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Italy vs Spain prediction Tip and odds Bookmaker Bet here
Both Teams to Score
BTTS @ 20/21 (1.95)
NETBET
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Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals @ 39/29 (2.34)
SBK
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To Qualify
Italy to Qualify @ 4/5 (1.80)
NOVIBET
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Italy knocked out one of the pre-tournament favourites Belgium to progress through to the semi-finals, claiming a narrow 2-1 win in what was a very close and competitive 90-minutes. Spain were taken all the way to penalties by 10-man Switzerland in the quarter-finals and one wonders what kind of condition their players must be in after going through back-to-back periods of extra time.

Read on for our full match preview and prediction for Italy vs Spain in the European Championship.

Italy vs Spain: Our Best Betting Tips

All of our tips contain no bias and have been researched using the latest stats and figures available at the time of publication.

All odds are subject to change but the prices shown are correct on the date of publication. Please check with your bookmakers before placing any bets. 

Tip 1: BTTS

We're expecting goals in this game at both ends of the pitch as both teams look good going forward and have both failed to keep clean sheets in their last two outings. Both teams have scored in each of Italy's last two matches, both of which ended in 2-1 scorelines, while three of Spain's last four fixtures have seen both teams score.

Tip 2: Over 2.5 Goals

The last meeting between these two famous footballing nations produced over 2.5 goals, with Spain claiming a 3-0 win back in 2017. Over 2.5 goals have also been produced in five of Italy's and three of Spain's last six matches in all competitions, so you can see why we're predicting goals in the semi-final.

Tip 3: Italy to Qualify

Our money is going on Italy to progress into the final simply based on their overall performance compared to that of Spain. Italy have looked very strong at the back, conceding just two goals at Euro 2020 so far, while Spain are prone to mistakes in defence as we have seen in their last two fixtures. Now, Spain have relied on their ability to create a lot of goalscoring opportunities but their conversion rate hasn't been as impressive and this Italian defence isn't going to be as generous as the other teams they have faced.

Italy vs Spain: Key Stats & Markets

Euro 2020
Italy Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
VS
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Spain
July 6, 2021
No odds currently available - check again later

Italy vs Spain

icon Head to Head

06/07/21
Euro2020
Italy Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy
1 - 1
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Spain
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Spain
02/09/17
E-WCQ
Spain Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Spain
3 - 0
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Italy
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy
06/10/16
E-WCQ
Italy Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy
1 - 1
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Spain
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Spain
27/06/16
EC
Italy Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy
2 - 0
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Spain
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Spain
24/03/16
IM
Italy Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy
1 - 1
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Spain
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Spain

Italy

Last 5

11/07/21
Euro2020
Italy Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy
1 - 1
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) England
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
England
02/07/21
Euro2020
Belgium Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Belgium
1 - 2
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Italy
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy
26/06/21
Euro2020
Italy Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy
2 - 1
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Austria
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Austria
20/06/21
Euro2020
Italy Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy
1 - 0
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Wales
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Wales
16/06/21
Euro2020
Italy Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Italy
3 - 0
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Switzerland
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Switzerland

Spain

Last 5

02/07/21
Euro2020
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Switzerland
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Switzerland
1 - 1
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Spain
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
ET Spain
28/06/21
Euro2020
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Croatia
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Croatia
3 - 5
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Spain
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
ET Spain
23/06/21
Euro2020
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Slovakia
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Slovakia
0 - 5
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Spain
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Spain
19/06/21
Euro2020
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Spain
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Spain
1 - 1
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Poland
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Poland
14/06/21
Euro2020
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Spain
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Spain
0 - 0
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21) Sweden
Italy vs Spain Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (6/7/21)
Sweden

Italy the favourites for this clash of the titans

Italy will be buoyed by their victory over Belgium, an opponent that was always going to test them in attack as well as in defence. Roberto Mancini is probably going to make a couple of changes to his starting eleven for the semi-final, following the injury to Spinazzola who looks set to miss the rest of the tournament. The Roma full-back has been one of Italy's key players both in defence and going forward and he will be missed in the semi-final.

Spain were taken to extra time for the second game running and this time they needed penalties to earn their place in the semi-final. Luis Enrique's side could and should have won the game within the 90-minutes after they created a number of clearcut chances and failed to covert any of them. This ability to create goals has helped Spain progress through Euro 2020 but they are going to have to be more economical in front of goal if they want to outscore Italy.

Latest matchday team news

Chelsea defender Emerson Palmieri is likely to step in as the replacement for Spinazzola. Despite having limited football action throughout the campaign, Emerson was chosen as the player to arrive on as a substitute in the game against Belgium. This might be one of the best chances for Italy to win the Euros for the first time since 1968.

As a result of being quite wasteful with their chances, Spain have every reason to be worried as they bid to reach the finals since Euro 2012, when the team lifted the competition. Spain are concerned about the fitness of Pablo Sarabia, who picked up a muscle injury in the win over Switzerland. Dani Olmo of RB Leipzig is expected to step in as the replacement.

Predicted Italy vs Spain lineups

Italy (4-3-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Leonardo Bonucci, Giorgio Chiellini, Emerson Palmieri, Jorginho, Nicolò Barella, Marco Verratti, Federico Chiesa, Lorenzo Insigne, Ciro Immobile

Spain (4-3-3): Unai Simon, Cesar Azpilicueta, Eric Garcia, Aymeric Laporte, Jordi Alba, Sergio Busquets, Koke, Pedri, Dani Olmo, Gerard Moreno, Alvaro Morata

Italy vs Spain – Q&A

italy vs spain prediction

  • Where will this game take place? – It will take place in Wembley Stadium, London.
  • What was the score when these sides last met? – Spain 3-0 Italy, 2/9/17.
  • Who are the favourites to win? – Italy are the bookmaker's favourites as things stand.
  • How can I watch Italy vs Spain live? – The match will be shown live on BBC One. It is also available for UK viewers on the BBC iPlayer.

Euro 2021 betting tips