Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich prediction, odds & betting tips 31/01/2026

Bayern Munich lost their unbeaten record in the Bundesliga last week, so they will want to get back to winning ways with a victory against hosts Hamburger SV on Saturday at Volksparkstadion.

The league-leaders suffered a 2-1 defeat at the hands of Augsburg on January 24, though their tally of 50 points is still eight more than second-placed Borussia Dortmund, whereas Hamburger were held to a goalless draw by St Pauli on January 23 and are in 14th place with 18 points.

Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich prediction: Outstanding offensive displays by the visitors

Key stats

• Bayern Munich have scored at least three goals in eight of their last 12 fixtures.
• Hamburger SV have netted just three times in their past five matches.
• The visitors have won by at least four goals in four of their nine most recent Bundesliga outings.

Correct score prediction: Hamburger SV 0-4 Bayern Munich

Though Bayern Munich were beaten last time out in the Bundesliga, they have still been exceptional in the final third this season.

Hamburger SV have found it difficult to produce chances in attack, and they will almost certainly come out second best at Volksparkstadion.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern Munich predicted to win by the bookmakers

• HOME: 7/1 (8) – 12.5%

• DRAW: 11/2 (6.5) – 15.4%

• AWAY: 3/10 (1.3) – 76.9%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bayern Munich are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 76.9%, and the bookmakers would be surprised if Hamburger managed to take even a single point.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Bayern Munich dominate Hamburger

Bayern Munich emerged as 5-0 victors when they hosted Hamburger in September 2025, taking a 3-0 lead before the half-hour mark.

That success was the Bavarians' 10th consecutive win against their opponents, and it was also the third time in four games that they netted at least five goals against Hamburger.

Hamburger SV preview: Draws, draws, draws

Hamburger SV come into the weekend's game having drawn three of their last four matches, but they are winless in their last five games.

With number nine Yussuf Poulsen ruled out due to an ankle issue, it would not be surprising to see Ransford Konigsdorffer start up front.

Predicted lineup: Fernandes (GK), Capaldo, Vuskovic, Torunarigha, Jatta, Lokonga, Remberg, Muheim, Vieira, Konigsdorffer & Downs

Last five results:

• St Pauli 0-0 Hamburger SV
• Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia Monchengladbach
• Freiburg 2-1 Hamburger SV
• Hamburger SV 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
• Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburger SV

Bayern Munich preview: A blip in the season

While Bayern Munich were beaten last time out in the Bundesliga, that was only the fourth time in 31 games that they failed to win this campaign, and it was just their second defeat.

Vincent Kompany could look to start teenager Lennart Karl in an advanced role behind striker Harry Kane, while Michael Olise and Luis Diaz could be positioned in wide roles.

Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Bischof, Upamecano, Kim, Ito, Kimmich, Goretzka, Olise, Karl, Diaz & Kane

Last five results:

• PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Bayern Munich
• Bayern Munich 1-2 Augsburg
• Bayern Munich 2-0 Union SG
• RB Leipzig 1- 5 Bayern Munich
• FC Koln 1-3 Bayern Munich

Player to watch: Luis Diaz

Luis Diaz has performed excellently for Bayern Munich this season, but he has slowed down of late, with the winger having produced one assist in his last four games while failing to score.

Diaz scored in the reverse fixture against Hamburger SV, and he will be keen to get back onto the scoresheet.

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