sevilla vs las palmas prediction
Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Las Palmas or draw

Las Palmas have avoided defeat in 50% of their last eight La Liga matches.

Sevilla will take on Las Palmas in La Liga on Tuesday, 13 May, in a huge match in the battle to avoid relegation. 

Sevilla, who are historically more accustomed to competing at the other end of the league table, are currently four points clear of Leganes in 18th position with three games to play.

The situation is far more serious for Las Palmas, who are currently inside the bottom three. They are three points from safety, so will consider this one a must-win fixture.

As part of this week's round of La Liga betting tips, check out our Sevilla vs Las Palmas prediction below.

Sevilla vs Las Palmas prediction: Las Palmas to take something from the game

Key stats

  • Sevilla have lost six of their last eight league matches.
  • Las Palmas have taken four points from their last three away matches.
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in three of Las Palmas' last four matches.

Correct score prediction: Sevilla 1-1 Las Palmas

Neither of these two teams are exactly flying at the moment, but Las Palmas are certainly in better form than their opponents. Sevilla will likely have enough to beat the drop but they are only going to crawl over the finish line.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sevilla the slight favourites

  • HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Sevilla vs Las Palmas odds suggest that Sevilla will come out on top on Tuesday night, but this feels off considering they have lost 75% of their last eight matches. Ladbrokes have given the hosts a 54.1% chance of victory, while Las Palmas have been given just a 23.8% chance of winning.

For more picks, today’s free football betting tips take a look at some of the best options from the action across Europe and beyond.

Most recent H2Hs: A fixture Sevilla tend to dominate

This is a fixture that Sevilla have enjoyed a lot in recent years, which is perhaps why they've been priced as odds-on favourites despite their form. Las Palmas haven't won any of the last eight H2Hs between the two sides, with Sevilla winning seven of them. The one draw in that run came earlier this season when the teams played out a 2-2 stalemate.

Spain La Liga 16/08/24

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

2
Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Spain La Liga 14/04/24

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0
Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Spain La Liga 17/09/23

Sevilla

Sevilla

1
Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Europe Friendlies 22/07/21

Sevilla

Sevilla

1
Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Spain La Liga 17/02/18

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1
Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Sevilla preview: Plenty of injured stars

Sevilla's dismal run of form in recent months can be partly explained away by some terrible luck in the injury department. Several important players will be missing from the team again this week, including Tanguy Nianzou, Sambi Lokonga, Djibril Sow, Ruben Vargas and Akor Adams. In better news, Jose Angel Carmona returns from suspension.

Predicted Lineup: Nyland (GK), Carmona, Bade, Gudelj, Salas, Suso, Agoume, Saul, Pedrosa, Romero, Lukebakio

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

L

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

3

Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

D

Leganes

Leganes

2

Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

L

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

D

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain La Liga 11/04/25

L

Valencia

Valencia

1

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Las Palmas preview: Still no sign of McKenna

Las Palmas could really do with the battling qualities of Scotland defender, Scott McKenna, for this one but the former Nottingham Forest man is expected to sit it out with a muscular problem. As ever, the Las Palmas squad will be playing for their captain, Kirian Rodriguez, who continues his battle with cancer.

Predicted Lineup: Horkas (GK), Rozada, Suarez, Herzog, Marmol, Munoz, Essugo, Bajcetic, Moleiro, Sandro, McBurnie

Spain La Liga 09/05/25

L

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

L

Valencia

Valencia

3

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

2

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

L

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Spain La Liga 19/04/25

W

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1

Spain La Liga 12/04/25

W

Getafe

Getafe

1

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

3

Player to watch: Oli McBurnie

Oli McBurnie
Photo by Imago

Oli McBurnie was considered a complete flop in La Liga until recently and rightly so, as the Scottish striker only scored his first goal of the campaign on 6 April. However, he has now scored three goals in his last six league outings for Las Palmas, and he could end up keeping them in the division.


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.