Italy vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction, odds & betting tips – 09/06/2024

Italy vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction
Italy are favourites to finish their Euro 2024 preparations with a win over Bosnia & Herzegovina – Photo by Icon Sport

Italy entertain Bosnia & Herzegovina at the Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena in an international friendly fixture on Sunday, 9 June.

The Azzurri play their final warm-up match before heading to Germany to compete at Euro 2023. Can Italy sign off in style in Empoli?

Italy vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction: Italy to prevail at home

Key Stats

  • Bosnia & Herzegovina have lost six of their last seven matches in all competitions.
  • Italy have won four and drawn one of their last five games on home soil.
  • Three of Bosnia & Herzegovina’s last four fixtures have produced goals at both ends.
  • Italy notched exactly two goals in two of their last three assignments.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Italy odds-on favourites

  • HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%
  • DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
  • AWAY: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Despite drawing 0-0 with Turkey in their last friendly encounter in midweek, Italy remain 1/4 favourites to beat Bosnia & Herzegovina this weekend.  The visitors meanwhile, have been equipped with a measly 11.1% chance of upsetting the odds in Empoli, which seems fair following some dismal results.

You can find more of our predictions for this week’s other games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: First meeting in over a decade

Italy won their last encounter with Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0 back in November 2020 and in five previous meetings between the nations overall, the Italians have lost only once.

UEFA Nations League 18/11/20

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

0
Italy

Italy

2

UEFA Nations League 04/09/20

Italy

Italy

1
Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

Euro 2019 Qualifying 15/11/19

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

0
Italy

Italy

3

Euro 2019 Qualifying 11/06/19

Italy

Italy

2
Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

Italy preview: Hosts at close to full strength

Italy are using their provisional squad for Euro 2024 for their pre-tournament friendlies. There was no place in Luciano Spalletti's roster for Francesco Acerbi, Giorgio Scalvini, Leonardo Spinazzola, Alessandro Florenzi, Manuel Locatelli, Marco Verratti and Ciro Immobile. Italy drew 0-0 with Turkey in a midweek friendly.

Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Di Lorenzo, Mancini, Bastoni, Dimarco, Cristante, Jorginho, Orsolini, Pellegrini, Chiesa, Retegui

International Match 09/06/24

W

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

0

Italy

Italy

1

International Match 04/06/24

D

Turkey

Turkey

0

Italy

Italy

0

International Match 24/03/24

W

Ecuador

Ecuador

0

Italy

Italy

2

International Match 21/03/24

W

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

Italy

Italy

2

Euro 2024 Qualifying 20/11/23

D

Ukraine

Ukraine

0

Italy

Italy

0

Bosnia & Herzegovina preview: Visitors missing several players

Sead Kolašinac, Eldar Ćivić, Siniša Saničanin, Rade Krunić, Gojko Cimirot, Amir Hadžiahmetović, Amer Gojak, Edin Džeko and Smail Prevljak are all unavailable for the visitors through a mix of injury and not being selected for the current squad. Bosnia & Herzegovina were beaten 3-0 by England on Monday evening.

Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Bicakcic, Ahmedhodzic, Katic, Radeljic, Gazibegovic, Gigovic, Tahirovic, Saric, Hajradinovic, Demirovic

International Match 09/06/24

L

Italy

Italy

1

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

0

International Match 03/06/24

L

England

England

3

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

0

Euro 2024 Qualifying 21/03/24

L

Ukraine

Ukraine

2

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

Euro 2024 Qualifying 19/11/23

L

Slovakia

Slovakia

2

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

Euro 2024 Qualifying 16/11/23

L

Luxembourg

Luxembourg

4

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

Player to watch – Mateo Retegui

Italy’s squad is short on established goal-scorers at international level, though Mateo Retegui is one of a clutch of attackers aiming to stake a claim as a first pick in Luciano Spalletti’s frontline ahead of this summer’s European Championship.

Italy vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction
Genoa's Retegui has been a goalscoring menace since his debut for Italy – Photo by Icon Sport

Retegui’s record for Italy is impressive

Argentina-born Retegui has only played seven times for Italy since switching allegiances to the Azzurri in 2023, though the 25-year-old has found the net four times for his new nation.

The Genoa star endured a frustrating campaign at club level in 2023/24, hitting just seven goals in Serie A in 29 appearances in the division. Retegui is wily enough in and around the box to convert more chances however, and he will be eager to build confidence ahead of the Euros by notching this weekend.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.