Inter Milan vs Genoa prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/02/2026
Inter Milan players celebrate: Photo by IMAGO / NurPhoto
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BTTS (Yes) and over 2.5 total goals

BTTS have been played in four of their last five meetings and over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of those four games.

Inter Milan will face Genoa in the Serie A at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Saturday, with the league leaders aiming to extend their dominant run at the top of the table and bounce back from their European defeat.

The hosts’ domestic dominance masks a dented morale after Wednesday’s shocking 2-1 defeat to FK Bodo/Glimt, which saw them exit the UEFA Champions League 5-2 on aggregate. 

The result was a major embarrassment for the Nerazzurri, especially given the vast quality gap between the clubs. However, they have a chance to restore confidence and open up a provisional 13-point lead over rivals AC Milan in Serie A. 

With the extra motivation of bouncing back from midweek disappointment and having won 12 of their last 13 league matches, including victories in each of the last seven, Cristian Chivu’s side look well-positioned. 

Meanwhile, Genoa ended a three-game winless run with a 3-0 triumph over Torino last weekend, moving three points clear of the relegation zone. 

While this is a daunting away fixture, Daniele De Rossi’s men have proven resilient on the road, losing only two of their last eight league away matches, including an impressive 1-1 draw at San Siro against AC Milan.

Read our Inter Milan vs Genoa predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other Serie A predictions.

Inter Milan vs Genoa prediction: Home side get a comfortable win

Key statistics

  • Inter Milan are unbeaten in their last 13 Serie A meetings against Genoa.
  • Over 1.5 goals have been scored in the first half by both teams in four of their last five meetings.
  • Both teams have found the net in four of the last five encounters between the sides, with three of those matches also producing more than 2.5 goals.

Correct score prediction: Inter Milan 3-1 Genoa

Inter will be looking to extend their winning streak in the Serie A and we expect the home team to secure a routine victory in this fixture to maintain their momentum in the league. We predict a 3-1 win for the hosts based on their exceptional home record. 

The Nerazzurri have been prolific in front of goal at the Giuseppe Meazza and should be able to unlock a stubborn Genoa defence. We are confident the hosts will control the pace and get the win in a comfortable way.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Inter are sure favourites

  • Home: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
  • Draw: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
  • Away: 17/2 (9.50) – 10.5%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

Inter are dominant favourites at 1.30 odds, implying a 76.9% probability of a home win. The market expects them to control proceedings and secure all three points.

The draw is priced at 5.50 (9/2), giving it an 18.2% implied chance. Genoa CFC are major underdogs at 9.50 (17/2), which translates to just a 10.5% chance of an away victory.

Most recent head-to-head: Dominant record for Inter Milan

The history between these two sides is heavily skewed in favour of Inter Milan, who have enjoyed significant success in this fixture over the last few seasons. Over the last 13 clashes, the hosts have secured 10 wins and been held to three draws.

In their most recent meeting in December 2025, Inter Milan secured a hard-fought 2-1 victory away from home, which followed a 1-0 win at the San Siro earlier that same year.

Genoa have found it particularly difficult at the Giuseppe Meazza in their last five visits to the stadium. This dominant record makes Inter Milan the overwhelming favourites as they prepare for this latest league encounter.

Italy Serie A 14/12/25

Genoa

Genoa

1
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Italy Serie A 22/02/25

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1
Genoa

Genoa

0

Italy Serie A 17/08/24

Genoa

Genoa

2
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Italy Serie A 04/03/24

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2
Genoa

Genoa

1

Italy Serie A 29/12/23

Genoa

Genoa

1
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

After reviewing our key Inter Milan vs Genoa predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Inter Milan preview: Key absences for Chivu

Inter will be without central defender Alessandro Bastoni due to suspension, while captain and talisman Lautaro Martinez is sidelined with a calf injury. These absences will force tactical adjustments in both defence and attack.

Predicted lineup: Sommer (GK), Bisseck, De Vrij, Acerbi, Luis Henrique, Frattesi, Zielinski, Sucic, Dimarco, Thuram & Esposito

Last five fixtures

  • 24.02.26 – Inter 1–2 Bodo/Glimt (Champions League)
  • 21.02.26 – Lecce 0–2 Inter (Serie A)
  • 18.02.26 – Bodo/Glimt 3–1 Inter (Champions League)
  • 14.02.26 – Inter 3–2 Juventus (Serie A)
  • 08.02.26 – Sassuolo 0–5 Inter (Serie A)

Genoa preview: Injuries limit squad options

Genoa are missing Benjamin Siegrist, Sebastian Otoa and Brooke Norton-Cuffy due to injury, reducing depth in goal, defence, and midfield for the visitors, who face a daunting task against Inter.

Predicted lineup: Bijlow (GK), Marcandalli, Ostigard, Vasquez, Ellertsson, Baldanzi, Frendrup, Malinovskyi, Sabelli, Colombo & Ekuban

Last five fixtures

  • 22.02.26 – Genoa 3–0 Torino (Serie A)
  • 15.02.26 – Cremonese 0–0 Genoa (Serie A)
  • 07.02.26 – Genoa 2–3 Napoli (Serie A)
  • 30.01.26 – Lazio 3–2 Genoa (Serie A)
  • 25.01.26 – Genoa 3–2 Bologna (Serie A)

Player to watch: Federico Dimarco

Federico Dimarco has emerged as one of Inter Milan’s most influential performers in recent weeks, playing a key role in their attacking output. The left-sided defender has registered five goals and 14 assists this season, underlining his offensive impact.

Federico Dimarco celebrating || Credit - IMAGO / Noah Wedel
Federico Dimarco celebrating || Credit – IMAGO / Noah Wedel

Across his last five appearances alone, Dimarco has contributed six assists. Renowned for his intelligent movement and pinpoint deliveries into the penalty area, he also poses a threat from distance with his powerful long-range shooting. 

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