A place in the semi-final of the 2024 Paris Olympics is up for grabs as Japan and Spain go head-to-head at Groupama Stadium on Friday evening. View our free Japan Olympic vs Spain Olympic predictions below.
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Japan Olympic vs Spain Olympic predictions: Both teams to be amongst the goals
Key stats
- Six of Spain's last seven matches featured goals at both ends.
- Japan are on a three-match winning streak, and an eight-game unbeaten run.
- Spain defeated Japan in the knockout stages of the 2020 Olympic Games.
- Japan opened the scoring in their last eight matches.
Correct score prediction: Japan 1-1 Spain
Although Spain lost their last group game, they had already qualified for the knockout stages, and had nothing to play for. Santi Denia's troops will have to contend with an in-form Japan side that has yet to concede at this tournament. We believe that this clash will go into extra time after a 1-1 draw.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Spain are bookies’ favourites
- Japan Olympic: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- Draw: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- Spain Olympic: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Japan have arguably been the most impressive of all the teams at the 2024 Olympic Games so far. They had a perfect record in the group stage, scoring seven times without conceding a single goal.
In spite of this, Spain are the expected winners at 10/11 (1.91). Teams with these odds usually have a 52.4% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Japan Olympic vs Spain Olympic predictions.
It is also fair to point out that less than three goals were scored in six of Japan's last seven games. On that note, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 8/13 (1.62). That one has a 61.9% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Can Japan avenge their Tokyo Olympics defeat?
The most recent encounter between these teams took place in the semi-final of the 2020 Olympic Games. Spain defeated Japan en route to the final, where they lost to Brazil.
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Japan Olympic
Spain Olympic
International Match 17/07/21
Japan Olympic
Spain Olympic
Team news and form guide
Japan Olympic: Looking to maintain their perfect record
Japan will have to do without Yu Hirakawa. The Bristol City player was injured in their opening group game, and has been sidelined since then.
Predicted lineup: Kokubo (GK), Sekine, Nishio, Takai, Ohata, Yamamoto, Fujita, Yamada, Araki, Saito & Hosoya.
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 02/08/24
L
Spain Olympic
3
Japan Olympic
0
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 30/07/24
W
Israel Olympic
0
Japan Olympic
1
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 27/07/24
W
Mali Olympic
0
Japan Olympic
1
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 24/07/24
W
Paraguay Olympic
0
Japan Olympic
5
Olympics 2020 Soccer - Men 06/08/21
L
Mexico Olympic
3
Japan Olympic
1
Spain Olympic: Eyeing a second consecutive semifinal berth
On the other hand, there are no absentees for Spain ahead of this encounter.
Predicted lineup: Tenas (GK), Miranda, Cubarsi, Garcia, Sanchez, Baena, Barrios, Gomez, Lopez, Oroz & Luiz.
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 09/08/24
W
France Olympic
3
Spain Olympic
5
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 05/08/24
W
Morocco Olympic
1
Spain Olympic
2
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 02/08/24
W
Japan Olympic
0
Spain Olympic
3
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 30/07/24
L
Egypt Olympic
2
Spain Olympic
1
Olympics 2024 Soccer - Men 27/07/24
W
Dominican Republic Olympic
1
Spain Olympic
3
Player to watch: Leo Kokubo
Leo Kokubo has arguably been the most impressive goalkeeper in this tournament. The Sint-Truidense shot-stopper has three clean sheets in as many appearances. He has 11 saves to his credit, and eight of those were from shots taken inside the box. Kokubo is on course for the Golden Glove if he keeps a couple more clean sheets.
