Israel vs Moldova prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/11/2025
Israel players celebrating || Credit IMAGO / AFLOSPORT
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 3.5 goals

Three of their last meetings have had over 3.5 goals scored.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup European Qualifiers, Israel will take on Moldova, in Group I, on Sunday at the Nagyerdei Stadion (Debrecen). 

Israel, currently in third place in the group, have experienced a challenging run of defeats, having lost three of their last five World Cup qualifying matches. They suffered a heavy 3-0 loss against Italy away from home and were held to a 0-0 draw against Lithuania in a friendly game.

Meanwhile, the Tricolours are firmly rooted at the bottom of the group and are winless in their qualifying campaign. Their last qualifying game saw them beaten 2-0 by Italy, with the result putting them fifth in their group.

Read our Israel vs Moldova predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other  FIFA World Cup predictions.

Israel vs Moldova prediction: Home team to win comfortably

Key statistics

  • Four of their last five meetings have ended in a BTTS result.
  • Over 3.5 goals have been scored in three of their last five encounters. 
  • Israel have won four of their last five clashes with Moldova.

Correct score prediction: Israel 3-1 Moldova

Israel have had better performances in their qualifying rounds than Moldova despite their poor run of recent games. We consider them favourites to win this clash, having dominated their previous meetings.

Moldova’s struggles put them at a disadvantage and Israel will be looking to get back to winning ways against the visitors. We are predicting a comfortable 3-1 victory for the host in this game.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Israel are likely to win

  • Home: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
  • Draw: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
  • Away: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

Despite the host's poor form in the qualifying campaign, they head into the match as clear favourites at 1.44 odds, giving them a 69.2% chance of victory based on the bookmakers’ odds.

The draw is priced at 4.80, representing a 20.8% likelihood, while the visitors are major underdogs at 6.50, with just a 15.4% chance of success.

Most recent head-to-head: Israel dominate recent meetings

The head-to-head record for these teams is overwhelmingly in favour of the home side, Israel. Over the last five matches, Israel has secured four victories and drawn one match, with Moldova failing to record a single win in their entire competitive games. 

The most recent clash occurred in September 2025 when Israel secured a dominant 4-0 victory against Moldova away from home, showing how dominant they have been in past fixtures.

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 12/10/21

Israel

Israel

2
Moldova

Moldova

1

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 31/03/21

Moldova

Moldova

1
Israel

Israel

4

International Match 06/06/17

Israel

Israel

1
Moldova

Moldova

1

After reviewing our key Israel vs Moldova predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Israel preview: Some injury concerns in the squad

Israel will be without three players for this international break, as Manor Solomon, Anan Khalaily and Sagiv Yehezkel are all sidelined through injury. 

After rotating heavily for the midweek friendly against Lithuania, head coach Ben Shimon is expected to restore several first-choice players to the lineup, including captain Eli Dasa, Idan Nachmias and Dor Peretz. 

Predicted lineup: Glazer (GK), Dasa, Nachimas, Blorian, Revivo, Gloukh, Kanichowsky, D. Peretz, Biton, Turgeman & Shua

Last five fixtures

  • 15.11.25 – Lithuania 0 – 0 Israel
  • 14.10.25 – Italy 3 – 0 Israel
  • 11.10.25 – Norway 5 – 0 Israel
  • 08.09.25 – Israel 4 – 5 Italy
  • 05.09.25 – Moldova 0 – 4 Israel

Moldova preview: Just one player missing

Moldova have Nichita Motpan out of their clash against Israel, the only absentee this month. However, they are boosted by the return of Artur Ionita, who was absent in October but has now rejoined the squad and he is in contention to start again after featuring from the outset against Italy.

Predicted lineup: Cojuhar (GK), Revenco, Craciun, Stefan, Dumbravanu, Reabciuk, Caimacov, Rata, Ionita, Postolachi & Nicolaescu

Last five fixtures

  • 15.11.25 – Lithuania 0 – 0 Israel
  • 14.10.25 – Italy 3 – 0 Israel
  • 11.10.25 – Norway 5 – 0 Israel
  • 08.09.25 – Israel 4 – 5 Italy
  • 05.09.25 – Moldova 0 – 4 Israel

Player to watch: Dan Biton

Dan Biton in action for Israel || Credit - IMAGO / Gribaudi/ImagePhoto
Dan Biton in action for Israel || Credit – IMAGO / Gribaudi/ImagePhoto

Dan Biton will be looking to help his team get back to winning ways when they face Moldova in the qualifiers. The midfielder has been in good form in these qualifiers, scoring two goals and providing two assists. He will be a significant threat in attack for Israel in this game, and Moldova will need to find a way to stop him from reaching the end of the balls in the box.


Stephen is a dynamic sports journalist, writer, and reporter who brings passion and expertise to the world of sports, captivating audiences with insightful articles and in-depth analysis of the game.