Italy Women will take on Spain Women in the Women's European Championships on Friday, 11 July, as the group stage nears its conclusion.
Heading into the final round of matches in Group B, Spain have already qualified for the quarter-finals while Italy need just a point to guarantee their place in the knockout stages.
There is also a scenario where the Italians qualify from Group B after a defeat on Friday. For this to happen, they will just need to hope there isn't a six-goal swing between themselves and Portugal, who take on Belgium.
As part of our latest selection of Women's Euros betting tips, check out our Italy Women vs Spain Women prediction below.
Contents
Italy Women vs Spain Women prediction: Spain to make it three from three
Key stats
- Spain have won both of their matches at the Women's Euros by a combined margin of nine goals.
- Italy have only scored more than one goal in one of their last four matches.
- Both teams have scored in eight of Spain's last ten matches.
Correct score prediction: Italy Women 1-3 Spain Women
Although there is a chance that Spain will rest some of their players for this match, their depth is so strong in attacking areas that they should still comfortably create enough chances to score three goals on Friday. Italy have been poor at the tournament so far, and are severely lacking up top.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Italy are huge underdogs
- HOME: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
- DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- AWAY: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Italy Women vs Spain Women odds tell us all we need to know about how difficult the task ahead of Italy is on Friday night. Ladbrokes have given the Italians just a 10% chance of winning the match, while Spain have been given a massive 80% chance of making it three wins from three games at the Women's Euros.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page for more tips over the next 24 hours.
Most recent H2Hs: Not all one-way traffic
Based on the odds for the match, you would be forgiven for thinking that Spain have an immaculate recent record against Italy. However, recent results have been mixed, and across the last four matches, both nations have won one apiece, and two have ended in draws.
Womenu2024s International 29/10/24
Italy Women
Spain Women
UEFA Womens Nations League 01/12/23
Spain Women
Italy Women
UEFA Womens Nations League 27/10/23
Italy Women
Spain Women
Womens International 01/07/22
Italy Women
Spain Women
Womenu2018s International 07/03/18
Italy Women
Spain Women
Italy Women preview: Looking to build on their defensive record
Although Italy have been relatively poor from an attacking point of view, they have been decent defensively, conceding just one goal at the tournament so far. Manager, Andrea Soncin, is therefore likely to keep things as they are for this one, given that they just need to avoid a hammering.
Predicted lineup: Giuliani (GK), Linari, Salvai, Lenzini, Boattin, Giugliano, Severini, Di Guglielmo, Cantore, Girelli, Caruso
UEFA Women's Nations League 08/04/25
W
Denmark Women
0
Italy Women
3
UEFA Women's Nations League 04/04/25
L
Sweden Women
3
Italy Women
2
UEFA Women's Nations League 25/02/25
L
Denmark Women
3
Italy Women
1
UEFA Women's Nations League 21/02/25
W
Wales Women
0
Italy Women
1
Womenu2019s International 02/12/24
W
Germany Women
1
Italy Women
2
Spain Women preview: A first start on the cards for Bonmati?
One of the scariest aspects of Spain's remarkable start to the Euros is the fact that they have done it without the current Ballon d'Or winner, Aitana Bonmati, starting a game. The Barcelona midfielder was only released from the hospital on the eve of the tournament after suffering from meningitis, but this could be the perfect match to get her back into the starting XI.
Predicted lineup: Nanclares (GK), Batlle, Paredes, Lopez, Carmona, Guijarro, Bonmati, Putellas, Caldentey, Rodriguez, Pina
UEFA Women's Nations League 08/04/25
W
Portugal Women
1
Spain Women
7
UEFA Women's Nations League 04/04/25
W
Portugal Women
2
Spain Women
4
UEFA Women's Nations League 26/02/25
L
England Women
1
Spain Women
0
UEFA Women's Nations League 21/02/25
W
Belgium Women
2
Spain Women
3
Womenu2019s International 03/12/24
W
France Women
2
Spain Women
4
Player to watch: Alexia Putellas
The star of the tournament so far has been Barcelona midfielder, Alexia Putellas. While the 31-year-old was expected to play well at the Euros after the season she had at club level, it's another thing going out there and actually doing it. Putellas has scored three goals and supplied two assists in her first two appearances at the tournament.