Kazakhstan vs Wales prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/09/2025
Wales are favourites with bookmakers to win - Photo by Imago
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Wales to win and BTTS

Wales have kept just one clean sheet in qualifying.

Wales will travel to the Astana Arena to play Kazakhstan in a 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifier on Thursday afternoon. The visitors won the reverse fixture 3-1 on home soil back in March, and are currently in second place in their qualifying group with a total of seven points from their opening four games so far.

Meanwhile, Kazakhstan are stuck in fourth spot with just three points from their first three matches. However, with home advantage here, they will be hoping that they can cause an upset.

Kazakhstan vs Wales prediction: Welsh to come home with win?

Key stats

  • Kazakhstan have lost three of their last four games in total in all competitions.
  • Wales have lost just once in the same timeframe.
  • Wales are the highest scorers in their group with 10 goals so far, while Kazakhstan have netted just three times.

Correct score prediction: Kazakhstan 1-3 Wales

Given their superior form in qualifying, and the fact that they also won the reverse fixture, we fancy Wales to come home with all three points here. They have struggled to keep clean sheets in qualifying though, so we are also backing the hosts to at least get on the scoresheet.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Wales overwhelming favourites with bookmakers

  • HOME: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
  • DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
  • AWAY: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, Wales are the overwhelming favourites with bookmakers to take home all three points. A draw can be backed at just under 24%, while a Kazakhstan victory on home soil can be backed at just over 17%.

Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page.

Most recent H2Hs: Wales win first meeting between two teams

Wales won the first competitive meeting between the two sides in March, triumphing 3-1. This should give them the confidence to get another positive result in Kazakhstan.

Kazakhstan preview: No fresh concerns

At the time of writing, Kazakhstan have reported no fresh concerns since announcing their squad for their upcoming qualifying games. Thus, we are expecting the hosts to name a strong starting XI.

Predicted lineup: Seysen (GK); Vorogovskiy, Alip, Maliy, Kairov, Astnaov; Kenzhebek, Zaynutdinov, Muzhikov, Chesnokov & Samorodov

Last five results:

  • Kazakhstan 0-1 North Macedonia
  • Belarus 4-1 Kazakhstan
  • Liechtenstein 0-2 Kazakhstan
  • Wales 3-1 Kazakhstan
  • Kazakhstan 2-0 Curacao

Wales preview: Ward only injury worry

Danny Ward is unlikely to start in between the sticks for Wales due to a concussion injury. Otherwise, the visitors can name a strong starting XI here.

Predicted lineup: Darlow (GK); Davies, Mepham, Rodon, Williams; James, Brooks, Thomas, Wilson, Johnson & Moore

Last five results:

  • Belgium 4-3 Wales
  • Wales 3-0 Liechtenstein
  • North Macedonia 1-1 Wales
  • Wales 3-1 Kazakhstan
  • Wales 0-0 Poland (4-5 pens)

Player to watch: Harry Wilson

Wales vs Montenegro predictions
Harry Wilson scored and assisted for Wales last time out – Photo by Imago

Subject of a potential move to Leeds on Transfer Deadline Day, Harry Wilson ended up staying at Fulham. The winger has been in great form for his country, scoring and assisting for Wales in their 4-3 defeat away to Belgium last time out, and also netted in their previous 3-0 victory at home to Liechtenstein.


Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.