Inter vs Bologna prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/01/2026
Inter Milan players celebrating || Credit IMAGO / ZUMA Press Wire
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First-half draw

Three of their last five meetings have ended in a first-half draw.

The Stadio Giuseppe Meazza prepares for a tight encounter this Sunday as Inter host Bologna in the Italian Serie A. The San Siro crowd will be looking to inspire their team as they attempt to maintain their footing in the title race. 

Inter Milan closed out 2025 at the summit of Serie A after putting together a four-match winning streak in the league, leaving them one point clear at the top. The run was capped by an impressive 1-0 away victory over Atalanta, a timely response following their Supercoppa Italiana semi-final defeat to Bologna.

The Nerazzurri will be confident of maintaining that momentum at the San Siro, where they have claimed victory in five of their last six league matches. However, caution is required, as three of their four Serie A defeats this season have come against teams that started the round inside the top seven, a category Bologna also fall into.

Bologna arrive in Milan on a four-game winless run in the league, a sequence that has seen them slip out of the European qualification places. They rounded off 2025 with a 1-1 home draw against Sassuolo. Vincenzo Italiano’s side have remained unbeaten on the road in all competitions since September, excluding neutral Supercoppa Italiana fixtures.

Defensive issues may worry the visitors, though, as Bologna have now gone nine matches in all competitions without a clean sheet. Conceding first in seven of those outings has repeatedly left them playing catch-up, something they will be keen to avoid against the league leaders.

Read our Inter vs Bologna predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.

Inter vs Bologna prediction: Host to secure a win 

Key statistics

  • Under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of their last five meetings.
  • Inter have won three of their last five home games in all competitions.
  • First-half draws have been played in three of their last five encounters.

Correct score prediction: Inter 2-0 Bologna

We expect the Nerazzurri to edge this contest and are backing Inter to record a 2–0 victory. Although the visitors have posed problems for the Milan giants in recent meetings, the quality, depth and experience within the home side should prove decisive over the course of the game. 

Inter are likely to begin at a high tempo as they look to make amends for their recent cup elimination, but the Rossoblu’s solid defensive structure should ensure the match remains tight throughout the 90 minutes.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Inter are clear favourites

  • Home: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.8%
  • Draw: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
  • Away: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

Inter are heavily favoured to win this match, with odds of 1.48 implying a 67.8% chance of a home victory. Bologna are clear outsiders at 6.50 (15.4%), while the draw is priced at 4.40, representing a 22.7% probability. 

The odds suggest Inter are expected to control the contest, though Bologna could keep things competitive if they remain compact and take advantage of key moments.

Most recent head-to-head: A tricky fixture for the Nerazzurri

A review of recent head-to-head records shows that the last five competitive meetings between Inter and Bologna have been tight, with momentum shifting between the two sides. 

During this run, both teams have managed just one win each, with the remaining three games ending in a draw. Their last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw in a Super Cup clash, but Bologna went on to win the game on penalties.

Italy Super Cup 19/12/25

Bologna

Bologna

1 (3)
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1 (2)

Italy Serie A 20/04/25

Bologna

Bologna

1
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

0

Italy Serie A 15/01/25

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2
Bologna

Bologna

2

Italy Serie A 09/03/24

Bologna

Bologna

0
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

Coppa Italia 20/12/23

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1
Bologna

Bologna

2

After reviewing our key Inter vs Bologna predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Inter preview: Defensive returns and key absences

Inter have received a boost with veteran defender Francesco Acerbi returning to full training after recovering from a thigh injury. However, the Nerazzurri remain without wing-backs Matteo Darmian and Denzel Dumfries, while French striker Ange-Yoan Bonny is also unavailable.

Predicted lineup: Sommer (GK), Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni, Henrique, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Thuram & Martinez

Last five fixtures

  • 28.12.25 – Atalanta 0 – 1 Inter
  • 19.12.25 – Bologna 1 – 1 Inter
  • 14.12.25 – Genoa 1 – 2 Inter
  • 09.12.25 – Inter 0 – 1 Liverpool
  • 06.12.25 – Inter 4 – 0 Como

Bologna preview: Near full-strength squad

Torbjorn Heggem is returning from suspension, but Italiano still has a few selection issues to contend with. Bologna are only missing goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski and winger Federico Bernardeschi for this fixture.

Predicted lineup: Ravaglia (GK), Holm, Heggem, Lucumi, Miranda, Freuler, Moro, Orsolini, Fabbian, Cambiaghi & Castro

Last five fixtures

  • 28.12.25 – Bologna 1 – 1 Sassuolo
  • 22.12.25 – Napoli 2 – 0 Bologna
  • 19.12.25 – Bologna 1 – 1 Inter
  • 14.12.25 – Bologna 0 – 1 Juventus
  • 11.12.25 – Celta Vigo 1 – 2 Bologna

Player to watch: Lautaro Martinez

Lautaro Martinez remains the key figure in the Nerazzurri lineup and has enjoyed an outstanding run of form this season. The Argentine forward has contributed nine goals and three assists for the club this season. 

Lautaro Martinez will be keen to score | Image by Imago/Copyright: Gribaudi/ImagePhoto
Lautaro Martinez will be keen to score | Image by Imago/Copyright: Gribaudi/ImagePhoto

Renowned for his sharp movement and quality in congested penalty areas, Martinez has been a primary threat to the opposition this season. We expect him to be the focal point of the Inter attack and cause problems for Bologna’s defence.


Stephen is a dynamic sports journalist, writer, and reporter who brings passion and expertise to the world of sports, captivating audiences with insightful articles and in-depth analysis of the game.