The 2025 MLS campaign is nearing its end with Inter Miami welcoming New York City FC to Chase Stadium on Saturday, November 29.
Although it is a semi-final, it is effectively a final for the teams in the Eastern Conference, as they contest for the right to play for the MLS Cup on December 6.
Miami will go into this with confidence, especially being at home, but that will not deter the visiting team, who have been excellent on the road recently.
Explore our Inter Miami vs New York City FC betting tips below.
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Inter Miami vs New York City FC prediction: Momentum with the hosts
Key stats
- Inter Miami have won their last four games in a row at home.
- Lionel Messi has scored six goals and provided six assists in the playoffs alone.
- New York won their previous three consecutive road trips.
- The Cityzens have not beaten Inter for two years in competitive action.
Correct score prediction: Inter Miami 3-1 New York City FC
Inter Miami scored 12 goals in the post-season, averaging three goals per game. Their attacking threat is a major part of their game, and they tend to put their opponents to the sword, especially at home. However, the visitors only blanked once across their last five outings, so they are capable of piercing the home defence.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Herons to contest the cup
- HOME: 1/2 (1.5) – 66.7%
- DRAW: 17/5 (4/4) – 22.7%
- AWAY: 19/5 (4.8) – 20.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors’ excellent away form recently has not convinced Ladbrokes that they have enough to overturn the hosts, with just a 20.8% chance of them winning. The Herons are overwhelming favourites with a staggering 66.7% chance of winning. That is perhaps down to the fact that they have not lost at home across their previous four such matches.
We have more free betting tips for today that can help you out with the best possible selections.
Most recent H2Hs: Miami’s magnificence
The previous five MLS meetings between the sides produced four draws and a win for Inter Miami. The Herons last tasted defeat to New York in a competitive setting back in 2023. Going slightly further back, though, paints a different picture, as it was the visitors who won six of the previous seven head-to-heads.
USA MLS 25/09/25
New York City FC
Inter Miami CF
USA MLS 23/02/25
Inter Miami CF
New York City FC
USA MLS 21/09/24
New York City FC
Inter Miami CF
USA MLS 30/03/24
Inter Miami CF
New York City FC
Club Friendly List 11/11/23
Inter Miami CF
New York City FC
Inter Miami preview: Mateo Silvetti in for Suarez
Head coach Javier Mascherano has a decision to make. The former Liverpool midfielder has started the 19-year-old ahead of Suarez in the last two matches, and the Argentine forward has not disappointed. Silvetti bagged a goal and three assists in those appearances, which means he may get the nod ahead of the Uruguayan veteran.
Predicted lineup: Rios, Weigandt, Falcon, Busquets, Allen, Alba; Allende, De Paul, Rodriguez; Messi, Silvetti
Last five games
- FC Cincinnati 0-4 Inter Miami
- Inter Miami 4-0 Nashville SC
- Nashville SC 2-1 Inter Miami
- Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville SC
- Nashville 2-5 Inter Miami
New York City FC preview: Maxi Moralez the key man
The club veteran has been incredible for his side recently, scoring the winning goal against Philadelphia Union in the semi-final. With leading goalscorer Alonso Martinez battling an injury, Moralez could be key to unlocking the home defence. The good news for Jansen is that Aiden O’Neill returns after serving a one-game suspension.
Predicted lineup: Freese; Ojeda, Gray, Martins, Gustavo, O’Toole; Moralez, O’Neill, Haak, Wolf; Mercau
Last five games
- Philadelphia Union 0-1 New York City FC
- Charlotte 1-3 New York City FC
- New York City FC 0-0 Charlotte
- Charlotte 0-1 New York City FC
- New York City FC 1-2 Seattle Sounders
Player to watch: Tadeo Allende
