Cherno More Varna will hope to overturn a one-goal deficit when they take on Istanbul Basaksehir in the second qualifying round of the UEFA Conference League at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium on Thursday, 31 July 2025.
View our free Istanbul Basaksehir vs Cherno More predictions below.
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Istanbul Basaksehir vs Cherno More predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Three of Istanbul Basaksehir's last four matches went below the 1.5-goal line.
- Istanbul Basaksehir have won three games in a row.
- Each of Basaksehir's last seven matches featured less than 11 corners.
Correct score prediction: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-0 Cherno More
Despite having the advantage of playing at home, Cherno More suffered a 1-0 defeat in the first leg of this tie last week. Overturning that one-goal deficit on the road will be a tough task, especially considering Basaksehir have won three consecutive games and have conceded only once in their last four matches.
Taking everything into account, we are confident that Istanbul Basaksehir will win to nil.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Basaksehir are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
- DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
- AWAY: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Ahead of this skirmish, Istanbul Basaksehir are the expected winners at 3/10 (1.30). Teams with these odds generally have a 76.9% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Istanbul Basaksehir vs Cherno More predictions.
We have also pointed out that fewer than two goals were scored in three of Istanbul Basaksehir's last four games. Keeping in mind that four of Cherno More’s last six matches went south of the 2.5-goal marker, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Can Cherno More turn things around?
This will be the second encounter between these teams. Istanbul Basaksehir defeated Cherno More by a single goal in their only other clash last week.
UEFA Conference League Qualifying 24/07/25
Cherno More Varna
Istanbul Basaksehir
Istanbul Basaksehir preview: Eyeing their fourth consecutive victory
Basaksehir will look to get the job done at home when they host Cherno More on Thursday. A 52nd-minute strike from captain Omer Sahiner handed Cagdas Atan’s men a 1-0 win on the road, putting them in the driving seat for a place in the third qualifying round.
The Owls got to the league phase of this competition last season where they impressed in the early stages. However, they ultimately failed to reach the knockout stage.
Centre-back Jerome Opoku remains the only injury absentee for this game. His absence won't be much of an issue for coach Atan, who is expected to stick with his strongest XI in a 4-3-3 formation.
Predicted lineup: Sengezer (GK), Operi, Ba, Duarte, Bulut, Sahiner, Ozdemir, Crespo, Sari, Brnic & Da Costa.
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 09/05/25
L
Fenerbahce
4
Istanbul Basaksehir
1
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 03/05/25
W
Hatayspor
2
Istanbul Basaksehir
4
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 28/04/25
L
Goztepe
4
Istanbul Basaksehir
1
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 20/04/25
W
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
1
Istanbul Basaksehir
2
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 12/04/25
W
Besiktas
0
Istanbul Basaksehir
2
Cherno More preview: Celso Sidney questionable
Cherno More were knocked out at this stage last season, losing 2-1 on aggregate to Israeli club Hapoel Be’er Sheva. Only a strong showing in Istanbul can help them avoid the fate they suffered last campaign.
New signing Celso Sidney is in a race to be fit for this clash after sustaining an injury in the first leg defeat. Should the Portuguese forward be ruled out, Phellipe Cardoso Araujo will most likely lead the line for the Sailors in Ilian Iliev’s preferred 4-2-3-1 formation.
Predicted lineup: Iliev (GK), Donchev, Atanasov, Drobarov, Panov, Panayotov, Teles, Junior, Chandarov, Zlatev & Araujo.
Bulgaria First League 13/05/25
W
Ludogorets Razgrad
0
Cherno More Varna
2
Bulgaria First League 10/05/25
L
Levski Sofia
2
Cherno More Varna
0
Bulgaria First League 04/05/25
D
Arda Kardzhali
1
Cherno More Varna
1
Bulgaria First League 27/04/25
L
Ludogorets Razgrad
2
Cherno More Varna
0
Bulgaria Cup 22/04/25
L
CSKA Sofia
2
Cherno More Varna
1
Player to watch: Nuno da Costa
After scoring 13 goals and providing two assists in 29 league assignments for Kasimpasa last season, Nuno da Costa joined Istanbul Basaksehir earlier this month. The 34-year-old got his first goal contribution on his competitive debut, setting up the only goal in the first leg of this tie. It will be interesting to see how he performs on Thursday night.