Koln vs Mainz prediction, odds & betting tips 17/01/2026
Lukas Kwasniok ahead of Koln vs Bayern Munich - photo by IMAGO / DeFodi Images
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Total corners: Under 10.5

Koln have seen under 10.5 corners in eight of their last nine games. Mainz have been involved in under 10.5 corners in five of their last six games.

Koln will look to return to winning ways when they face Mainz05 in the Bundesliga at RheinEnergieStadion on Saturday.

View our Koln vs Mainz predictions below.

Koln vs Mainz prediction: Home side struggling

Key stats

  • Mainz have not lost in their last six games.
  • Koln have not kept a clean sheet in their last 13 games.
  • There have been under 4.5 cards in Mainz's last five games.

Correct score prediction: Koln 1-1 Mainz

Koln are without a win in their last eight games, and are heading into this match on the back of a 3-1 defeat against Bayern.

There have been under 2.5 goals in four of the last five meetings between the two sides, and we do not expect a goal-fest on Saturday, given the form of both sides.

Mainz finally picked up a win in the Bundesliga, defeating Heidenheim 2-1. Lukas Kwasniok's side are struggling to keep clean sheets at the moment, and we expect Mainz to score.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Koln favourites

HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%

DRAW: 27/10 (3.7) – 15.4%

AWAY: 21/10 (3.1) – 32.3%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Koln are 12th in the Bundesliga with 17 points, and bookies have picked them as slight favourites for this game. They are priced at 23/20 (2.15) with 46.5% chances of winning.

The home side have scored in eight of their last 10 games, and therefore BTTS – Yes at 8/13 (1.62) with 61.7% implied probability is really tempting.

Mainz have won the first half in five of their last seven meetings between the two sides, and are 11/4 (3.75) to do so on Saturday.

Both sides have been involved in under 10.5 corners in recent matches (8/9 games for Koln and 5/6 for Mainz), and bookies have priced Total corners – Under 10.5 at 11/17 (1.65).

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Koln vs Mainz predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Koln have slight advantage

The home side have not lost in their last four meetings between the two sides. In their previous meeting, Koln won 1-0 away from home.

Germany Bundesliga I 24/08/25

Mainz

Mainz

0
Cologne

Cologne

1

Germany Bundesliga I 28/04/24

Mainz

Mainz

1
Cologne

Cologne

1

Germany Bundesliga I 10/12/23

Cologne

Cologne

0
Mainz

Mainz

0

Germany Bundesliga I 15/04/23

Cologne

Cologne

1
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 21/10/22

Mainz

Mainz

5
Cologne

Cologne

0

Koln preview: Can they bounce back to winning ways?

With no wins in their last eight games, Koln need a strong performance at home. They took the lead against Bayern, and their leaky defence couldn't stop the German champions from scoring three times.

Rav van den Berg and Eric Martel have both served suspensions and are available for selection on Saturday.

Predicted lineups: Schwabe (GK), Sebulonsen, Berg, Simpson-Pusey, Thielmann, Maretl, Krauss, Castro-Montes, El-Mala, Maina & Ache

Last five results:

  • Koln 1-3 Bayern Munich
  • Heidenheim 2-2 Koln
  • Lugano 1-2 Koln
  • Koln 0-1 Union Berlin
  • Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Koln

Mainz preview: Missing too many players

Benedict Hollerbach missed the last game against Heidenheim, and he remains doubtful for this fixture as well.

Left-back Nikolas Veratschnig picked up a hamstring issue in midweek, and Kacper Potulski should step in as a result.

Mainz are missing as many as seven first-team players, while two are doubtful, and the squad is stretched.

Predicted lineups: Batz (GK), Da Costa, Bell, Kohr, Widmer, Sano, Potulski, Je-Sung, Amiri, Sieb & Tietz

Last five results:

  • Mainz 2-1 Heidenheim
  • Union Berlin 2-2 Mainz
  • Mainz 0-0 FC St. Pauli
  • Mainz 2-0 Samsunspor
  • Bayern Munich 2-2 Mainz

Player to watch: Said El Mala

The 19-year-old is one of the highly rated talents in Germany at the moment, and it does not come as a surprise that big clubs are watching him.

The young winger made seven starts in the Bundesliga, and has scored seven goals and registered two assists.

Koln vs Mainz
Said El Mala in action for Koln – photo by IMAGO / DeFodi Images

Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.