Gremio vs Internacional prediction, odds & betting tips – 22/06/2024

Can Gremio snap a three-game losing streak when they host local rivals Internacional at the Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira in Brazil’s Serie A on Saturday, 22 June. View our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the game below.

Gremio vs Internacional prediction: Hosts out for revenge

Key Stats

  • The last four editions of the Grenal derby have been won by the home team.
  • Each of the last four meetings between Gremio and Internacional have produced goals at both ends.
  • The last two derby clashes between these rivals produced 17 cards combined.
  • Over 2.5 goals were scored in five of the last six tussles between Gremio and Internacional.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Gremio named as underdogs

  • HOME: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.4%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • AWAY: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Gremio’s preparations for the Grenal derby have been far from ideal and their 1-0 loss to Fortaleza last time out was their third defeat on the spin. Sitting third from bottom, Gremio have lost six of their first eight assignments of the new Serie A campaign overall and the bookies have named them as 7/4 underdogs for derby day.

Internacional meanwhile, edged out Corinthians (1-0) in their last league test and they have lost just twice in eight league matches in total this season. They also came out on top in each of the last two editions of the Grenal derby and they have a 38.5% chance of winning again this weekend. You you can find more of our top Brazilian football predictions over on our betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Internacional aiming to complete hattrick

Internacional have won their last two skirmishes with Gremio, though both victories were achieved on home soil and each of the last four Grenals have been one by the home side.

Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 25/02/24

Internacional

Internacional

3
Gremio

Gremio

2

Brazil Serie A 08/10/23

Internacional

Internacional

3
Gremio

Gremio

2

Brazil Serie A 21/05/23

Gremio

Gremio

3
Internacional

Internacional

1

Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 05/03/23

Gremio

Gremio

2
Internacional

Internacional

1

Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 24/03/22

Gremio

Gremio

0
Internacional

Internacional

1

Gremio preview: Pepe serving a ban

Mathias Villasanti and Yeferson Soteldo are both on international duty while Diego Costa, Andre Henrique, Lucas Mila and Jhonata Robert are injured. Pepe was sent off against Fortaleza in Gremio's last fixture and will be suspended as a result.

Predicted lineup: Marchesin (GK), Pedro, Ely, Martins, Reinaldo, Queiroz, Dodi, Carballo, Pavon, Nunes, Galvao

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

W

Vitoria

Vitoria

0

Gremio

Gremio

2

Brazil Serie A 17/07/24

L

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Gremio

Gremio

0

Copa do Brasil 14/07/24

W

Operario PR

Operario PR

1

Gremio

Gremio

3

Brazil Serie A 10/07/24

L

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

2

Gremio

Gremio

0

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

3

Gremio

Gremio

0

Internacional preview: Vitao could be back in the fold

Rafael Borre, Enner Valencia and Sergio Rochet are competing at the Copa America while Mauricio and Ivan are both sidelined through injury. Vitao should be available again having served a short ban for an accumulation of bookings.

Predicted lineup: Fabricio (GK) Bustos, Gomes, Fernando, Renan, Henrique, Romulo, Wesley, Hyoran, Wanderson, Alario

Brazil Serie A 20/07/24

L

Botafogo

Botafogo

1

Internacional

Internacional

0

Copa Sudamericana 17/07/24

L

Rosario Central

Rosario Central

1

Internacional

Internacional

0

Copa do Brasil 13/07/24

D

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

1

Internacional

Internacional

1

Copa do Brasil 10/07/24

L

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

2

Internacional

Internacional

1

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Internacional

Internacional

1

Player to watch – Wesley

25-year-old winger was Internacional’s star performer in their narrow triumph against Corinthians last week and in a game of slender margins, the wide attacker delivered the game’s only goal in the 42nd minute.

Gremio vs Internacional prediction
Wesley is in good goal-scoring form for Internacional – Photo by Icon Sport

Wesley has an impressive strike rate

Wesley has started the new Brazilian campaign in flying form and flanskman, who joined Internacional from Cruzeiro in February, has already notched four times in Serie A despite starting only six times for his new employers. Wesley will be determined to prolong his hot-streak this weekend.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.