Hoffenheim vs Freiburg prediction, odds & betting tips 14/02/2026

After stumbling in the quest to finish in the Bundesliga‘s top four, Hoffenheim will hope to bounce back against visitors Freiburg at PreZero Arena on Saturday.

The third-placed hosts come into the weekend's clash having lost 5-1 against Bayern Munich on February 8, and their points tally of 42 is only three more than fifth-placed Stuttgart, whereas Freiburg are in seventh place with 30 points following their 1-0 win against Werder Bremen on Feruary 7.

Hoffenheim vs Freiburg prediction: Hoffenheim's continued attacking excellence

Key stats

• Hoffenheim have scored at least two goals in four of their last six games.
• Freiburg have only netted two times in their past four matches.
• The visitors have conceded 17 of their 22 away goals in the second half.

Correct score prediction: Hoffenheim 3-1 Freiburg

Hoffenheim's performances in front of goal have been consistently strong, and it would be surprising if they failed to score multiple times.

Freiburg may have opportunities of their own, but their frailty in the closing stages of matches could cost them the chance of victory.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hoffenheim predicted to win by the bookmakers

• HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%

• DRAW: 29/10 (3.9) – 25.6%

• AWAY: 16/5 (4.2) – 23.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Hoffenheim are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 57.1%, and the bookmakers have given Freiburg just a 23.8% chance taking three points.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Freiburg dominance

Freiburg earned a point against Hoffenheim in September 2025, drawing 1-1 in the Bundesliga, and that extended their unbeaten streak against their hosts to eight matches.

In that period, Saturday's visitors claimed victory on six occasions, though two of their last three meetings have ended 1-1.

Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/25

SC Freiburg

1

TSG Hoffenheim

1

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

SC Freiburg

3

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Germany Bundesliga I 08/12/24

TSG Hoffenheim

1

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 20/01/24

SC Freiburg

3

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Germany Bundesliga I 19/08/23

TSG Hoffenheim

1

SC Freiburg

2

Hoffenheim preview: Poor loss derailing momentum?

Hoffenheim's defeat against Bayern Munich ended a streak of five consecutive wins, though they have still emerged triumphant in each of their last seven home matches.

Considering defender Kevin Akpoguma is suspended, expect to see Robin Hranac and Ozan Kabak in the middle of a four-man defence.

Predicted lineup: Baumann (GK), Coufal, Hranac, Kabak, Hajdari, Promel, Avdullahu, Burger, Kramaric, Asllani & Toure

Last five results:

• 08/02/26: Bayern Munich 5-1 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
• 31/01/26: Hoffenheim 3-1 Union Berlin (Bundesliga)
• 27/01/26: Werder Bremen 0-2 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
• 24/01/26: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
• 17/01/26: Hoffenheim 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga)

Freiburg preview: Frustrating inconsistencies

Freiburg's win against Werder Bremen was their fourth success in six games in all competitions, but they did lose twice in that time, and they have only won two of their past five Bundesliga outings.

Centre-forward Igor Matanovic is certain to be named in the XI, and he could be supported by attacker Yuito Suzuki, while Maximilian Eggestein and Patrick Osterhage are set to play in a double pivot.

Predicted lineup: Atubolu (GK), Treu, Ginter, Rosenfelder, Gunter, Eggestein, Osterhage, Beste, Suzuki, Grifo & Matanovic

Last five results:

• 10/02/26: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Freiburg (p) (DFB-Pokal)
• 07/02/26: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
• 01/02/26: Stuttgart 1-0 Freiburg (Bundesliga)
• 29/01/26: Lille 1-0 Freiburg (Europa League)
• 25/01/26: Freiburg 2-1 FC Koln (Bundesliga)

layer to watch: Andrej Kramaric

Much of Hoffenheim's success this season has been achieved thanks to the strong performances of Andrej Kramaric, who ranks as the club's leading goalscorer in the Bundesliga (9).

The forward has scored six goals in his last six matches, while also providing an assist in that stretch, and his form could lead his club to Champions League football.