Italy will welcome Estonia to the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo for a 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying game on Friday night. The Italians are currently stuck in third place in their group with a total of three points, although they have only played two games so far.
Meanwhile, Estonia have also picked up three points, but have crucially already played two matches more than their opponents. Indeed, it is already looking bleak for the visitors in terms of their own hopes of qualifying.
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Italy vs Estonia prediction: Italians to pick up unconvincing win?
Key stats
- Italy's 2-0 win at home to Moldova last time out ended a four-game winless run in all competitions.
- Estonia have lost four of their last five matches in total in all competitions.
- Italy have won the previous seven H2Hs across all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Italy 2-0 Estonia
While Italy should absolutely be the firm favourites to take home all three points, it may not be entirely straightforward for them. Indeed, they are not in the best of form heading into this clash, with just six goals scored in total across their previous five outings in all competitions.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Italy installed as big favourites by bookmakers
- HOME: 1/14 (1.07) – 93.3%
- DRAW: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%
- AWAY: 28/1 (29.00) – 3.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Italy have unsurprisingly been installed as the huge favourites with bookmakers to claim all three points on home soil. A draw can be backed at just under 8%, while an Estonian victory away from home is rated at just over 3%.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page.
Most recent H2Hs: Italy on remarkable winning run
As mentioned before, Italy have won the last seven meetings in total in all competitions. Indeed, they will be massive favourites to continue that streak, even though they are not in the best of form at this moment in time.
International Match 11/11/20
Italy
Estonia
Italy preview: No fresh injury concerns
Luckily for Italy, they have reported no fresh injury concerns heading into this clash. Thus, they will be able to name a strong starting XI that should be able to get the job done against Estonia.
Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Ranieri, Bastoni, Di Lorenzo, Dimarco, Tonali, Barella, Frattesi, Cambiaso, Raspadori & Retegui
Last five results:
- Italy 2-0 Moldova
- Norway 3-0 Italy
- Germany 3-3 Italy
- Italy 1-2 Germany
- Switzerland 2-0 Italy
Estonia preview: Also no fresh concerns
Likewise with their opponents, Estonia also have no fresh injury concerns to report as they prepare to travel to Italy. Thus, the visitors will also have a fully fit squad to choose from.
Predicted lineup: Hein (GK), Saliste, Kuusk, Paskotski, Larsen, Shein, Palumets, Vlasiy, Kait, Kristal & Sappinen
Last five results:
- Estonia 0-1 Norway
- Estonia 1-3 Israel
- Moldova 2-3 Estonia
- Israel 2-1 Estonia
- Slovakia 1-0 Estonia
Player to watch: Gianluigi Donnarumma
Gianluigi Donnarumma made headlines when it was reported that he would not be signing a new deal at PSG. So, he made a dramatic switch to Manchester City on Transfer Deadline Day, and this will be his first appearance since that move.