Hamburg will look to pick up their third home win of the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign when they take on Wolfsburg on Saturday, 25 October 2025, at Volksparkstadion.
View our free Hamburg vs Wolfsburg prediction below.
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Hamburg vs Wolfsburg prediction: Home side to win
Key stats
- Hamburg have won two of their three home matches.
- Wolfsburg are winless in their last six Bundesliga games, losing four in a row.
- The visitors have conceded 11 goals in their last five games.
Correct score prediction: Hamburg 2-1 Wolfsburg
After a stuttering start to the season, where Hamburg picked only one point from their opening three matches, they have gradually found their feet in the league.
Since then, they have picked up back-to-back home wins, including a 4-0 victory over Mainz, which shows their ability to score freely at home.
Wolfsburg, on the other hand, are 15th in the table with five points on board, having lost four games in a row.
Die Wolfe have scored in two of their three away matches, including a 3-1 win over Heidenheim, and are capable of scoring on the road.
However, Hamburg will be boosted by their home form, which might prove too hot to handle for the visitors.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hamburg slight favourites
- HOME: 13/10 (2.3) – 43.5%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.6) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 9/5 (2.8) – 35.7%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Hamburg are heading into this game on the back of a 2-1 defeat against RB Leipzig, but their home form has been encouraging, and that is why, according to bookmakers, they carry 13/10 (2.3) odds to win, indicating a 43.5% chance of victory for the hosts.
Wolfsburg started the new season strongly with a win away from home, but since then they have been in very poor form, and their six-game winless run means they remain underdog, with odds of 9/5 (2.8) assigned to them.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve followed our Hamburg vs Wolfsburg prediction.
Most recent H2Hs: Meeting after long absence
The two sides have not met since 2018, when Hamburg last played in the Bundesliga.
In the last five meetings between the two clubs, Wolfsburg and Hamburg have each won twice, with the other meeting ending in a draw.
Europe Friendlies 06/10/21
Wolfsburg
Hamburg
Europe Friendlies 05/09/19
Wolfsburg
Hamburg
Germany Bundesliga I 28/04/18
Wolfsburg
Hamburg
Germany Bundesliga I 09/12/17
Hamburg
Wolfsburg
Germany Bundesliga I 20/05/17
Hamburg
Wolfsburg
Hamburg preview: Banking on home performance
Merlin Polzin will be happy with how his side have performed in recent games, and a victory against the struggling Wolfsburg side could take them close to the top 10, or even above that, provided other results go in their favour.
In both their home wins, they have scored in both halves and are expected to control the match, given that the opponent has a porous defence, having already leaked 13 goals.
The hosts are missing several players, with Warmed Omari and Hannes Hermann ruled out, while Fabio Vieira and Bakery Jatta are doubtful.
Predicted lineup: Fernandes (GK), Capaldo, Vuskovic, Elfadli, Mikelbrencis, Lokonga, Remberg, Muheim, Philippe, Konigsdorffer & Dompe
Last five matches:
- Bayern Munich 5-0 Hamburg
- Hamburg 2-1 Heidenheim
- Union Berlin 0-0 Hamburg
- Hamburg 4-0 Mainz
- RB Leipzig 2-1 Hamburg
Wolfsburg preview: Need to avoid another defeat
After losing four games in a row and being winless in their last six games, the confidence in the side is very low at the moment.
They have been losing games at home and away, and it will take a terrific effort to secure a positive result.
The visitors are missing Jesper Lindstrom, Denis Vavro, Rogerio, Kevin Paredes, Patrick Wimmer, and Maximilian Arnold for this game.
Predicted lineup: Grabara (GK), Fischer, Koulierakis, Jenz, Zehnter, Souza, Svanberg, Daghim, Eriksen, Maehle & Wind
Last five matches:
- Wolfsburg 3-3 Cologne
- Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Wolfsburg
- Wolfsburg 0-1 RB Leipzig
- Augsburg 3-1 Wolfsburg
- Wolfsburg 0-3 Stuttgart
Player to watch – Albert Sambi Lokonga
After failing to make an impact at Arsenal, the Belgium international has found his feet in Germany at Hamburg.
The 25-year-old has become the midfield lynchpin for the side, and has contributed two goals already.
