Hoffenheim vs Freiburg prediction, odds & betting tips – 08/12/2024
In-form Freiburg could be worth backing to win at Hoffenheim. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 total goals

Five of Hoffenheim’s six Bundesliga home games this term have featured over 2.5 goals.

Hoffenheim go head-to-head with Freiburg at the PreZero Arena in the German Bundesliga on Sunday, 8 December. Read our German football predictions for the fixture below.

Hoffenheim vs Freiburg prediction: Goals likely in Sinsheim

Key Stats

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  • Five of Hoffenheim’s six Bundesliga home games this season have featured over 2.5 goals.
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  • Freiburg are unbeaten in six previous meetings with Hoffenheim.
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  • Hoffenheim have been conceding an average of 2.80 goals per home game so far this season.
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  • Both teams registered in eight of the last nine meetings between Hoffenheim and Freiburg.

Correct score prediction: Hoffenheim 1-2 Freiburg

Freiburg have won five of their last six meetings with Hoffenheim and two of the most recent three of those victories finished 2-1 in the Breisgau-Brasilianer’s favour. A similar outcome could be worth backing here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts are slight favourites

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  • HOME: 17/10 (2.70) – 37%
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  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
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  • AWAY: 31/20 (2.55) – 29.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Hoffenheim have lost three games on the spin in league and cup, though all three defeats were suffered on the road and they have a 37% chance of harnessing home advantage to bounce back on Sunday.

Freiburg snapped a four-game winless run with an impressive 3-1 win over Gladbach last time out, though they remain 31/20 underdogs in the match result markets despite that success. View more of our latest football predictions and expert analysis via the link.

Most recent H2Hs: Freiburg have been on top

Freiburg did the double over Hoffenheim last season and they have won five of the last six iterations of this fixture overall.

Germany Bundesliga I 20/01/24

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

3
TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Germany Bundesliga I 19/08/23

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

1
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2

Germany Bundesliga I 12/03/23

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2
TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

1

Germany Bundesliga I 18/09/22

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

0
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0

Germany Bundesliga I 30/04/22

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

3
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

4

Hoffenheim preview: Hosts dealing with an injury crisis

Hoffenheim have plenty of injury issues to contend with at present and Umut Tohumcu, Marius Bulter, Florian Grillitsch, Christopher Lenz, Grischa Promel, Ihlas Bebou, Finn Ole Becker and Ozan Kabak are all expected to miss out this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Baumann (GK), Kaderabek, Akpogumna, Nsoki, Prass, Stach, Bischof, Hlozek, Kramaric, Bruun Larsen, Tabakovic

Germany Bundesliga I 09/05/25

D

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

Borussia M'gladbach

Borussia M'gladbach

4

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

4

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

L

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

L

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

3

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

W

Mainz

Mainz

0

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Freiburg preview: Adamu serving a ban

Florian Muller, Eren Dinkci and Daniel-Kofi Kyereh are injured for Freiburg while Junior Adamu is suspended and will also sit this one out. Freiburg slipped to defeat against lower-league Arminia Bielefeld in the DFB Pokal in midweek.

Predicted lineup: Atubolu (GK), Kubler, Ginter, Lienhart, Gunter, Eggestein, Hofler, Doan, Holer, Grifo, Gregoritsch

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

W

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

1

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2

Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25

D

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

2

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

0

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

W

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

3

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

W

Borussia M'gladbach

Borussia M'gladbach

1

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2

Player to watch – Lucas Holer

Lucas Holer had an outing to remember last weekend when he scored twice in Freiburg’s 3-1 win over Borussia Monchengladbach in the Bundesliga and the 30-year-old should be able to play with renewed confidence after his impact.

Hoffenheim vs Freiburg prediction
Lucas Höler scored a crucial brace in Freiburg's last league game. (Photo by Imago)

Holer finally up and running

While he had chipped in with a couple of assists, Holer hadn’t scored this season before his double against Gladbach last week and with his duck for the campaign broken, the attacker should be able to kick on from here.

bundesliga prediction

Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.