Kenya vs Burundi prediction, odds & betting tips – 07/06/2024

Kenya vs Burundi prediction
Kenya are primed to beat Burundi in this week's qualifiers – Photo by Icon Sport

Kenya can move into the top two places in the CAF World Cup qualification group with a victory over Burundi at the Bingu National Stadium on Friday 7 June.

The Kenyans are aiming to win for the fourth fixture on the spin when they host Burundi in what should be a fascinating World Cup qualification tussle.

Kenya vs Burundi prediction: Hosts could have the edge

Key Stats

  • Keny have won each of their last three matches.
  • Burundi failed to score in each of their last three assignments.
  • Kenya notched at least twice in four of their last five games.
  • Michael Olunga has scored seven times in his last three appearances for Kenya.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies siding with Kenya

  • HOME: 1/1 (2.00) – 50%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

You can more of our top expert predictions for this week’s matches on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Last meeting in 2017

Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 19/09/22

Kenya

Kenya

0
Burundi

Burundi

0

CECAFA Cup 14/12/17

Kenya

Kenya

1
Burundi

Burundi

0

Kenya and Burundi haven’t met in any capacity since 2017. The Kenyans came out on top after extra time in that encounter (1-0), though we can’t draw many conclusions from a fixture that took place seven years ago.

Kenya preview: Prolific Olunga to lead the line

Kenya will be without the services of Joseph Okumu, Brian Onyango, Clifton Miheso and Hassan Abdallah this week. None of the members of the current Keynan roster play their club football in Europe's “Big 5” domestic leagues. Kenya beat Seychelles 5-0 in their last qualifier.

Predicted lineup: Matasi (GK), Omar, Omurwa, Otieno, Nondi, Odada, Muguna, Akumu, Onyango, Masika, Olunga

Africa - World Cup Qualifying 11/06/24

D

Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

0

Kenya

Kenya

0

Africa - World Cup Qualifying 07/06/24

D

Burundi

Burundi

1

Kenya

Kenya

1

International Match 26/03/24

W

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

1

Kenya

Kenya

3

International Match 23/03/24

W

Malawi

Malawi

0

Kenya

Kenya

4

Africa - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/23

W

Seychelles

Seychelles

0

Kenya

Kenya

5

Burundi preview: Visitors have their stars back

Burundi were missing several experienced players for their last international, though Christophe Nduwarugira, Frédéric Nsabiyumva, Rashid Léon Harerimana, Shassiri Nahimana, Hussein Shabani and Cédric Amissi should be among those to return, giving Head Coach's Etienne Ndayiragije a much better set of options to pick from.

Predicted lineup: Nahimana(GK), Mukombozi, Nsabiyumva, Nduwarugira, Liongola, Mvuyekure, Ndayishimiye, Kanakimana, Ntibazonkiza, Bigirimana, Razak

Africa - World Cup Qualifying 11/06/24

W

Seychelles

Seychelles

1

Burundi

Burundi

3

Africa - World Cup Qualifying 07/06/24

D

Kenya

Kenya

1

Burundi

Burundi

1

International Match 25/03/24

D

Botswana

Botswana

0

Burundi

Burundi

0

International Match 22/03/24

L

Madagascar

Madagascar

1

Burundi

Burundi

0

International Match 09/01/24

L

Algeria

Algeria

4

Burundi

Burundi

0

Player to watch – Michael Olunga

While he isn’t quite a household name in Europe, Michael Olunga has been a star performer in both the Asian and African game over the last few years and the lethal finisher is a consistent goal-getter for both club and country.

Kenya vs Burundi prediction
Kenya's Michael Olunga is a prolific goalscorer at international and club level – Photo by Icon Sport

Olunga has the ability to convert chances

Olunga has scored an impressive 24 goals in 56 appearances for Kenya and seven of those efforts were dispatched in his last three international runouts alone. The 30-year-old plays his club football with Al Duhail in the Qatar Stars League, where he notched a superb 15 times in 18 runouts last term.

The centre-forward also enjoyed a prolific spell with Japanese J-League outfit Kashiwa Reysol earlier in his career, where he hit 55 goals in 62 appearances.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.