Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/12/2025
Merlin Polzin in the dugout for Hamburg game - photo by IMAGO / Philipp Szyza
🔥 Our Hot tip

Hamburg to win

Hamburg are undefeated in their last three home games

Hamburg will look to make it back-to-back wins for the first time this season when they take on Holstein Kiel in the DFB Pokal on Wednesday.

View our Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel predictions below.

Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel prediction: Home side advantage

Key stats

  • Hamburg have scored just three times in their past five games in all competitions.
  • Holstein Kiel have won just once in their last eight games in the German Bundesliga 2.
  • Hamburg are undefeated in their last three home games.

Correct score prediction: Hamburg 2-1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel defeated Wolfsburg 1-0 in the previous round of the DFL Pokal and are capable of scoring away from home again.

Hamburg will be boosted by their 2-1 win against Stuttgart in their previous game, and while their recent form has not been great either, they should be able to pick up a win here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hamburg predicted to win by the bookmakers

  • HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 59.9%
  • DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
  • AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Stuttgart have only won once in their last six Bundesliga games. They find themselves 13th in the Bundesliga table and have done enough to stay clear of the relegation zone.

In their previous DFL-Pokal game, they beat Heidenheim 1-0. However, their recent form at home has been decent, and as a result, Hamburg are the expected winners at  4/6 (1.67). Teams with these odds usually have a 59.9% probability of winning.

On the other hand, Holstein Kein are heading into this match on the back of two defeats in the German Bundesliga 2, and have lost three of their last four league games.

A reason bookmakers have priced them at 3/1 (4.00) is that they have only a 25% chance of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Visitors have a slight upper hand

The two sides have mostly met in recent years in the German Bundesliga 2, and Holstein Klein hold a slight upper hand.

In 2023-24, they did a league double over them. In their last eight meetings, the visitors lost only once against Hamburg.

Germany Bundesliga II 20/04/24

Hamburg

Hamburg

0
Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

1

Germany Bundesliga II 11/11/23

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

4
Hamburg

Hamburg

2

Germany Bundesliga II 18/03/23

Hamburg

Hamburg

0
Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

0

Germany Bundesliga II 09/09/22

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

2
Hamburg

Hamburg

3

Germany Bundesliga II 10/04/22

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

1
Hamburg

Hamburg

0

Hamburg preview: Banking on home form

After defeating Stuttgart, they should be able to maintain consistency and pick up another win. The home form is key for them.

Predicted lineups: Fernandes (GK), Capaldo, Vuskovic, Torunarigha, Mikelbrencis, Lokonga, Remberg, Muheim, Philippe, Glatzel & Rossing

Last five results:

  • Hamburg 2-1 Stuttgart
  • Augsburg 1-0 Hamburg
  • Hamburg1-1 Borussia Dortmund
  • FC Koln 4-1 Hamburg
  • Heidenheim 0-1 Hamburg

Holstein Kiel preview: Equally poor form

The visitors have a good record against Hamburg, and anything can happen in a cup game. However, their recent form has been very poor.

Predicted lineups: Krumrey (GK), Rosenboom, Ivezic, Komenda, Tolkin, Knudsen, Davidsen, Kapralik, Therkelsen, Bernhardsson & Harres

Last five results:

  • Holstein Kiel 0-1 Hertha Berlin
  • Kaiserslautern 4-1 Holstein Kiel
  • Holstein Kiel 1-0 Dusseldorf
  • Preussen Mun 2-1 Holstein Kiel
  • Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein Kiel

Player to watch: Albert Sambi Lokonga

Lokonga failed to make a substantial impact at Arsenal before moving to Hamburg on a permanent deal in the summer of 2025.

The defensive midfielder has scored two goals this season, and expectations are high for him.

Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel
Albert Sambi Lokonga in action for Hamburg – IMAGO / Philipp Szyza

Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.