Iliman Ndiaye to Man City: How likely is £60m Everton transfer? Football Whispers Index score

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Iliman Ndiaye to Man City: How likely is £60m Everton transfer? Football Whispers Index score
Iliman Ndiaye to Man City: Photo by SPI/Iconsport

Manchester City have reached agreement in principle with Everton to sign Iliman Ndiaye.

The move came together fast, with City pivoting straight from a collapsed Cody Gakpo pursuit into a £65m deal for the Senegal winger.

Ndiaye is due to have a medical at Manchester City on Tuesday morning, with the transfer now at the paperwork stage.

The Football Whispers Index scores every transfer rumour across five weighted factors. Read how it works here.

Iliman Ndiaye to Man City rated ‘Very likely'

Iliman Ndiaye to Man City – Football Whispers Index
Football Whispers Index: Transfer predictor

Iliman Ndiaye to Man City

Very likely
Manchester City have reached agreement in principle with Everton for £65m, with Ndiaye due a medical on Tuesday morning.
Updated
Financial viability19 / 25
Buying club need15 / 20
Player motivation12 / 15
Selling club incentive12 / 20
Market momentum20 / 20
Financial viability19 / 25
  • Manchester City have agreed a £65m fee with Everton for Ndiaye, below the club's earlier £80m valuation, David Ornstein reported on 31 August.
  • Ndiaye has three years left on his Everton contract, running to 30 June 2029.
  • Liverpool rejected a reported £80m City bid for Cody Gakpo, who is now set to stay at Anfield, freeing City's budget for Ndiaye instead.
  • City confirmed Omar Marmoush's move to Tottenham on 27 August, a season-long loan carrying a £50m obligation to buy next summer.
Buying club need15 / 20
  • Manchester City's move for Cody Gakpo collapsed after Liverpool rejected an £80m offer, leaving City's wide areas short of a fresh addition.
  • Antoine Semenyo, City's first-choice right winger since his January move from Bournemouth, scored 17 goals in the Premier League last season.
  • Savinho's £75m exit and Marmoush's £50m move, both to Tottenham and completed by 27 August, had already thinned City's forward options before the Gakpo deal fell through.
Player motivation12 / 15
  • Ndiaye turned down a new contract offer from Everton this summer.
  • Ndiaye is set to undergo a medical at Manchester City on Tuesday morning, Fabrizio Romano reported on 31 August.
  • The move takes Ndiaye from an Everton side that finished 13th last season to the Premier League runners-up.
Selling club incentive12 / 20
  • David Moyes has described Ndiaye as central to Everton's plans this season.
  • Everton and Manchester City are in talks over Jack Grealish returning to Hill Dickinson Stadium, Fabrizio Romano reported on 28 August.
  • The £65m fee still hands Everton a profit of more than £45m on the sum they paid for Ndiaye from Marseille in 2024.
Market momentum20 / 20
  • David Ornstein reported for The Athletic on 31 August that Manchester City have reached an agreement in principle with Everton to sign Ndiaye.
  • Fabrizio Romano confirmed the same day that City pivoted straight from a failed Cody Gakpo pursuit into the Ndiaye deal.
  • Ndiaye is scheduled for a medical at Manchester City on Tuesday morning, with the move now at the paperwork stage.
The verdict91 / 100
This jumps to 91 and into Very likely because Manchester City and Everton have an agreement in principle, with Ndiaye scheduled for a medical on Tuesday morning.
It happens once Ndiaye passes his medical and the paperwork is completed before Tuesday's deadline.
It only falls through if the medical throws up a genuine problem, which is rare for a deal at this stage.

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