18+ | Commercial Content | T&Cs apply | Begambleaware.org
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
England vs Italy: Top Two Betting Tips
England go in search of their first win in this season's Nations League when they play host to an Italy side that looks weaker than normal. Despite not having all of their usual star players available, Italy have picked up 4pts from their opening two games and top Group 3, so England are going to have to be at their best if they are going to end their winless start to the competition.
Contents
England to Win
England might not have won any of their last four games against Italy, three of which have ended in 1-1 draws after 90-minutes, but Southgate's men have the home advantage and a near full-strength squad to choose from while Italy are without a number of their top players. The hosts have won four of their last six home games in all competitions and should have too much for an understrength Italian side.
Under 2.5 Goals
Under 2.5 goals have been scored in each of the last three meetings between these two nations and if England are to win on Saturday, we believe that they will keep a clean sheet in the process. Three of England's and three of Italy's last six international matches have witnessed fewer than three goals scored, adding further weight to our prediction for this weekend's clash at Wembley.
Key Stats & Figures ahead of England vs Italy
ItalyEngland vs Italy | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| |||
11/07/21 Euro2020 | Italy  Italy | 3 - 2 |  England England |
27/03/18 IM | England England | 1 - 1 | Italy Italy |
31/03/15 IM | Italy Italy | 1 - 1 | England England |
England | |||
|---|---|---|---|
Last 5 | |||
14/06/22 NAL | England England | 0 - 4 |  Hungary Hungary |
07/06/22 NAL | Germany  Germany | 1 - 1 | England England |
04/06/22 NAL | Hungary Hungary | 1 - 0 | England England |
29/03/22 IM | England England | 3 - 0 |  Ivory Coast Ivory Coast |
26/03/22 IM | England England | 2 - 1 |  Switzerland Switzerland |
Italy | |||
|---|---|---|---|
Last 5 | |||
14/06/22 NAL | Germany Germany | 5 - 2 | Italy Italy |
07/06/22 NAL | Italy Italy | 2 - 1 | Hungary Hungary |
04/06/22 NAL | Italy Italy | 1 - 1 | Germany Germany |
01/06/22 ICoC | Italy Italy | 0 - 3 |  Argentina Argentina |
29/03/22 IM |  Turkey Turkey | 2 - 3 | Italy Italy |
England still searching for first win in Group 3
England managed to secure a point from their trip to Germany in midweek where the two sides went in at the break goalless. A tight and tense second half prevailed with Germany taking the lead through Hofmann in the 50th-minute. England continued to push for an equaliser and eventually got it 2-minutes from time when Harry Kane converted a spot-kick.
England Predicted Lineup: Pickford, Walker, Trippier, Maguire, Stones, Grealish, Bellingham, Rice, Kane, Sterling & Saka
Italy put in a solid first-half display at home to Hungary on Tuesday night which effectively won them the game. Barella opened the scoring on the half-hour mark and Pellegrini made it 2-0 right on the stroke of half-time. Hungary got back into the game in the 61st-minute when Mancini put through his own goal but the home side held on to secure a 2-1 victory.
Italy Predicted Lineup: Donnarumma, Spinazzola, Calabria, Mancini, Bastoni, Cristante, Barella, Pellegrini, Politano, Raspadori & Gnonto
Team News
England: Luke Shaw, Tyrone Mings, Ben Chilwell, Jordan Henderson, Emile Smith Rowe, Marcus Rashford and Jadon Sancho all miss out for the hosts.
Italy: Leonardo Bonucci, Marco Verratti, Jorginho, Andrea Belotti, Lorenzo Insigne, Federico Bernardeschi, Domenico Berardi, Ciro Immobile and Federico Chiesa are absent.
England vs Italy – FAQ
- Who are the favourites to win? – England are the clear favourites with the bookmakers.
- What was the score when these two teams last met? – Italy 1-1 England (Italy win on penalties).
- What time is kick-off? – 19:45 GMT, 20:45 CET.
Other betting tips