Groningen will take on Ajax at Euroborg Stadium on Saturday in the Eredivisie encounter, with the home team desperate to end their recent form slumps and the visitors looking to maintain their spot for European qualification.
The Pride of the North enter this fixture on the back of a disappointing run, having lost their last six consecutive league matches, putting them in 11th place in the league table.
Their poor form continued last weekend, having suffered a narrow 3-2 defeat away from home against Volendam in their most recent outing.
The away team arrive in Groningen sitting in third place but struggling to maintain consistency in their last five games, managing four draws and one win.
Ajax have played back-to-back draws, with the recent one being a goalless stalemate away from home against Zwolle in their last league fixture, which followed a 1-1 with NEC Nijmegen.
Their recent away form is intriguing too – unbeaten in eight but playing out three draws in their last three. With European qualification spots at stake, the visitors will view this as a must-win game to regain momentum heading into the final stretch of the season.
Read our Groningen vs Ajax predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Eredivisie predictions.
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Groningen vs Ajax prediction: Away team to get the win
Key statistics
- Mika Godts has scored five goals in his last five games in all competitions.
- Ajax are unbeaten against Groningen in their last eight meetings.
- BTTS has been played in four of their last five encounters.
Correct score prediction: Groningen 1-3 Ajax
Ahead of this clash, both teams have found it difficult to improve their form, but Ajax still have a better run than Groningen. We expect the visitors to secure all three points in a high-scoring affair at the Euroborg.
We predict a 3-1 win for Ajax based on their superior attacking depth and a record that heavily favours them in this particular fixture. We are confident that the class of the away side will eventually tell, even if the hosts manage to grab a consolation goal.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Ajax slight favourites
- Home: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%
- Draw: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- Away: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Groningen are priced at 2.70 odds, giving them a 37.0% implied chance of claiming victory on home soil. Ajax, on the other hand, are slight favourites at 2.25 odds, which translates to a 44.4% probability of securing an away win.
The draw stands at 3.40 odds, suggesting a 29.4% chance of the sides sharing the spoils in what could be a competitive Eredivisie encounter, based on what the bookmakers have given.
Most recent head-to-head: Ajax dominate previous record
Looking at the recent history between these two sides, the balance of power remains firmly in favour of the Ajax side. Across these last eight meetings, the Amsterdammers have won seven, with one draw between them.
In their most recent encounter in December 2025, Ajax secured a comfortable 2-0 victory at the Johan Cruyff Arena. Looking back, the two teams played out a thrilling 2-2 draw in May 2025, which was a rare occasion where the Lariani managed to take points off the giants.
Netherlands Eredivisie 02/12/25
Ajax
FC Groningen
Netherlands Eredivisie 14/05/25
FC Groningen
Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 06/10/24
Ajax
FC Groningen
Netherlands Eredivisie 16/05/23
FC Groningen
Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 14/05/23
FC Groningen
Ajax
After reviewing our key Groningen vs Ajax predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Groningen preview: Multiple absences to manage
Groningen will have to cope without several players for this clash. Younes Taha is suspended, while Elvis van der Laan, Mark Hoekstra and Tika de Jonge are all sidelined through injury, limiting the hosts’ options in several areas of the pitch.
Predicted lineup: Vaessen (GK), Mercera, Blokzijl, Janse, Peersman, Schreuders, Land, Resink, Van der Werff, Willumsson & van Bergen
Last five fixtures
- 01.03.26 – Volendam 3–2 Groningen (Eredivisie)
- 22.02.26 – Twente 2–1 Groningen (Eredivisie)
- 14.02.26 – Groningen 1–2 Utrecht (Eredivisie)
- 08.02.26 – Groningen 1–2 PSV (Eredivisie)
- 31.01.26 – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 Groningen (Eredivisie)
Ajax preview: Defensive concerns for visitors
Ajax also head into the match with a few key absentees. Youri Regeer must serve a suspension, while Oleksandr Zinchenko, Vitezslav Jaros and Ko Itakura are all unavailable due to injury, potentially forcing some adjustments in defence and midfield.
Predicted lineup: Paes (GK), Rosa, Sutalo, Baas, Wijndal, Klaassen, Steur, Gloukh, Bounida, Weghorst & Godts
Last five fixtures
- 01.03.26 – Zwolle 0–0 Ajax (Eredivisie)
- 21.02.26 – Ajax 1–1 Nijmegen (Eredivisie)
- 14.02.26 – Ajax 4–1 Sittard (Eredivisie)
- 08.02.26 – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Ajax (Eredivisie)
- 01.02.26 – Excelsior 2–2 Ajax (Eredivisie)
Player to watch: Mika Godts
Mika Godts is currently the most important player in the Ajax attacking unit and he has enjoyed a stellar campaign so far. The young Belgian winger has been in exceptional form over his last five games, contributing five goals and one assist.
His improved decision-making in the final third makes him the primary threat to Groningen's defence, which has looked vulnerable recently. We expect his pace and technical flair to be the deciding factor in breaking down the home side and securing a vital win for his team.