Italy vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction, odds & betting tips – 09/06/2024

Italy entertain Bosnia & Herzegovina at the Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena in an international friendly fixture on Sunday, 9 June.

The Azzurri play their final warm-up match before heading to Germany to compete at Euro 2023. Can Italy sign off in style in Empoli?

Italy vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction: Italy to prevail at home

Key Stats

• Bosnia & Herzegovina have lost six of their last seven matches in all competitions.
• Italy have won four and drawn one of their last five games on home soil.
• Three of Bosnia & Herzegovina’s last four fixtures have produced goals at both ends.
• Italy notched exactly two goals in two of their last three assignments.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Italy odds-on favourites

• HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%
• DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
• AWAY: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Despite drawing 0-0 with Turkey in their last friendly encounter in midweek, Italy remain 1/4 favourites to beat Bosnia & Herzegovina this weekend.  The visitors meanwhile, have been equipped with a measly 11.1% chance of upsetting the odds in Empoli, which seems fair following some dismal results.

You can find more of our predictions for this week’s other games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: First meeting in over a decade

Italy won their last encounter with Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0 back in November 2020 and in five previous meetings between the nations overall, the Italians have lost only once.

UEFA Nations League 18/11/20

Bosnia-Herzegovina

0

Italy

2

UEFA Nations League 04/09/20

Italy

1

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

Euro 2019 Qualifying 15/11/19

Bosnia-Herzegovina

0

Italy

3

Euro 2019 Qualifying 11/06/19

Italy

2

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

Italy preview: Hosts at close to full strength

Italy are using their provisional squad for Euro 2024 for their pre-tournament friendlies. There was no place in Luciano Spalletti's roster for Francesco Acerbi, Giorgio Scalvini, Leonardo Spinazzola, Alessandro Florenzi, Manuel Locatelli, Marco Verratti and Ciro Immobile. Italy drew 0-0 with Turkey in a midweek friendly.

Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Di Lorenzo, Mancini, Bastoni, Dimarco, Cristante, Jorginho, Orsolini, Pellegrini, Chiesa, Retegui

UEFA Nations League 23/03/25

D

Germany

3

Italy

3

UEFA Nations League 20/03/25

L

Germany

2

Italy

1

UEFA Nations League A 17/11/24

L

France

3

Italy

1

UEFA Nations League A 14/11/24

W

Belgium

0

Italy

1

UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24

W

Israel

1

Italy

4

Bosnia & Herzegovina preview: Visitors missing several players

Sead Kolašinac, Eldar Ćivić, Siniša Saničanin, Rade Krunić, Gojko Cimirot, Amir Hadžiahmetović, Amer Gojak, Edin Džeko and Smail Prevljak are all unavailable for the visitors through a mix of injury and not being selected for the current squad. Bosnia & Herzegovina were beaten 3-0 by England on Monday evening.

Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Bicakcic, Ahmedhodzic, Katic, Radeljic, Gazibegovic, Gigovic, Tahirovic, Saric, Hajradinovic, Demirovic

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25

W

Cyprus

1

Bosnia-Herzegovina

2

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Romania

0

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

UEFA Nations League A 19/11/24

D

Netherlands

1

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

UEFA Nations League A 16/11/24

L

Germany

7

Bosnia-Herzegovina

0

UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24

L

Hungary

2

Bosnia-Herzegovina

0

Player to watch – Mateo Retegui

Italy’s squad is short on established goal-scorers at international level, though Mateo Retegui is one of a clutch of attackers aiming to stake a claim as a first pick in Luciano Spalletti’s frontline ahead of this summer’s European Championship.

Retegui’s record for Italy is impressive

Argentina-born Retegui has only played seven times for Italy since switching allegiances to the Azzurri in 2023, though the 25-year-old has found the net four times for his new nation.

The Genoa star endured a frustrating campaign at club level in 2023/24, hitting just seven goals in Serie A in 29 appearances in the division. Retegui is wily enough in and around the box to convert more chances however, and he will be eager to build confidence ahead of the Euros by notching this weekend.