Wales will travel to the Astana Arena to play Kazakhstan in a 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifier on Thursday afternoon. The visitors won the reverse fixture 3-1 on home soil back in March, and are currently in second place in their qualifying group with a total of seven points from their opening four games so far.
Meanwhile, Kazakhstan are stuck in fourth spot with just three points from their first three matches. However, with home advantage here, they will be hoping that they can cause an upset.
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Kazakhstan vs Wales prediction: Welsh to come home with win?
Key stats
- Kazakhstan have lost three of their last four games in total in all competitions.
- Wales have lost just once in the same timeframe.
- Wales are the highest scorers in their group with 10 goals so far, while Kazakhstan have netted just three times.
Correct score prediction: Kazakhstan 1-3 Wales
Given their superior form in qualifying, and the fact that they also won the reverse fixture, we fancy Wales to come home with all three points here. They have struggled to keep clean sheets in qualifying though, so we are also backing the hosts to at least get on the scoresheet.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Wales overwhelming favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- AWAY: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Wales are the overwhelming favourites with bookmakers to take home all three points. A draw can be backed at just under 24%, while a Kazakhstan victory on home soil can be backed at just over 17%.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page.
Most recent H2Hs: Wales win first meeting between two teams
Wales won the first competitive meeting between the two sides in March, triumphing 3-1. This should give them the confidence to get another positive result in Kazakhstan.
Kazakhstan preview: No fresh concerns
At the time of writing, Kazakhstan have reported no fresh concerns since announcing their squad for their upcoming qualifying games. Thus, we are expecting the hosts to name a strong starting XI.
Predicted lineup: Seysen (GK); Vorogovskiy, Alip, Maliy, Kairov, Astnaov; Kenzhebek, Zaynutdinov, Muzhikov, Chesnokov & Samorodov
Last five results:
- Kazakhstan 0-1 North Macedonia
- Belarus 4-1 Kazakhstan
- Liechtenstein 0-2 Kazakhstan
- Wales 3-1 Kazakhstan
- Kazakhstan 2-0 Curacao
Wales preview: Ward only injury worry
Danny Ward is unlikely to start in between the sticks for Wales due to a concussion injury. Otherwise, the visitors can name a strong starting XI here.
Predicted lineup: Darlow (GK); Davies, Mepham, Rodon, Williams; James, Brooks, Thomas, Wilson, Johnson & Moore
Last five results:
- Belgium 4-3 Wales
- Wales 3-0 Liechtenstein
- North Macedonia 1-1 Wales
- Wales 3-1 Kazakhstan
- Wales 0-0 Poland (4-5 pens)
Player to watch: Harry Wilson

Subject of a potential move to Leeds on Transfer Deadline Day, Harry Wilson ended up staying at Fulham. The winger has been in great form for his country, scoring and assisting for Wales in their 4-3 defeat away to Belgium last time out, and also netted in their previous 3-0 victory at home to Liechtenstein.