Gremio vs Vasco da Gama prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/07/2024

Gremio and Vasco da Gama go head-to-head for threes points at the Arena Condá in Brazil’s Serie A on Sunday, 28 July. View our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the contest below.

Gremio vs Vasco da Gama prediction: Competitive clash on the cards

Key Stats

• Vasco da Gama have failed to score in only one of his last eight Serie A matches.
• Vasco da Gama have won two of their last three assignments on the road.
• Gremio conceded two goals in two of their last three home fixtures.
• Five cards were brandished when Gremio and Vasco da Gama last met in April.

Correct score prediction: Gremio 1-2 Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama beat Gremio 2-1 when the teams last met back in April and a similar scoreline could be in the works in Sunday’s rematch. Gremio shipped exactly two goals in two of their last three home fixtures and they could concede a brace again.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Vaso will kick off as underdogs

• HOME: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
• DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
• AWAY: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Gremio are six places and eight points behind Vasco (11^th) in the table, though they have been priced as favourites to win at odds of 11/10 regardless. Vasco have won two of their last three matches on their travels, though they have been equipped with a 27% chance of tasting victory on the road again by the market makers. View more of our latest Brazilian football tips on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Home advantage has been key

The last four encounters between Gremio and Vasco da Gama have been won by the home team. Each of those contests were decided by single-goal margins.

Brazil Serie A 14/04/24

Vasco da Gama

2

Gremio

1

Brazil Serie A 03/12/23

Gremio

1

Vasco da Gama

0

Brazil Serie A 06/08/23

Vasco da Gama

1

Gremio

0

Brazil Serie B 11/09/22

Gremio

2

Vasco da Gama

1

Brazil Serie B 03/06/22

Vasco da Gama

0

Gremio

0

Gremio preview: Caraballo could return

Gremio will be missing the injured Diego Costa, Andre Henrique, Lucas Mila and Jhonata Robert while Gustavo Martins is a slight doubt. Midfielder Felipe Carballo is back from suspension meanwhile, and could return to the XI.

Predicted lineup: Marchesin (GK), Ely, Jemerson, Kannemann, Edenilson, Villasanti, Fabio, Reinaldo, Nathan, Soteldo, Cristaldo

Brazil Serie A 01/09/24

L

Atletico Mineiro

3

Gremio

2

Brazil Serie A 25/08/24

W

Criciuma

0

Gremio

1

Copa Libertadores 20/08/24

L

Fluminense

2

Gremio

1

Brazil Serie A 17/08/24

L

EC Bahia

2

Gremio

0

Copa Libertadores 13/08/24

W

Fluminense

1

Gremio

2

Vasco da Gama preview: Visitors could be missing five

Vasco da Gama are without injured trio Guilherme Estrella, Joao Victor and Paulinho Paula. Midfielders Josef de Souza and Dimitri Payet are both nursing minor ailments and might also miss out. Vasco last 2-0 at Atletico Mineiro last time out.

Predicted lineup: Jardim (GK), Henrique, Maicon, Leo, Piton, Moura, Carvalho, Adson, Praxedes, David, Vegetti

Copa do Brasil 12/09/24

D

Athletico Paranaense

2

Vasco da Gama

1

Brazil Serie A 01/09/24

W

Vitoria

0

Vasco da Gama

1

Copa do Brasil 29/08/24

W

Athletico Paranaense

1

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 27/08/24

W

Athletico Paranaense

1

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 18/08/24

D

Criciuma

2

Vasco da Gama

2

Player to watch – Lucas Piton

Lucas Piton has been a menacing presence down the left flank for Vasco da Gama this season and despite starting as a left back more often than not, the 23-year-old has already lodged a goal and three assists in Serie A.

Watch out for Piton’s surges

Piton is adept at raiding down the left wing for Vasco da Gama and he’s been averaging an impressive 2.00 key passes per game from his berth near the touchline. Piton’s delivery from out wide could be feature of Vasco’s clash with Gremio on Sunday.