Thanks to a 4-1 win in Poland last week, Ajax have one foot in the Europa League proper and just need to see out the second leg in Amsterdam on Thursday.
There doesn't seem to be any way back for Jagiellonia Bialystok in this tie as this Ajax team doesn't concede many goals.
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Ajax vs Jagiellonia Bialystok prediction: Akpom on target again?
Key Stats
- Chuba Akpom scored 15 goals in 39 appearances for Ajax last season.
- Over 3.5 goals have been produced in each of Jagiellonia Bialystok's last four fixtures.
- Ajax scored four goals of their own in Poland last week.
Correct score prediction: Ajax 4-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok
Thursday's gusts have conceded exactly four goals in three of their last four outings and Ajax have kept two clean sheets in their last five attempts, so we're backing a 4-0 home win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ajax the overwhelming favourite
- HOME: 1/5 (1.20) – 83.3%
- DRAW: 73/10 (8.30) – 12%
- AWAY: 14/1 (15.00) – 6.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Ajax are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 83.3%, and we can't see this game ending in anything but a home win.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Ajax in front
Thanks to that 4-1 win in the first-ever meeting between these two clubs, Ajax lead the head-to-head record and are expected to double that lead on Thursday night.
UEFA Europa League Qualifying 22/08/24
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Ajax
Ajax preview: Took their chances in Poland
Ajax might not be the side they once were but the Dutch giants were far too strong for Jagiellonia Bialystok last week.
Chuba Akpom scored three of Ajax's four goals in the first leg with Mika Godts scoring the other as the Dutch side came from behind to easily win.
Predicted lineup: Pasveer (GK), Sutalo, Rensch, Baas, Hato, Henderson, Taylor, Berghuis, Akpom, Forbs & Godts
UEFA Europa League Qualifying 29/08/24
W
Jagiellonia Bialystok
0
Ajax
3
UEFA Europa League Qualifying 22/08/24
W
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1
Ajax
4
Netherlands Eredivisie 18/08/24
L
NAC
2
Ajax
1
UEFA Europa League Qualifying 15/08/24
D
Panathinaikos
1
Ajax
0
Netherlands Eredivisie 11/08/24
W
Heerenveen
0
Ajax
1
Jagiellonia Bialystok preview: No way back following heavy defeat
Adrian Dieguez fired Jagiellonia Bialystok in front after just five minutes at home to Ajax but the visitors got back onto level terms four minutes later.
Ajax went on to dominate the rest of the first leg, leaving their Polish guests needing to come from three goals behind in the Netherlands on Thursday, a result that seems impossible.
Predicted lineup: Abramowicz (GK), Dieguez, Sacek, Moutinho, Skrzypczak, Nene, Kubicki, Villar, Imaz, Churlinov & Diaby-Fadiga
Poland Ekstraklasa 01/09/24
W
Widzew Lodz
0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1
UEFA Europa League Qualifying 29/08/24
L
Ajax
3
Jagiellonia Bialystok
0
Poland Ekstraklasa 25/08/24
L
GKS Katowice
3
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1
UEFA Europa League Qualifying 22/08/24
L
Ajax
4
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1
Poland Ekstraklasa 17/08/24
L
Cracovia Krakow
4
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2
Player to watch – Chuba Akpom
Chuba Akpom scored a hat-trick in the first leg against Jagiellonia Bialystok and we're backing the English striker to impress once again.
Akpom, who started his career with Arsenal, struggled to establish himself until, a loan move to Greek side PAOK in 2018. After impressing outside of England, Middlesbrough brought the striker back home for the 2020/21 season but it wasn't until the 2020/23 campaign that Akpom really showed what he could do, scoring 28 goals in 40 league games.
Will Ajax's hat-trick hero score again?
Ajax took a chance on the forward the following season and Akpom repaid the Dutch giants with 11 league goals in 25 appearances, netting a further four goals in cup competitions.
Akpom opened his account for the new season with that marvelous hat-trick in Poland and we're backing the Englishman to add to his tally in Thursday's second leg.
