The atmosphere will be electric at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome on Sunday when Italy battle Norway in a top-of-the-table clash in the FIFA World Cup European Qualifiers in Group I.
The Azzurri are in fantastic form entering this encounter, having secured five consecutive victories in their qualification group. Their last match saw them comfortably defeat Moldova 2-0, retaining their second spot on the table.
The visitors, meanwhile, have also been impressive, also boasting a record of four wins in their last five competitive matches. The Lions returned to winning ways, with a commanding 4-1 victory against Estonia in their last game.
Read our Italy vs Norway predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other FIFA World Cup predictions.
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Italy vs Norway prediction: Host to nick a win
Key statistics
- The home team have won two of their last three encounters against Norway.
- Italy have won with a 2-1 scoreline in one of their last three meetings.
- Both teams have scored in their last five international games.
Correct score prediction: Italy 2-1 Norway
Both teams are in superb form heading into this game, but we are tipping Italy to claim a narrow victory over the visitors. The Azzurri have been solid at the back in their last five games, but they will have to deal with the in-form Erling Haaland.
However, their experience as a defensive unit at the back should help them in this encounter. For this game, we are predicting a narrow 2-1 win for the home side, due to their home advantage.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Italy slight favourites
- Home: 1/1 (2.00) – 50.0%
- Draw: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- Away: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Both teams are in form heading into this clash, but Italy’s home advantage could play a big role in this game. Italy and Norway's odds are close, with the home side given a narrow edge at 2.00 odds, implying a 50% chance of victory.
The draw is priced at 3.60 odds, reflecting a 27.8% probability, while Norway are only slight underdogs at 3.50 odds, translating to a 28.6% chance.
Most recent head-to-head: A competitive previous encounter
Looking back at their last five international meetings, their record indicates that Italy have a slight advantage. In these games, the Azzurri have secured three victories, while Norway have claimed just one victory, which came in their last meeting, with just a draw between them.
The most recent competitive encounter, played in June 2025, resulted in a surprising 3-0 victory for Norway. Before that, Italy had won the two previous Euro qualifiers, a 2-1 victory in 2015 and a 2-0 victory in 2014.
World Cup 2022 17/11/22
Italy
Norway
Euro 2015 Qualifying 13/10/15
Italy
Norway
Euro 2014 Qualifying 09/09/14
Norway
Italy
After reviewing our key Italy vs Norway predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Italy preview: Some key players set to miss important clash
The Azzurri are missing attacking duo Moise Kean and Niccolo Cambiaghi due to injury, but Nicolo Barella is available again and could step straight into midfield after completing a one-match ban against Moldova.
Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Di Lorenzo, Mancini, Bastoni, Dimarco, Barella, Locatelli, Cristante, Politano, Retegui & Raspadori
Last five fixtures
- 13.11.25 – Moldova 0 – 2 Italy
- 14.10.25 – Italy 3 – 0 Israel
- 11.10.25 – Estonia 1 – 3 Italy
- 08.09.25 – Israel 4 – 5 Italy
- 05.09.25 – Italy 5 – 0 Estonia
Norway preview: Just one player left out due to injury
Norway will be without captain Martin Odegaard on the pitch, as he is sidelined with a knee injury, though he is expected to be present in Milan to support his teammates. In defence, coach Solbakken has recalled Leo Ostigard, who missed last month’s camp with a broken rib.
Predicted lineup: Nyland (GK), Ryerson, Heggem, Ajer, Bjorkan, Bobb, Berg, Berge, Nusa, Sorloth & Haaland
Last five fixtures
- 13.11.25 – Norway 4 – 1 Estonia
- 14.10.25 – Norway 1 – 1 New Zealand
- 11.10.25 – Norway 5 – 0 Israel
- 09.09.25 – Norway 11 – 1 Moldova
- 04.09.25 – Norway 1 – 0 Finland
Player to watch: Erling Haaland
Haaland has been one of the best strikers in the world in the last two season and has been important for Norway in their qualifying games. The Manchester City star has scored 14 goals and two assists during the qualifiers. He will be a threat to Italian defenders based on his scoring form this season.