Gremio vs Vitoria prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/07/2024

Gremio and fellow strugglers Vitoria clash at the Arena do Grêmio in Brazil’s Serie A on Sunday, 21 July. Read our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the clash below.

Gremio vs Vitoria prediction: Goals likely in Porte Alegre

Key Stats

• Three of Vitoria’s last four away matches in Serie A have featured over 2.5 goals.
• Vitoria have the worst defensive record in the division so far having conceded 28 goals in 17 games.
• Vitoria scored exactly one goal in four of their last five away assignments in the league.
• Vitoria were beaten in three of their last four away matches in Serie A.

Correct score prediction: Gremio 2-1 Vitoria

Vitoria have a dismal record on the road this season, though they have developed a knack for netting consolation goals and they registered once in four of their last five away tussles. They conceded at least twice in three of their last four outings on the road however, and their looseness at the back could be their undoing again at Gremio.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Markets moving in Gremio’s favour

• HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
• DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
• AWAY: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Gremio (18^th) are four points behind Vitoria in the standings, though they have two games in had on their relegation rivals and could use home advantage this weekend to rein them in. Vitoria have been dropping plenty of points on the road of late and they have been priced as 7/2 underdogs in the match result markets this week as a result. To read more of our free football predictions for the weekend’s action, head over to our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Gremio have had the upper hand

Gremio have won three of their last four skirmishes with Vitoria and they haven’t lost any editions of this fixture since 2016.

Copa do Brasil 03/08/21

Gremio

1

Vitoria

0

Copa do Brasil 28/07/21

Vitoria

0

Gremio

3

Brazil Serie A 25/11/18

Vitoria

0

Gremio

0

Brazil Serie A 12/08/18

Gremio

4

Vitoria

0

Brazil Serie A 12/11/17

Gremio

1

Vitoria

1

Gremio preview: Hosts could name the same XI

Diego Costa, Andre Henrique, Lucas Mila and Jhonata Robert are all injured and unavailable for Gremio while Walter Kannemann is suspended. Gustavo Martins, Franco Cristaldo and Edenilson are rated as doubtful.

Predicted lineup: Marchesin (GK), Pedro, Ely, Nata, Reinaldo, Villasanti, Pepe, Dodi, Pavon, Soteldo, Galdino

Copa Sudamericana 13/05/25

D

Godoy Cruz

1

Gremio

1

Brazil Serie A 10/05/25

D

Bragantino

1

Gremio

1

Copa Sudamericana 08/05/25

D

Atletico Grau

0

Gremio

0

Brazil Serie A 04/05/25

W

Santos

0

Gremio

1

Copa do Brasil 01/05/25

L

CSA

3

Gremio

2

Vitoria preview: Visitors could be unchanged

Caio Vinicius has a thigh problem that will keep him out for another week or so while Camutange remains a long-term absentee. Dudu and Rodrigo Andrade remain unavailable for selection.

Predicted lineup: Arcanjo – Lepo, Uvini, Leonardo, Esteves, Silva, Everaldo, Mota, Oliveira, Janderson, Alerrando

Brazil Serie A 10/05/25

W

Vasco da Gama

1

Vitoria

2

Copa Sudamericana 06/05/25

D

Defensa y Justicia

1

Vitoria

1

Brazil Serie A 03/05/25

L

Ceara

1

Vitoria

0

Brazil Serie A 27/04/25

D

Gremio

1

Vitoria

1

Copa Sudamericana 24/04/25

L

Cerro Largo

1

Vitoria

0

Player to watch – Franco Cristaldo

Gremio are sweating on the availability of Franco Cristaldo ahead of the weekend, and it’s easy to see why they are so desperate to have the versatile Argentinean back in the fold as soon as possible.

Cristaldo has been a source of goals

With just ten goals in 15 Serie A fixtures so far, Gremio have been short on firepower this season, though Cristaldo has scored three times and lodged one assist in 11 starts this term and the 27-year-old will add some much-needed guile to his team’s frontline this weekend if he can prove his fitness in time.