England vs Italy prediction, odds & betting tips 17/10/2023

England
17/10/23 - 19:45

Finished

3

-

1

Italy

England - Italy

Euro 2024 Qualifying - Wembley Stadium

8th Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

This article will focus on the England vs Italy betting tips for the game on October 17th. Wembley Stadium is the location for the game.

England vs Italy Prediction & Free Betting Tips

England hope to remain unbeaten in the group when they take on Italy at home. After having managed four wins from the five matches, England have an opportunity to stretch the numbers even further.

For the very best daily betting tips check out our best football tips for today

England to win

  • Italy are missing a number of key players due to injuries
  • England will be to recall a number of rested players for the game
  • England will be heavily motivated by the prospect of sealing qualification to the Euros

Total goals under 2.5

  • Italy might have scored four in the last match but they have struggled against quality opposition
  • England and Italy have scored five goals in each in the last H2H games
  • There have been less than 2.5 goals in five of the last six meetings between these two teams

England vs Italy Odds, H2H Stats, and Recent Form

Here are the top stats for the game along with a tool to help you pick the best odds.

Head to Head

17/10/23

Euro 2023 Qualifying Euro

England

England

Italy

Italy

3

1

23/03/23

Euro 2023 Qualifying Euro

Italy

Italy

England

England

1

2

23/09/22

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Italy

Italy

England

England

1

0

11/07/21

Euro 2021 Euro2020

Italy

Italy

England

England

1

1

27/03/18

International Match International

England

England

Italy

Italy

1

1

Last Five - England

24/03/25

Europe - World Cup Qualifying Europe

Latvia

Latvia

England

England

0

3

W

21/03/25

Europe - World Cup Qualifying Europe

Albania

Albania

England

England

0

2

W

17/11/24

UEFA Nations League B UEFA

Rep of Ireland

Rep of Ireland

England

England

0

5

W

14/11/24

UEFA Nations League B UEFA

Greece

Greece

England

England

0

3

W

13/10/24

UEFA Nations League B UEFA

Finland

Finland

England

England

1

3

W

Last Five - Italy

23/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Germany

Germany

Italy

Italy

3

3

D

20/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Germany

Germany

Italy

Italy

2

1

L

17/11/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

France

France

Italy

Italy

3

1

L

14/11/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Belgium

Belgium

Italy

Italy

0

1

W

14/10/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Israel

Israel

Italy

Italy

1

4

W

These may be some of the best stats regarding the upcoming match between England and Italy for providing the best European Championship qualifiers predictions and betting tips. Now, let us take a look at the odds and probabilities for the game.

England odds: 31/50 (1.62) – 61.7%

Draw odds: 49/20 (3.45) – 29%

Italy odds: 23/5 (5.60) – 17.9%

England are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 61.7%. An England win is a good choice for this match at 31/50 (1.62) – 61.7%. Another option to consider for this match would be under 2.5 goals, which is given a price of 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%.

England vs Italy Prediction: Team News, Line-Ups, & Form

England:

England will be able to achieve qualification to Euro 2024 with two matches spare if they get a positive result against Italy. A victory against Italy would also mean back-to-back successes against the Azzurri. The Three Lions will be without Bukayo Saka for the game.

Predicted Line-Up:

Jordan Pickford, Kyle Walker, Marc Guehi, Harry Maguire, Ben Chilwell, Declan Rice, Jordan Henderson, Jude Bellingham, Marcus Rashford, James Maddison, Harry Kane

Italy:

Italy were able to extract excellent performances out of the recent match against Malta. However, the Azzurri will be aware that the upcoming match will pose a big threat to the hopes of qualification to the Euro 2024. Italy might be the defending champions coming into the qualification campaign but they have struggled for consistency.

Predicted Line-Up:

Gianluigi Donnarumma, Matteo Darmian, Gianluca Mancini, Alessandro Bastoni, Federico Dimarco, Manuel Locatelli, Giacomo Bonaventura, Nicolo Barella, Domenico Berardi, Giacomo Raspadori, Moise Kean

Player to Watch: Harry Kane

Harry Kane has been in excellent form so far this season. The 30-year-old has been able to witness a steady stream of goals in the first few matches that have done enough to transform Bayern. He has now been able to pick up four assists and eight goals as well in the domestic league.

What is Twitter saying ahead of kick-off?

Southgate's thoughts ahead of kick-off….

The Italian players seem motivated….

Starting England vs Italy Lineups:

Starting lineups are usually released 60 minutes before kick-off.

England

England
4-2-3-1
1
Jordan Pickford
gb
2
Kyle Walker
gb
5
John Stones
gb
6
Harry Maguire
gb
3
Kieran Trippier
gb
8
Kalvin Phillips
gb
4
Declan Rice
gb
11
Marcus Rashford
gb
10
Jude Bellingham
gb
7
Phil Foden
gb
9
Harry Kane
gb
Substitutes
17
Trent Alexander-Arnold
gb
19
Ollie Watkins
gb
12
Marc Guehi
gb
18
Conor Gallagher
gb
22
Aaron Ramsdale
gb
16
Levi Colwill
gb
23
Jarrod Bowen
gb
21
James Maddison
gb
13
Sam Johnstone
gb
15
Lewis Dunk
gb
20
Jack Grealish
gb
14
Jordan Henderson
gb

Italy

Italy
4-3-3
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
it
2
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
it
19
Giorgio Scalvini
it
15
Francesco Acerbi
it
6
Destiny Udogie
it
17
Davide Frattesi
it
16
Bryan Cristante
it
18
Nicolo Barella
it
11
Domenico Berardi
it
9
Gianluca Scamacca
it
22
Stephan El Shaarawy
it
Substitutes
10
Giacomo Raspadori
it
8
Giacomo Bonaventura
it
21
Alex Meret
it
7
Moise Kean
it
23
Alessandro Bastoni
it
13
Matteo Darmian
it
20
Riccardo Orsolini
it
12
Guglielmo Vicario
it
14
Gianluca Mancini
it
3
Federico Dimarco
it
5
Manuel Locatelli
it
4
Federico Gatti
it

England vs Italy Prediction