Veikkausliiga champions KuPS take a 1-0 lead into the second leg clash at Complexul Sportiv Raional against hosts Milsami Orhei in the first qualifying round of the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, 15 July.
View our Champions League predictions after going through our Milsami vs KuPS preview.
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Milsami vs KuPS prediction: Canaries to progress
Key Stats
- KuPS are unbeaten in five successive games across all competitions (W4, D1).
- The Canaries have won just two of their last five away matches (D2, L1).
- Milsami have lost three of their last five competitive outings (W2).
- The Red Eagles have lost twice in their last four home outings (W1, D1).
Correct score prediction: Milsami 1-2 KuPS
Although KuPS’ three-match winning streak came to a halt after their 2-2 draw against AC Oulu, they got back to winning ways by beating Milsami by a single goal in the first leg. Led by Jarkko Wiss, Canaries are in good standing to make it past the first round of UCL qualifiers following a four-year break.
The reigning Finnish title holders lost 5-0 to Molde at this stage last time, but it is difficult to see them come away with anything but a victory against a Milsami side now winless in six of their last eight games across all competitions. The defending Moldovan champions slipped to their first loss of the new season to Sheriff Tiraspol, and KuPS may well inflict back-to-back losses after their first leg meltdown.
Pre-game odds and win probability: KuPS all the way
- HOME: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.7%
- AWAY: 10/11 (1.90) – 52.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Sheriff Tiraspol beat Milsami 2-1 last weekend, before KuPs rounded them off with a 1-0 defeat in midweek. Their home advantage is of little value, as bookies back them with 29/10 (3.90) odds to emerge victorious – a 25.6% chance of emerging triumphant.
On a five-match unbeaten streak, KuPS are well poised to make it six in a row as they seek to advance and face either O.Ljubljana or Kairat Almaty in the next round. Bookmakers price the visitors at 10/11 (1.90) odds, indicating a majority 52.6% probability of victory in the return leg.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips after analysing our Milsami vs KuPS predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: KuPS supremacy
Before beating the hosts 1-0 in this campaign’s home leg, the Canaries beat Milsami 6-3 over two legs in the 2022/23 UEFA Conference League second qualifying round – drawing 2-2 at home before smashing four away at Milsami.
UEFA Champions League Qualifying 08/07/25
KuPS Kuopio
FC Milsami
UEFA Conference League Qualifying 28/07/22
FC Milsami
KuPS Kuopio
UEFA Conference League Qualifying 21/07/22
KuPS Kuopio
FC Milsami
Milsami preview: A big task on their hands
Igor Picusceac is expected to make a couple of changes to his starting eleven following the away loss to KuPs.
Predicted lineup: Timbur (GK), Arhirii, Lupano, Nwaeze, Khali, Lisu, Yoda, Ndon, Ginsari, Keita & Kalabatama
Moldova Divizia Nationala 05/07/25
L
Sheriff Tiraspol
2
FC Milsami
1
Moldova Divizia Nationala 28/06/25
W
FC Politehnica Chisinau
0
FC Milsami
3
Moldova Divizia Nationala 21/06/25
W
Zimbru Chisinau
0
FC Milsami
3
Moldova Cup 24/05/25
L
Sheriff Tiraspol
2
FC Milsami
1
Moldova Divizia Nationala 18/05/25
D
Sheriff Tiraspol
0
FC Milsami
0
KuPS preview: Can they extend their unbeaten streak?
Jarkko Wiss has a full-strength squad available at his disposal as KuPS look to qualify for the next round.
Predicted lineup: Hakala (GK), Antwi, Miettinen, Cisse, Lotjonen, Hamalainen, Oksanen, Heinonen, Ruoppi, Luyeye & Sadiku
Finland Veikkausliiga 10/05/25
W
KTP
0
KuPS Kuopio
3
Finland Veikkausliiga 02/05/25
W
SJK
0
KuPS Kuopio
1
Finland Veikkausliiga 27/04/25
W
IF Gnistan
1
KuPS Kuopio
2
Finland Veikkausliiga 23/04/25
W
IFK Mariehamn
1
KuPS Kuopio
4
Finland Veikkausliiga 19/04/25
W
FF Jaro
0
KuPS Kuopio
1
Player to watch: Agon Sadiku
Despite firing back-to-back blanks against AC Oulu and then Milsami, Sadiku has all it takes to do the damage against the hosts’ leaky defense. The Finnish marksman netted three in KuPS’ magnificent 6-2 win over Gnistan at the start of July and remains joint-eighth on the list of Veikkausliiga top scorers this season.