On Saturday, TSG Hoffenheim will take on Hamburger SV at the Rhein-Neckar-Arena in the German Bundesliga, with the home team fighting for European qualification.
The Kraichgauers are in decent form hedging into this game, having won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five games. Their four-game unbeaten run came to an end following a recent 2-0 defeat away to Borussia Dortmund in their last Bundesliga outing.
Conversely, the Rothosen have not had a good run in their last five games, with two wins, two losses and one draw. They got back to winning ways after securing a morale-boosting 3-2 victory at home against SV Werder Bremen last weekend.
Read our Hoffenheim vs Hamburg predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Bundesliga predictions.
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Hoffenheim vs Hamburg prediction: Home team to claim narrow win
Key statistics
- The Kraichgauers have won their last four home games in a row across all competitions.
- Hoffenheim have won three of their last five home games against Hamburg.
- Four of their last five meetings have ended in over 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: Hoffenheim 2-1 Hamburg
Looking at the form of both teams, the Kraichgauers have been the better side and we are tipping them to secure a narrow victory in this game. Matches involving these two teams has featured numerous goals and Hamburg’s recent aggressive attacking display suggests they will find the back of the net.
However, Hoffenheim's consistency at the Bundesliga level and their need to secure three points for a European push should give them the decisive edge. We believe that the home team will overcome the visitors’ challenge and we are predicting a narrow 2-1 victory for the Kraichgauers.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Hoffenheim are the favourites
- Home: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
- Draw: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- Away: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Hoffenheim go into this match as the favourites with odds of 1.75, implying a 57.1% chance of winning. Hamburg are priced at 4.00 (25.0%), while the draw sits at 4.20 (23.8%), suggesting Hoffenheim should have the upper hand.
Most recent head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Looking at their previous records, the last five competitive meetings between Hoffenheim and Hamburger have been tight, with each team claiming two wins each and a draw separating them.
However, the Kraichgauers have had the upper hand at home, securing three wins in their last five meetings. Their previous encounter ended in a 2-0 win for Hoffenheim in 2018 and a 3-0 win for Hamburg in 2017.
Germany Bundesliga I 14/04/18
TSG Hoffenheim
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Germany Bundesliga I 26/11/17
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TSG Hoffenheim
Germany Bundesliga I 08/04/17
Hamburg
TSG Hoffenheim
Germany Bundesliga I 20/11/16
TSG Hoffenheim
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Germany Bundesliga I 19/03/16
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TSG Hoffenheim
After reviewing our key Hoffenheim vs Hamburg predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Hoffenheim preview: Injury and suspension concerns for the home team
Hoffenheim head into this match with multiple setbacks, as they will be without Bernardo due to suspension following accumulated yellow cards and Koki Machida, who is sidelined with an injury. The absence of Bernardo could disrupt their defensive stability, while Machida’s injury leaves a gap in the team setup.
Predicted lineup: Oliver (GK), Vladimir, Robin, Albian, Ozan, Grischa, Leon, Wouter, Fisnik, Tim & Bazoumana
Last five fixtures
- 07.12.25 – Dortmund 2–0 Hoffenheim
- 29.11.25 – Hoffenheim 3–0 Augsburg
- 21.11.25 – Mainz 1–1 Hoffenheim
- 13.11.25 – Hoffenheim 3–0 Greuther Furth
- 08.11.25 – Hoffenheim 3–1 RB Leipzig
Hamburg preview: Few injury concerns
Hamburger also face significant challenges, missing Warmed Omari and Alexander Rossing through injury, Nicolai Remberg due to suspension following accumulated yellow cards and Robert Glatzel, who remains sidelined with an injury.
Predicted lineup: Daniel (GK), Nicolas, Luka, Jordan, Bakery, Albert, Jonas, Aboubaka, Fabio, Rayan & Jean-Luc
Last five fixtures
- 07.12.25 – Hamburger SV 3–2 Werder Bremen
- 03.12.25 – Hamburger SV 0–0 Holstein Kiel (lost on penalties)
- 30.11.25 – Hamburger SV 2–1 Stuttgart
- 22.11.25 – Augsburg 1–0 Hamburger SV
- 08.11.25 – Hamburger SV 1–1 Dortmund
Player to watch: Fisnik Asllani
One player to look out for in this clash is Fisnik Asllani, who has been Hoffenheim’s top scorer this season. The forward has been the main attacking threat for the team and will be looking to get on the scoresheet in this game.
The Croatian international is a consistent goalscorer and has been involved in five goals and two assists this season. His technical quality in attack will be paramount to the home side securing a crucial victory.