The Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A features a midweek battle for essential points as Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense host Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama this Thursday at the Arena do Gremio in Porto Alegre.
The home team have had a bad patch in their last five games, having recorded one win, one draw and three losses. The Tricolour failed to return to winning ways after back-to-back losses, following a 2-2 draw away against Fortaleza.
The Cruzmaltino, meanwhile, have struggled in their last three games, with three losses in a row. Their losing streak continued following a disappointing 3-1 home loss to Juventude last weekend.
Read our Gremio vs Vasco predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Brasileiro predictions.
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Gremio vs Vasco prediction: Home team to get a narrow win
Key statistics
- Four of their last five meetings have had under 2.5 goals scored.
- The host have defeated Vasco five times at their home ground.
- Their last two home games ended in a 1-0 win for Gremio.
Correct score prediction: Gremio 1-0 Vasco
We are predicting a win for Gremio based on their home record against Vasco. They have secured five home wins against the visitors and would be looking to extend their record. Despite the fact that their form has been questionable in recent games, we are tipping them to get a narrow 1-0 win over Vasco.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Gremio are favourites
- Home: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
- Draw: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- Away: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.
We expect a tight game in this encounter, but the bookmakers have picked Gremio as slight favourites with 2.20 odds, reflecting a 45.5% chance of winning.
A draw is priced at 3.40, suggesting a 29.4% probability, while Vasco are the underdogs at 3.10 odds, giving them a 32.3% chance of victory.
Most recent Head-to-head: Record slightly favours the home team
The encounters between these two Brazilian giants have been tight, with Gremio having two wins and Vasco also recording two victories and one match ended in a draw.
Although the Tricolour have won their last five home games against the Cruzmaltino. The most recent competitive meeting ended in a 1-1 draw in July 2025, indicating their capacity to cancel each other out.
Brazil Serie A 28/07/24
Gremio
Vasco da Gama
Brazil Serie A 14/04/24
Vasco da Gama
Gremio
Brazil Serie A 03/12/23
Gremio
Vasco da Gama
Brazil Serie A 06/08/23
Vasco da Gama
Gremio
Brazil Serie B 11/09/22
Gremio
Vasco da Gama
After reviewing our key Gremio vs Vasco predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Gremio preview: Injury troubles for the host
Gremio are battling some injury problems for this game, with Fabian Balbuena ruled out with an ankle injury, while Martin Braithwaite misses out due to an Achilles tendon problem.
Edenilson is suspended after multiple yellow cards, Joao Pedro is sidelined with a muscle injury, and Rodrigo Ely is out with a knee issue. Mathaas Villasanti is unavailable because of a knee injury and Willian is missing with a leg problem.
However, the likes of Cristian Olivera, who is out with an ankle injury, Carlos Vinicius, who is doubtful due to a minor injury, and Marcos Rocha, who is a question mark due to a hamstring issue, could still make the lineup if they pass a late fitness test.
Predicted lineup: Volpi (GK), Lucas, Noriega, Kannemann, Marlon, Arthur, Cuellar, Edward, Cristaldo, Amuzu & Vinicius
Last five fixtures
- 10.11.25 – Fortaleza 2 – 2 Gremio
- 06.11.25 – Gremio 0 – 1 Cruzeiro
- 02.11.25 – Corinthians 2 – 0 Gremio
- 26.10.25 – Gremio 3 – 1 Juventude
- 20.10.25 – Bahia 4 – 0 Gremio
Vasco preview: Some injuries and suspensions in the team
For Vasco, Adson is sidelined with a broken leg, Jair is unavailable due to a knee injury and Paulo Henrique is suspended after receiving a red card. Additionally, Lucas Freitas is nursing a knee injury, while Paulinho is recovering from a ligament injury.
Benjamin Garre is also a doubt for the game, as he deals with a pelvic injury, but could still feature if he can get fit in time for the game.
Predicted lineup: Leo (GK), Rayan, Moreira, Coutinho, Gomez, Moura, Barros, Piton, Renan, Cuesta & Henrique
Last five fixtures
- 08.11.25 – Vasco 1 – 3 Juventude
- 05.11.25 – Botafogo RJ 3 – 0 Vasco
- 03.11.25 – Vasco 0 – 2 Sao Paulo
- 26.10.25 – Bragantino 0 – 3 Vasco
- 20.10.25 – Vasco 2 – 0 Fluminense
Player to watch: Carlos Vinicius
Carlos Vinicius has been a standout performer for Gremio in recent weeks, playing a key role in their attacking play. The striker has scored six goals and provided one assist in his last six games this season. His influence and attacking quality will help his team when they face Vasco during the week.