Hoffenheim will aim to maintain their impressive form in the Bundesliga when they take on St Pauli on Saturday, 28 February at PreZero Arena.
View our Hoffenheim vs St Pauli predictions below.
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Hoffenheim vs St Pauli preview: Impressive home form
Key stats
- Hoffenheim have won all four of their Bundesliga home games in 2026.
- St Pauli's last five games have all gone above the 2.5-goal line.
- There were more than 11 corners in each of Hoffenheim's last six matches.
Correct score prediction: Hoffenheim 2-1 St Pauli
Hoffenheim sit third in the Bundesliga table with 46 points from 23 games, while St Pauli are 16th with 20 points from same number of matches.
Die Kraichgauer lost 5-1 against Bayern Munich earlier this month and have bounced back with a win and a draw after that.
Hoffenheim have won eight matches at home, and have not been involved in a draw. St Pauli have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six matches, and each their last five games has gone over 2.5-goal line.
The home side have conceded eight goals in their last four games and have managed to keep a clean sheet in only one of them, so we predict St Pauli to score, but Hoffenheim to grab all three points.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hoffenheim clear favourites
- HOME: 1/2 (1.5) – 66.7%
- DRAW: 17/5 (4.4) – 22.7%
- AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
From the data above, we can see that Hoffenheim are overwhelming favourites to win this game, mainly due to their impressive form and home advantage. They are priced at 1/2 (1.5), with a 66.7% chances of winning.
St Pauli are showing signs of revival and have won two of their last three games. The visitors have scored in six of their last eight matches, and therefore, BTTS – Yes at 1/1 (2.0), with a 50% chance of landing, looks like good value.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Hoffenheim vs St Pauli predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Third time meeting this season
In the reverse Bundesliga fixture, Hoffenheim won 3-0 away from home. The two sides met again in the German Cup, where St Pauli won 8-7 on penalties, after the match ended 2-2 following extra time.
In 2024-25, St Pauli completed a league double over their rivals, but given their current situation, it will require a great performance to beat Hoffenheim this weekend.
Germany DFB Pokal 28/10/25
St Pauli
TSG Hoffenheim
Germany Bundesliga I 19/10/25
St Pauli
TSG Hoffenheim
Germany Bundesliga I 14/03/25
St Pauli
TSG Hoffenheim
Germany Bundesliga I 02/11/24
TSG Hoffenheim
St Pauli
Hoffenheim preview: Can they close the gap with Dortmund?
If Borussia Dortmund lose to Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on Saturday, this could give Hoffenheim the opportunity to reduce the gap to three points behind Die Borussen.
Koki Macheda and Adam Hlozek are out injured, while Bernardo and Tim Lemperle are both pushing for recalls to the squad after spell on the sidelines.
Predicted lineup: Baumann (GK), Kabak, Hranac, Coufal, Hajdari, Promel, Burger, Avdullahu, Asllani, Toure & Kramaric
Last five matches
- 21/02/26: FC Koln 2-2 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
- 14/02/26: Hoffenheim 3-0 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga)
- 08/02/26: Bayern Munich 5-1 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
- 31/01/26: Hoffenheim 3-1 Union Berlin (Bundesliga)
- 27/01/26: Werder Bremen 0-2 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
St Pauli preview: Can they pick up back-to-back wins?
While the recent results have been encouraging, St Pauli still have a long way to go to mark themselves as completely safe from getting relegated.
Alexander Blessin's side have won only twice in their last 10 matches and have picked up just one away victory this season, which does little to inspire confidence among their fans.
Joel Chima Fujita picked up a knock against Werder Bremen and he will be assessed before the match.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Ando, Wahl, Mets, Saliakas, Irvine, Smith, Pyrka, Sinani, Fujita & Kaars
Last five matches
- 22/02/26: St Pauli 2-1 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
- 14/02/26: Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 St Pauli (Bundesliga)
- 07/02/26: St Pauli 2-1 Stuttgart (Bundesliga)
- 03/02/26: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 St Pauli (DFB-Pokal)
- 31/01/26: Augsburg 2-1 St Pauli (Bundesliga)
Player to watch: Andrej Kramaric
The Croatian forward has been in fantastic form this season for Hoffenheim, scoring 10 Bundesliga goals and registering four assists in 23 matches.
The 34-year-old has played in multiple roles this season across the forward line, but he has been most effective in the no 10 role, operating just behind Fisnik Asllani.
