals on Wednesday, overcoming Bologna in a penalty shootout.
That cup success provided a welcome lift after a frustrating 2–2 league draw with Juventus. With just one win from their last six home league matches, Lazio begin the weekend eight points adrift of the top six.
Atalanta, meanwhile, arrive in the capital within touching distance of the European places, sitting just two points behind sixth-placed Como.
A strong start to 2026 has kept them unbeaten in Serie A and since Raffaele Palladino took charge. Their 2–1 win over Cremonese last weekend maintained that momentum, though away form remains a slight concern.
A narrow European defeat to Royale Union Saint-Gilloise came between two league draws on the road, and Atalanta will be eager to avoid a third straight away Serie A stalemate.
Read our Lazio vs Atalanta predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Lazio vs Atalanta prediction: Expect a draw in this game
Key statistics
- Lazio have picked up at least four cards in three of their last five home matches.
- Atalanta have lost two of their last five meetings with Lazio.
- Three of their last five encounters have had BTTS being played.
Correct score prediction: Lazio 1-1 Atalanta
Both teams have not been at their best in their last five games and we believe the game will end in a stalemate, with our exact correct score prediction being a 1-1 draw.
While the home side has been decent at the Olimpico, they often leave gaps when pushing forward, which the visitors are expertly coached to exploit on the break, the same for the away team.
The most recent meeting ended in a 0-0 stalemate and the intensity of a top-four race usually forces these teams into a more open game. We expect the game to be tight, with both teams settling for a draw.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Atalanta slightly favoured to win
- Home: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- Draw: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- Away: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Atalanta have a narrow edge heading into this contest, with odds of 2.20 implying a 45.5% chance of an away victory. That suggests confidence in their overall form and attacking strength despite playing on the road.
Lazio are priced at 3.40, translating to a 29.4% probability of a home win, while the draw sits at 3.25 (30.8%), highlighting expectations of a competitive and closely fought encounter. Overall, the odds point towards a tight matchup, with the visitors holding a slight advantage.
Most recent head-to-head: A competitive and tight history
The history between these two Italian giants has been remarkably balanced over the last few years, making it one of the most unpredictable fixtures in the calendar.
Looking at their last five recent meetings, the record stands at two wins for Lazio, one for Atalanta and two draws. The last time Atalanta won was in 2024, which was a 3-1 victory over the Rome side.
However, in 2025, Lazio nicked a 1-0 victory over La Dea away from home after playing a 1-1 draw in the first leg. Their recent meeting this season ended in a 0-0 draw, with the return leg looking likely to be another stalemate.
Italy Serie A 19/10/25
Atalanta
Lazio
Italy Serie A 06/04/25
Atalanta
Lazio
Italy Serie A 28/12/24
Lazio
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 04/02/24
Atalanta
Lazio
Italy Serie A 08/10/23
Lazio
Atalanta
After reviewing our key Lazio vs Atalanta predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Lazio preview: Fatigue and fresh injury concerns
Already short on numbers following several departures in the winter transfer window, Maurizio Sarri has limited scope to rotate his squad. Lazio have played three times in the space of six days, while Atalanta arrive with the benefit of a full week’s preparation.
There are also fresh concerns, as Pedro was forced off on Wednesday and could now miss out despite scoring in three of his last four league appearances.
The hosts are already without Mattia Zaccagni, Toma Basic, Samuel Gigot and Manuel Lazzari through injury, while key centre-back Alessio Romagnoli is suspended for this fixture.
Predicted lineup: Provedel (GK), Marusic, Gila, Provstgaard, Tavares, Dele-Bashiru, Cataldi, Taylor, Isaksen, Maldini & Noslin
Last five fixtures
- 11.02.26 – Bologna 1–1 Lazio (P) (Coppa Italia)
- 08.02.26 – Juventus 2–2 Lazio (Serie A)
- 30.01.26 – Lazio 3–2 Genoa (Serie A)
- 24.01.26 – Lecce 0–0 Lazio (Serie A)
- 19.01.26 – Lazio 0–3 Como (Serie A)
Atalanta preview: Suspensions over and minimal absences
Palladino can welcome back Honest Ahanor and club captain Marten de Roon after both completed one-match suspensions last weekend, strengthening Atalanta’s defensive and midfield options.
The visitors have very few injury concerns, with Charles De Ketelaere the only confirmed absentee as he continues to recover from a knee problem that also kept him out of the trip to Cremona.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Scalvini, Djimsiti, Ahanor, Zappacosta, Ederson, De Roon, Bernasconi, Samardzic, Raspadori & Scamacca
Last five fixtures
- 09.02.26 – Atalanta 2–1 Cremonese (Serie A)
- 05.02.26 – Atalanta 3–0 Juventus (Coppa Italia)
- 01.02.26 – Como 0–0 Atalanta (Serie A)
- 28.01.26 – Royale Union SG 1–0 Atalanta (Champions League)
- 25.01.26 – Atalanta 4–0 Parma (Serie A)
Player to watch: Gianluca Scamacca
Gianluca Scamacca is the player to keep a close eye on as he leads the line for Atalanta. The powerful Italian striker has been in impressive form lately, finding the net in three of his last five appearances for the club.
His physical presence and improved movement in the box make him the primary threat to the home defence, and we expect him to play a decisive role in the outcome of this match.